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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 29, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Magic41%9885
17Knicks59%10183
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 24.4
49.0
37.1
26
49%
4
6
1
2
3
6
2
2
6-8
75%
7-16
7-15
44%
47%
2-7
29%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 22.1
45.3
25.8
16
59%
9
0
2
1
0
2
4
5
4-6
67%
6-11
4-9
55%
45%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.7
42.2
26.9
9
29%
10
2
1
1
0
3
2
8
1-3
33%
4-14
6-14
29%
44%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.5
35.9
26.6
11
49%
4
4
1
1
0
2
1
3
1-3
33%
2-6
3-6
33%
45%
2-4
50%
Britton Johnsen
F · 6'10" 210 · 24.3
16.7
6.9
3
50%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.4
26.4
25.0
7
31%
6
3
1
1
0
0
0
6
1-5
20%
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Donnell Harvey
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.2
17.7
20.1
6
47%
3
0
2
1
1
2
1
2
0-1
0%
3-6
3-7
50%
45%
0-0
-
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 28.6
17.4
20.4
3
18%
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
3-3
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
42%
0-4
0%
Andrew DeClercq
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.7
13.1
12.4
4
50%
3
0
1
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.0
1.2
13.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Reece Gaines
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.8
0.2
18.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
43%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 19.7
6.5
0
1-2
47%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allan Houston
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.5
49.0
30.9
10
29%
1
4
2
1
0
4
0
1
1-1
100%
3-14
4-9
21%
45%
1-3
33%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 31.1
43.9
27.8
10
36%
15
3
1
1
3
5
2
13
2-2
100%
4-12
5-10
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 28.0
36.8
27.8
29
69%
8
0
1
1
0
4
0
8
5-7
71%
9-14
3-7
64%
47%
2-4
50%
Charlie Ward
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.0
24.4
20.1
7
51%
4
6
2
1
1
5
1
3
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
43%
1-2
50%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 37.3
24.2
9.1
7
79%
7
0
0
0
1
3
2
5
1-1
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
45%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.8
30.4
15.8
4
41%
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.9
26.6
24.3
8
47%
2
7
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
1-3
33%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.4
19.9
10.6
6
55%
7
0
1
0
0
3
2
5
0-1
0%
3-5
1-3
60%
43%
0-0
-
Frank Williams
G · 6'3" 212 · 23.7
8.8
8.2
2
20%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
39%
0-1
0%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 21.0
1.0
19.7
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
45%
0-0
-
Clar. Weatherspoon
F · 6'7" 270 · 33.1
22.1
1
2-4
43%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
21.3
0
3-5
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.