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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 29, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Nets60%9587
24Raptors40%9290
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.6
40.1
36.6
11
29%
5
10
2
2
0
1
4
1
2-2
100%
3-12
5-11
25%
43%
1-6
17%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 23.4
40.1
33.5
10
32%
7
5
1
1
0
0
3
4
4-6
67%
3-13
5-11
23%
48%
0-0
-
Kerry Kittles
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.4
39.5
29.6
13
50%
5
2
2
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.9
35.1
25.3
8
82%
5
2
1
1
1
0
2
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
40%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.8
30.6
33.2
26
55%
11
2
0
1
2
3
2
9
5-8
63%
9-19
6-14
47%
46%
1-1
100%
Rodney Rogers
F · 6'7" 270 · 32.4
16.8
15.2
7
70%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 33.7
16.6
3.4
6
56%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-3
67%
2-4
1-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 32.1
13.3
16.0
4
52%
3
3
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Doug Overton
G · 6'3" 190 · 34.2
7.9
3.2
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
43%
0-0
-
Zoran Planinic
· 6'7" 195 · 21.1
15.8
1
2-4
43%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.6
12.7
0
1-2
42%
Brandon Armstrong
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.4
10.3
0
1-3
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.0
41.1
24.4
12
60%
14
1
0
0
0
3
5
9
0-0
-
6-10
3-8
60%
40%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.8
39.6
31.6
39
57%
5
1
0
1
0
2
4
1
9-10
90%
15-27
6-14
56%
45%
0-3
0%
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 30.5
30.4
28.9
3
54%
14
1
0
1
0
1
1
13
3-4
75%
0-1
3-7
0%
47%
0-0
-
Michael Curry
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 35.2
19.0
14.1
5
50%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
42%
1-1
100%
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 29.2
19.0
30.7
7
52%
2
3
0
1
1
1
0
2
4-4
100%
0-3
4-9
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.7
29.2
21.7
9
42%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-4
25%
4-8
2-4
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.5
26.7
0.9
4
23%
3
4
1
0
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
0-0
25%
43%
0-4
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 19.6
24.3
22.5
11
65%
4
0
0
1
2
1
2
2
1-1
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
45%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.2
10.7
32.1
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Jerome Moiso
F · 6'10" 260 · 25.4
13.0
0
2-3
48%
Chris Jefferies
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.7
12.2
0
1-3
41%
Mengke Bateer
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.9
3.3
0
0-1
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.