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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 29, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Wizards42%9599
26Bulls58%9774
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.8
37.9
33.3
18
68%
4
6
3
2
0
5
0
4
3-3
100%
3-8
4-10
38%
45%
3-4
75%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.8
37.0
27.0
20
49%
2
5
2
1
0
1
1
1
6-8
75%
7-15
4-9
47%
45%
0-2
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 21.6
31.5
23.1
8
50%
8
3
0
1
0
5
2
6
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
43%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.2
31.3
19.6
13
59%
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
5-7
2-5
71%
43%
1-4
25%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 23.9
16.9
25.6
5
43%
5
0
0
1
4
0
0
5
1-4
25%
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 25.6
31.1
13.0
13
74%
13
3
1
0
0
1
4
9
3-4
75%
5-7
2-3
71%
48%
0-0
-
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 34.2
21.2
25.5
10
60%
6
4
0
1
0
0
0
6
2-3
67%
4-7
3-6
57%
47%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 25.1
18.0
12.2
11
56%
3
2
3
0
0
4
1
2
4-4
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
41%
1-2
50%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 21.9
12.0
16.7
1
13%
3
1
2
1
0
1
2
1
1-4
25%
0-2
2-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 23.7
3.1
12.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
40%
0-0
-
Jahidi White
C-F · 6'9" 290 · 27.7
15.9
0
2-3
49%
Chris Whitney
G · 6'0" 175 · 32.1
14.0
0
1-2
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.6
37.5
27.4
12
33%
3
4
2
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
3-14
4-8
21%
45%
2-4
50%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 20.9
33.1
25.0
9
36%
6
1
1
0
2
2
2
4
3-6
50%
3-10
5-10
30%
55%
0-0
-
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 30.7
32.4
31.5
15
45%
4
2
2
1
0
1
1
3
5-8
63%
5-12
4-10
42%
43%
0-1
0%
Scottie Pippen
F-G · 6'8" 228 · 38.1
30.6
20.9
7
47%
7
2
1
1
2
3
2
5
0-1
0%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 24.8
18.9
10.5
6
82%
7
1
0
0
2
2
2
5
4-6
67%
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Fizer
F · 6'9" 262 · 25.2
18.9
19.0
9
51%
5
0
2
0
1
2
2
3
3-4
75%
3-7
4-9
43%
46%
0-0
-
Eddie Robinson
F · 6'9" 210 · 27.5
16.8
19.6
2
33%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 35.4
16.1
12.4
10
43%
6
0
0
0
0
2
3
3
4-4
100%
3-10
1-3
30%
42%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.4
16.1
26.3
4
25%
6
2
1
1
0
2
4
2
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.1
10.5
9.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Corie Blount
F-C · 6'10" 242 · 34.8
9.0
8.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-2
0%
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 21.1
27.5
1
3-7
51%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.