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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 29, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs62%9472
28Nuggets38%9080
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.3
37.0
29.7
14
51%
6
6
2
2
1
3
3
3
4-4
100%
2-8
2-5
25%
45%
2-4
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.5
34.4
38.7
17
36%
21
1
2
1
8
5
5
16
3-4
75%
7-22
8-15
32%
50%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 32.4
33.3
28.8
0
0%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.4
15.5
20.0
2
9%
7
0
0
0
1
0
6
1
0-0
-
1-11
3-5
9%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.4
10.2
24.9
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-6
2-6
0%
38%
0-0
-
Ron Mercer
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.4
33.5
18.6
14
54%
5
1
2
1
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
7-13
3-6
54%
40%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 24.6
29.9
19.4
15
43%
1
2
3
1
2
1
1
0
5-8
63%
5-10
2-5
50%
42%
0-4
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 28.9
23.7
23.2
5
26%
9
0
1
1
1
0
3
6
5-6
83%
0-6
3-7
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33.2
17.9
19.5
5
30%
6
1
0
1
2
1
4
2
1-1
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
0-3
0%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41.1
4.5
1.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0-0
0%
44%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.5
18.2
1
3-6
46%
Shane Heal
G · 6'0" 180 · 33.1
2.0
0
0-0
39%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 21.1
33.0
30.3
12
46%
11
2
2
2
1
4
5
6
6-7
86%
3-10
4-9
30%
49%
0-0
-
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.5
31.7
21.2
7
24%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
3-12
3-7
25%
41%
0-2
0%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 19.4
29.1
24.7
12
32%
7
3
1
1
0
3
3
4
4-8
50%
4-14
3-6
29%
42%
0-1
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.6
27.0
20.2
3
17%
20
1
0
1
4
3
8
12
1-2
50%
1-8
3-7
13%
42%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.6
26.6
32.3
16
48%
5
1
2
1
0
2
3
2
5-6
83%
4-13
4-10
31%
43%
1-1
100%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 27.4
25.6
15.1
13
47%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
4-11
2-4
36%
42%
1-2
50%
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.3
23.6
13.4
8
57%
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
2-4
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.3
13.9
14.2
2
25%
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
40%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 27.7
11.3
11.1
1
27%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 20.5
10.0
20.5
6
38%
2
2
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-8
1-4
38%
36%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 27.9
8.3
17.4
0
0%
7
1
1
1
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Rodney White
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.3
17.4
1
2-6
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.