| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 103.3 | 90 | 88.3 | |
| 89.8 | 88 | 89.7 |
Scoring Opportunities
Scoring Efficiency
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIL | IND |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIL | 93 | 79 | |
| Q4 - 0:04.0 | MIL | Skinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 93 | 79 |
| Q4 - 0:05.0 | IND | MISS Jones 13' Jump Shot | 93 | 79 |
| Q4 - 0:16.0 | MIL | Ford 3' Finger Roll (11 PTS) | 93 | 79 |
| Q4 - 0:36.0 | IND | Johnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10) | 91 | 79 |
| Q4 - 0:44.0 | IND | SUB: Tinsley FOR World Peace | 91 | 79 |
| Q4 - 0:44.0 | IND | SUB: Brezec FOR Harrington | 91 | 79 |
| Q4 - 0:44.0 | IND | PACERS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1) | 91 | 79 |
| Q4 - 0:44.0 | MIL | Thomas 2' Driving Finger Roll (20 PTS) | 91 | 79 |
| Q4 - 1:07 | MIL | Mason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 89 | 79 |
| Q4 - 1:10 | IND | MISS Harrington 13' Jump Shot | 89 | 79 |
| Q4 - 1:24 | IND | World Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 89 | 79 |
| Q4 - 1:26 | MIL | MISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 89 | 79 |
| Q4 - 1:43 | MIL | Bucks Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2) | 89 | 79 |
| Q4 - 1:43 | MIL | Bucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1) | 89 | 79 |
| Q4 - 1:45 | MIL | Redd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 89 | 79 |
| Q4 - 1:46 | IND | MISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 89 | 79 |
| Q4 - 2:03 | MIL | Redd 3' Layup (21 PTS) (Mason 3 AST) | 89 | 79 |
| Q4 - 2:24 | MIL | Redd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 87 | 79 |
| Q4 - 2:26 | IND | MISS World Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 87 | 79 |
| Q4 - 2:40 | MIL | Thomas Traveling Turnover (P5.T22) | 87 | 79 |
| Q4 - 2:59 | IND | Harrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS) | 87 | 79 |
| Q4 - 2:59 | MIL | SUB: Thomas FOR Smith | 87 | 78 |
| Q4 - 2:59 | 87 | 78 | ||
| Q4 - 2:59 | MIL | Smith S.FOUL (P5.T4) | 87 | 78 |
| Q4 - 2:59 | IND | Harrington 1' Dunk (25 PTS) | 87 | 78 |
| Q4 - 3:13 | MIL | Johnson STEAL (2 STL) | 87 | 76 |
| Q4 - 3:21 | IND | World Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 87 | 76 |
| Q4 - 3:21 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 87 | 75 |
| Q4 - 3:21 | IND | MISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 | 87 | 75 |
| Q4 - 3:21 | IND | SUB: Jones FOR O'Neal | 87 | 75 |
| Q4 - 3:21 | MIL | Redd S.FOUL (P2.T3) | 87 | 75 |
| Q4 - 3:30 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 87 | 75 |
| Q4 - 3:30 | IND | Jump Ball O'Neal vs. Smith: Tip to Harrington | 87 | 75 |
| Q4 - 3:31 | MIL | O'Neal BLOCK (4 BLK) | 87 | 75 |
| Q4 - 3:54 | IND | Johnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9) | 87 | 75 |
| Q4 - 4:05 | MIL | Ford 3' Finger Roll (9 PTS) | 87 | 75 |
| Q4 - 4:27 | MIL | Redd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 85 | 75 |
| Q4 - 4:28 | IND | MISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot | 85 | 75 |
| Q4 - 4:37 | IND | Johnson Free Throw Technical (10 PTS) | 85 | 75 |
| Q4 - 4:37 | MIL | Bucks T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Smith ) | 85 | 74 |
| Q4 - 4:50 | MIL | Mason Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS) | 85 | 74 |
| Q4 - 4:50 | MIL | Bucks Rebound | 84 | 74 |
| Q4 - 4:50 | MIL | MISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 2 | 84 | 74 |
| Q4 - 4:50 | IND | Harrington S.FOUL (P2.PN) | 84 | 74 |
| Q4 - 5:08 | MIL | Smith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3) | 84 | 74 |
| Q4 - 5:09 | IND | MISS Harrington 15' Jump Shot | 84 | 74 |
| Q4 - 5:25 | MIL | Bucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#20) | 84 | 74 |
| Q4 - 5:49 | IND | Harrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS) | 84 | 74 |
| Q4 - 5:49 | MIL | SUB: Smith FOR Thomas | 84 | 73 |
| Q4 - 5:49 | MIL | Thomas S.FOUL (P4.T2) | 84 | 73 |
| Q4 - 5:49 | IND | Harrington 2' Layup (22 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST) | 84 | 73 |
| Q4 - 5:52 | MIL | Johnson STEAL (1 STL) | 84 | 71 |
| Q4 - 6:07 | IND | Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (O'Neal 5 AST) | 84 | 71 |
| Q4 - 6:32 | MIL | Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) | 84 | 68 |
| Q4 - 6:54 | IND | Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (World Peace 4 AST) | 81 | 68 |
| Q4 - 7:18 | IND | SUB: Harrington FOR Tinsley | 81 | 65 |
| Q4 - 7:18 | IND | PACERS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1) | 81 | 65 |
| Q4 - 7:20 | MIL | Redd 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Mason 2 AST) | 81 | 65 |
| Q4 - 7:27 | MIL | Ford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9) | 79 | 65 |
| Q4 - 7:29 | IND | MISS Tinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 79 | 65 |
| Q4 - 7:47 | MIL | Mason Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 79 | 65 |
| Q4 - 7:47 | IND | SUB: Croshere FOR Harrington | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 7:47 | MIL | Bucks Rebound | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 7:47 | MIL | MISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 2 | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 7:47 | IND | Harrington P.FOUL (P1.PN) | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 7:47 | MIL | Mason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 7:49 | IND | MISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 8:00 | MIL | Thomas P.FOUL (P3.T1) | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 8:04 | IND | World Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 8:06 | MIL | MISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 8:12 | IND | Tinsley L.B.FOUL (P3.T4) | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 8:14 | MIL | Ford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8) | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 8:15 | MIL | MISS Thomas 15' Jump Shot | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 8:31 | MIL | Ford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 8:33 | IND | MISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 8:45 | MIL | Thomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 8:45 | IND | SUB: World Peace FOR Jones | 77 | 65 |
| Q4 - 8:45 | MIL | SUB: Redd FOR Kukoc | 77 | 65 |
| Q4 - 8:45 | MIL | Thomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 77 | 65 |
| Q4 - 8:45 | IND | O'Neal S.FOUL (P2.T3) | 76 | 65 |
| Q4 - 8:45 | MIL | Thomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 76 | 65 |
| Q4 - 8:46 | MIL | MISS Kukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 76 | 65 |
| Q4 - 8:49 | IND | Jones P.FOUL (P3.T2) | 76 | 65 |
| Q4 - 9:02 | IND | Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST) | 76 | 65 |
| Q4 - 9:19 | MIL | Skinner 11' Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 76 | 62 |
| Q4 - 9:37 | MIL | Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 74 | 62 |
| Q4 - 9:40 | IND | MISS Tinsley 6' Running Jump Shot | 74 | 62 |
| Q4 - 9:53 | MIL | Harrington STEAL (3 STL) | 74 | 62 |
| Q4 - 10:03 | MIL | SUB: Skinner FOR Jones | 74 | 62 |
| Q4 - 10:03 | MIL | SUB: Ford FOR Smith | 74 | 62 |
| Q4 - 10:03 | MIL | Bucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1) | 74 | 62 |
| Q4 - 10:04 | IND | O'Neal 2' Dunk (12 PTS) | 74 | 62 |
| Q4 - 10:07 | IND | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 74 | 60 |
| Q4 - 10:08 | IND | MISS Tinsley 16' Jump Shot | 74 | 60 |
| Q4 - 10:18 | MIL | Smith Foul Turnover (P4.T17) | 74 | 60 |
| Q4 - 10:18 | MIL | Smith OFF.Foul (P4) | 74 | 60 |
| Q4 - 10:35 | IND | Tinsley 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST) | 74 | 60 |
| Q4 - 10:45 | MIL | O'Neal STEAL (1 STL) | 74 | 58 |
| Q4 - 10:50 | IND | O'Neal L.B.FOUL (P1.T1) | 74 | 58 |
| Q4 - 10:50 | MIL | Smith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2) | 74 | 58 |
| Q4 - 10:52 | MIL | MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 74 | 58 |
| Q4 - 11:15 | IND | Harrington 2' Layup (20 PTS) (Jones 1 AST) | 74 | 58 |
| Q4 - 11:18 | MIL | Harrington STEAL (2 STL) | 74 | 56 |
| Q4 - 11:40 | MIL | Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 74 | 56 |
| Q4 - 11:42 | IND | MISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 74 | 56 |
| Q4 - 12:00 | 74 | 56 | ||
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | IND | 74 | 56 | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIL | Foster STEAL (1 STL) | 74 | 56 |
| Q3 - 0:06.0 | IND | Foster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 74 | 56 |
| Q3 - 0:06.0 | IND | Foster 3' Layup (6 PTS) | 74 | 56 |
| Q3 - 0:08.0 | IND | MISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 74 | 54 |
| Q3 - 0:10.0 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 74 | 54 |
| Q3 - 0:12.0 | IND | MISS Tinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 74 | 54 |
| Q3 - 0:33.0 | MIL | Redd Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 74 | 54 |
| Q3 - 0:33.0 | IND | SUB: Jones FOR World Peace | 73 | 54 |
| Q3 - 0:33.0 | MIL | Bucks Rebound | 73 | 54 |
| Q3 - 0:33.0 | MIL | MISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 2 | 73 | 54 |
| Q3 - 0:33.0 | IND | Tinsley S.FOUL (P2.PN) | 73 | 54 |
| Q3 - 0:49.0 | MIL | Kukoc REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 73 | 54 |
| Q3 - 0:50.0 | MIL | MISS Redd 18' Jump Shot | 73 | 54 |
| Q3 - 1:05 | IND | Harrington 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) | 73 | 54 |
| Q3 - 1:23 | MIL | Mason 6' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS) | 73 | 52 |
| Q3 - 1:34 | MIL | Kukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 71 | 52 |
| Q3 - 1:36 | IND | MISS World Peace 3' Layup | 71 | 52 |
| Q3 - 1:38 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 71 | 52 |
| Q3 - 1:40 | IND | MISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 71 | 52 |
| Q3 - 1:50 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 71 | 52 |
| Q3 - 1:52 | IND | MISS World Peace 4' Jump Shot | 71 | 52 |
| Q3 - 2:07 | IND | Harrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 71 | 52 |
| Q3 - 2:08 | MIL | MISS Skinner 4' Hook Shot | 71 | 52 |
| Q3 - 2:10 | MIL | Skinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 71 | 52 |
| Q3 - 2:11 | MIL | MISS Skinner Free Throw 1 of 1 | 71 | 52 |
| Q3 - 2:11 | IND | Foster S.FOUL (P4.T4) | 71 | 52 |
| Q3 - 2:11 | MIL | Skinner 2' Layup (12 PTS) | 71 | 52 |
| Q3 - 2:27 | IND | World Peace 7' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) | 69 | 52 |
| Q3 - 2:40 | MIL | Mason 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Redd 3 AST) | 69 | 50 |
| Q3 - 2:52 | MIL | SUB: Kukoc FOR Smith | 67 | 50 |
| Q3 - 2:52 | MIL | Bucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1) | 67 | 50 |
| Q3 - 3:01 | IND | Harrington 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST) | 67 | 50 |
| Q3 - 3:05 | IND | Harrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 67 | 48 |
| Q3 - 3:07 | MIL | MISS Redd 17' Jump Shot | 67 | 48 |
| Q3 - 3:09 | MIL | Redd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 67 | 48 |
| Q3 - 3:11 | MIL | MISS Jones 18' Jump Shot | 67 | 48 |
| Q3 - 3:34 | IND | World Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 67 | 48 |
| Q3 - 3:34 | IND | World Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 67 | 47 |
| Q3 - 3:34 | MIL | SUB: Mason FOR Thomas | 67 | 46 |
| Q3 - 3:34 | MIL | SUB: Jones FOR Ford | 67 | 46 |
| Q3 - 3:34 | IND | SUB: Tinsley FOR Anderson | 67 | 46 |
| Q3 - 3:34 | IND | SUB: Harrington FOR O'Neal | 67 | 46 |
| Q3 - 3:34 | MIL | Ford S.FOUL (P1.T2) | 67 | 46 |
| Q3 - 3:38 | MIL | World Peace STEAL (2 STL) | 67 | 46 |
| Q3 - 3:55 | MIL | Smith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2) | 67 | 46 |
| Q3 - 3:57 | IND | MISS World Peace 12' Jump Shot | 67 | 46 |
| Q3 - 4:22 | MIL | Skinner Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12) | 67 | 46 |
| Q3 - 4:26 | IND | Anderson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8) | 67 | 46 |
| Q3 - 4:43 | MIL | Skinner 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ford 7 AST) | 67 | 46 |
| Q3 - 5:02 | MIL | Bucks Rebound | 65 | 46 |
| Q3 - 5:04 | IND | MISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot | 65 | 46 |
| Q3 - 5:23 | MIL | Smith 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 65 | 46 |
| Q3 - 5:39 | IND | O'Neal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7) | 63 | 46 |
| Q3 - 5:58 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 63 | 46 |
| Q3 - 5:59 | MIL | MISS Redd 4' Jump Shot | 63 | 46 |
| Q3 - 6:20 | IND | O'Neal 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (World Peace 3 AST) | 63 | 46 |
| Q3 - 6:42 | IND | SUB: Johnson FOR Miller | 63 | 44 |
| Q3 - 6:42 | IND | SUB: Foster FOR Pollard | 63 | 44 |
| Q3 - 6:42 | IND | PACERS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1) | 63 | 44 |
| Q3 - 6:43 | MIL | Thomas 27' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Redd 2 AST) | 63 | 44 |
| Q3 - 6:53 | MIL | Smith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1) | 60 | 44 |
| Q3 - 6:55 | MIL | MISS Skinner 4' Jump Shot | 60 | 44 |
| Q3 - 7:13 | MIL | Smith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 60 | 44 |
| Q3 - 7:14 | MIL | MISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 60 | 44 |
| Q3 - 7:26 | IND | World Peace 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 60 | 44 |
| Q3 - 7:41 | MIL | Thomas Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS) | 60 | 42 |
| Q3 - 7:41 | IND | Miller S.FOUL (P1.T3) | 59 | 42 |
| Q3 - 7:41 | MIL | Thomas 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 59 | 42 |
| Q3 - 7:59 | MIL | Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 57 | 42 |
| Q3 - 8:00 | IND | MISS Pollard 16' Jump Shot | 57 | 42 |
| Q3 - 8:12 | IND | Pollard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 57 | 42 |
| Q3 - 8:14 | MIL | MISS Redd 9' Jump Shot | 57 | 42 |
| Q3 - 8:18 | MIL | Ford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 57 | 42 |
| Q3 - 8:20 | IND | MISS Anderson 20' Jump Shot | 57 | 42 |
| Q3 - 8:38 | MIL | Thomas 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 57 | 42 |
| Q3 - 8:57 | IND | Anderson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST) | 55 | 42 |
| Q3 - 9:21 | MIL | Skinner 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Ford 6 AST) | 55 | 40 |
| Q3 - 9:27 | MIL | Ford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 53 | 40 |
| Q3 - 9:28 | IND | MISS World Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 53 | 40 |
| Q3 - 9:46 | MIL | Smith P.FOUL (P3.T1) | 53 | 40 |
| Q3 - 9:54 | MIL | World Peace STEAL (1 STL) | 53 | 40 |
| Q3 - 10:19 | IND | World Peace 2' Layup (6 PTS) | 53 | 40 |
| Q3 - 10:24 | IND | World Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 53 | 38 |
| Q3 - 10:26 | MIL | MISS Ford 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 53 | 38 |
| Q3 - 10:47 | IND | Anderson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6) | 53 | 38 |
| Q3 - 10:51 | IND | Pollard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0) | 53 | 38 |
| Q3 - 10:53 | IND | MISS World Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 53 | 38 |
| Q3 - 11:09 | MIL | Redd 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 53 | 38 |
| Q3 - 11:24 | IND | Anderson 4' Running Finger Roll (4 PTS) | 51 | 38 |
| Q3 - 11:34 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 51 | 36 |
| Q3 - 11:35 | IND | MISS World Peace 2' Layup | 51 | 36 |
| Q3 - 11:48 | MIL | Smith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 51 | 36 |
| Q3 - 11:48 | MIL | Smith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 50 | 36 |
| Q3 - 11:48 | IND | Pollard S.FOUL (P2.T2) | 49 | 36 |
| Q3 - 12:00 | IND | Pollard P.FOUL (P1.T1) | 49 | 36 |
| Q3 - 12:00 | 49 | 36 | ||
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIL | 49 | 36 | |
| Q2 - 0:03.0 | MIL | Ford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 49 | 36 |
| Q2 - 0:04.0 | IND | MISS World Peace 21' Jump Shot | 49 | 36 |
| Q2 - 0:28.0 | MIL | Ford Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS) | 49 | 36 |
| Q2 - 0:28.0 | MIL | SUB: Jones FOR Mason | 48 | 36 |
| Q2 - 0:28.0 | IND | Anderson S.FOUL (P1.PN) | 48 | 36 |
| Q2 - 0:28.0 | MIL | Ford 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Skinner 1 AST) | 48 | 36 |
| Q2 - 0:32.0 | MIL | Skinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 46 | 36 |
| Q2 - 0:34.0 | IND | MISS World Peace 3' Jump Shot | 46 | 36 |
| Q2 - 0:48.0 | MIL | Redd 7' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 46 | 36 |
| Q2 - 0:53.0 | MIL | SUB: Kukoc FOR Smith | 44 | 36 |
| Q2 - 0:53.0 | MIL | Bucks Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1) | 44 | 36 |
| Q2 - 0:58.0 | IND | World Peace 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Anderson 4 AST) | 44 | 36 |
| Q2 - 1:11 | MIL | Mason 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 1 AST) | 44 | 34 |
| Q2 - 1:18 | MIL | Ford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 42 | 34 |
| Q2 - 1:20 | IND | MISS Miller 17' Jump Shot | 42 | 34 |
| Q2 - 1:37 | MIL | Redd 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Ford 5 AST) | 42 | 34 |
| Q2 - 1:40 | MIL | Mason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 40 | 34 |
| Q2 - 1:42 | IND | MISS O'Neal 3' Layup | 40 | 34 |
| Q2 - 1:58 | IND | Harrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 40 | 34 |
| Q2 - 1:59 | MIL | MISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 2 | 40 | 34 |
| Q2 - 1:59 | MIL | Mason Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 40 | 34 |
| Q2 - 1:59 | IND | World Peace S.FOUL (P2.PN) | 39 | 34 |
| Q2 - 2:01 | MIL | Ford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 39 | 34 |
| Q2 - 2:03 | IND | MISS World Peace 13' Jump Shot | 39 | 34 |
| Q2 - 2:21 | MIL | Mason 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Redd 1 AST) | 39 | 34 |
| Q2 - 2:40 | IND | O'Neal 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST) | 37 | 34 |
| Q2 - 2:53 | IND | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 37 | 32 |
| Q2 - 2:55 | MIL | MISS Skinner 15' Jump Shot | 37 | 32 |
| Q2 - 3:09 | MIL | Mason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 37 | 32 |
| Q2 - 3:11 | IND | MISS O'Neal 3' Hook Shot | 37 | 32 |
| Q2 - 3:30 | MIL | Skinner 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mason 1 AST) | 37 | 32 |
| Q2 - 3:49 | IND | Harrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS) | 35 | 32 |
| Q2 - 3:49 | MIL | Bucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0) | 35 | 31 |
| Q2 - 3:49 | MIL | Mason S.FOUL (P2.PN) | 35 | 31 |
| Q2 - 3:49 | IND | Harrington 2' Dunk (13 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST) | 35 | 31 |
| Q2 - 3:55 | IND | Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 35 | 29 |
| Q2 - 3:57 | MIL | O'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK) | 35 | 29 |
| Q2 - 4:18 | IND | Anderson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST) | 35 | 29 |
| Q2 - 4:36 | MIL | Ford 2' Finger Roll (4 PTS) | 35 | 27 |
| Q2 - 4:39 | IND | World Peace Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5) | 33 | 27 |
| Q2 - 4:47 | MIL | Smith L.B.FOUL (P2.T4) | 33 | 27 |
| Q2 - 4:47 | IND | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 33 | 27 |
| Q2 - 4:48 | IND | MISS World Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 33 | 27 |
| Q2 - 4:54 | IND | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 33 | 27 |
| Q2 - 4:56 | MIL | MISS Redd 17' Jump Shot | 33 | 27 |
| Q2 - 5:14 | IND | O'Neal 1' Dunk (6 PTS) | 33 | 27 |
| Q2 - 5:15 | IND | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 33 | 25 |
| Q2 - 5:17 | IND | MISS Anderson 5' Jump Shot | 33 | 25 |
| Q2 - 5:23 | MIL | Harrington STEAL (1 STL) | 33 | 25 |
| Q2 - 5:38 | IND | Jump Ball Anderson vs. Smith: Tip to Skinner | 33 | 25 |
| Q2 - 5:38 | MIL | SUB: Skinner FOR Kukoc | 33 | 25 |
| Q2 - 5:52 | IND | World Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 33 | 25 |
| Q2 - 5:52 | MIL | SUB: Redd FOR Thomas | 33 | 24 |
| Q2 - 5:52 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 33 | 24 |
| Q2 - 5:52 | IND | MISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 | 33 | 24 |
| Q2 - 5:52 | MIL | Thomas S.FOUL (P2.T3) | 33 | 24 |
| Q2 - 6:03 | IND | SUB: Anderson FOR Tinsley | 33 | 24 |
| Q2 - 6:03 | IND | PACERS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1) | 33 | 24 |
| Q2 - 6:03 | MIL | Smith Foul Turnover (P2.T9) | 33 | 24 |
| Q2 - 6:03 | MIL | Smith L.B.FOUL (P1.T2) | 33 | 24 |
| Q2 - 6:03 | MIL | Bucks Rebound | 33 | 24 |
| Q2 - 6:03 | MIL | MISS Kukoc 6' Jump Shot | 33 | 24 |
| Q2 - 6:05 | MIL | Ford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 33 | 24 |
| Q2 - 6:07 | MIL | MISS Smith 21' Jump Shot | 33 | 24 |
| Q2 - 6:22 | MIL | Smith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 33 | 24 |
| Q2 - 6:23 | IND | MISS Harrington 2' Layup | 33 | 24 |
| Q2 - 6:42 | MIL | Smith 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) | 33 | 24 |
| Q2 - 6:45 | MIL | Smith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 31 | 24 |
| Q2 - 6:47 | MIL | O'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK) | 31 | 24 |
| Q2 - 6:59 | IND | World Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 31 | 24 |
| Q2 - 6:59 | MIL | SUB: Ford FOR Jones | 31 | 23 |
| Q2 - 6:59 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 31 | 23 |
| Q2 - 6:59 | IND | MISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 | 31 | 23 |
| Q2 - 6:59 | IND | SUB: O'Neal FOR Pollard | 31 | 23 |
| Q2 - 6:59 | IND | SUB: Miller FOR Croshere | 31 | 23 |
| Q2 - 6:59 | MIL | Mason S.FOUL (P1.T1) | 31 | 23 |
| Q2 - 7:11 | MIL | Mason 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 5 AST) | 31 | 23 |
| Q2 - 7:26 | IND | Harrington 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 29 | 23 |
| Q2 - 7:46 | MIL | Thomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 4 AST) | 29 | 21 |
| Q2 - 7:52 | MIL | Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 26 | 21 |
| Q2 - 7:53 | IND | MISS Croshere 18' Jump Shot | 26 | 21 |
| Q2 - 8:10 | MIL | Thomas 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Jones 3 AST) | 26 | 21 |
| Q2 - 8:16 | IND | Tinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4) | 24 | 21 |
| Q2 - 8:25 | IND | Croshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 24 | 21 |
| Q2 - 8:27 | MIL | MISS Thomas 3PT Jump Shot | 24 | 21 |
| Q2 - 8:38 | IND | SUB: Pollard FOR Jones | 24 | 21 |
| Q2 - 8:38 | IND | SUB: World Peace FOR Foster | 24 | 21 |
| Q2 - 8:38 | 24 | 21 | ||
| Q2 - 8:38 | IND | Foster L.B.FOUL (P3.T4) | 24 | 21 |
| Q2 - 8:38 | MIL | Bucks Rebound | 24 | 21 |
| Q2 - 8:38 | IND | MISS Tinsley 5' Jump Shot | 24 | 21 |
| Q2 - 9:00 | MIL | Mason 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 24 | 21 |
| Q2 - 9:07 | IND | Foster P.FOUL (P2.T3) | 22 | 21 |
| Q2 - 9:17 | MIL | Mason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 | 21 |
| Q2 - 9:18 | IND | MISS Tinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 22 | 21 |
| Q2 - 9:42 | MIL | Mason 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST) | 22 | 21 |
| Q2 - 9:53 | MIL | Kukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 20 | 21 |
| Q2 - 9:54 | IND | MISS Tinsley 11' Jump Shot | 20 | 21 |
| Q2 - 10:15 | IND | Croshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 20 | 21 |
| Q2 - 10:17 | MIL | MISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 20 | 21 |
| Q2 - 10:22 | MIL | Kukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 20 | 21 |
| Q2 - 10:24 | MIL | MISS Mason 1' Layup | 20 | 21 |
| Q2 - 10:28 | IND | Croshere Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 20 | 21 |
| Q2 - 10:34 | MIL | Kukoc 2' Finger Roll (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST) | 20 | 21 |
| Q2 - 10:52 | IND | Harrington 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST) | 18 | 21 |
| Q2 - 11:05 | MIL | Smith Traveling Turnover (P1.T8) | 18 | 19 |
| Q2 - 11:16 | IND | SUB: Croshere FOR O'Neal | 18 | 19 |
| Q2 - 11:16 | IND | Jones P.FOUL (P2.T2) | 18 | 19 |
| Q2 - 11:29 | MIL | Bucks Rebound | 18 | 19 |
| Q2 - 11:29 | IND | Jump Ball O'Neal vs. Smith: Tip to | 18 | 19 |
| Q2 - 11:29 | IND | MISS O'Neal 3' Jump Shot | 18 | 19 |
| Q2 - 11:41 | MIL | Thomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 18 | 19 |
| Q2 - 11:41 | MIL | Bucks Rebound | 17 | 19 |
| Q2 - 11:41 | MIL | MISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 2 | 17 | 19 |
| Q2 - 11:41 | IND | Tinsley S.FOUL (P1.T1) | 17 | 19 |
| Q2 - 12:00 | 17 | 19 | ||
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIL | 17 | 19 | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIL | Bucks Rebound | 17 | 19 |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIL | MISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 17 | 19 |
| Q1 - 0:18.0 | MIL | Skinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 17 | 19 |
| Q1 - 0:20.0 | IND | MISS Harrington 3' Jump Shot | 17 | 19 |
| Q1 - 0:21.0 | IND | Harrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 17 | 19 |
| Q1 - 0:24.0 | IND | MISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot | 17 | 19 |
| Q1 - 0:43.0 | MIL | Skinner Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7) | 17 | 19 |
| Q1 - 0:53.0 | IND | Foster 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST) | 17 | 19 |
| Q1 - 1:03 | IND | Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 17 | 17 |
| Q1 - 1:05 | MIL | MISS Kukoc 10' Jump Shot | 17 | 17 |
| Q1 - 1:12 | IND | Jones P.FOUL (P1.T3) | 17 | 17 |
| Q1 - 1:22 | IND | Harrington 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 17 | 17 |
| Q1 - 1:29 | IND | SUB: Jones FOR World Peace | 17 | 15 |
| Q1 - 1:48 | MIL | Skinner 10' Hook Shot (4 PTS) | 17 | 15 |
| Q1 - 2:08 | IND | Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST) | 15 | 15 |
| Q1 - 2:29 | MIL | Bucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6) | 15 | 12 |
| Q1 - 2:43 | MIL | SUB: Mason FOR Ford | 15 | 12 |
| Q1 - 2:43 | MIL | SUB: Jones FOR Thomas | 15 | 12 |
| Q1 - 2:43 | MIL | Bucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0) | 15 | 12 |
| Q1 - 2:43 | IND | Foster P.FOUL (P1.T2) | 15 | 12 |
| Q1 - 2:58 | IND | Foster 3' Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST) | 15 | 12 |
| Q1 - 3:17 | MIL | Redd Traveling Turnover (P1.T5) | 15 | 10 |
| Q1 - 3:18 | MIL | Skinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 15 | 10 |
| Q1 - 3:20 | MIL | MISS Thomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 15 | 10 |
| Q1 - 3:39 | IND | Harrington 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 15 | 10 |
| Q1 - 3:49 | MIL | SUB: Kukoc FOR Smith | 15 | 8 |
| Q1 - 3:49 | MIL | Redd P.FOUL (P1.T1) | 15 | 8 |
| Q1 - 4:01 | IND | SUB: Tinsley FOR Anderson | 15 | 8 |
| Q1 - 4:01 | IND | SUB: Foster FOR Miller | 15 | 8 |
| Q1 - 4:01 | MIL | Thomas Foul Turnover (P2.T4) | 15 | 8 |
| Q1 - 4:01 | MIL | Thomas OFF.Foul (P1) | 15 | 8 |
| Q1 - 4:14 | MIL | Skinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 15 | 8 |
| Q1 - 4:16 | IND | MISS Harrington 19' Jump Shot | 15 | 8 |
| Q1 - 4:29 | IND | SUB: Harrington FOR Pollard | 15 | 8 |
| Q1 - 4:29 | IND | PACERS Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1) | 15 | 8 |
| Q1 - 4:37 | MIL | Redd 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Ford 4 AST) | 15 | 8 |
| Q1 - 4:39 | MIL | Ford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 13 | 8 |
| Q1 - 4:41 | IND | MISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot | 13 | 8 |
| Q1 - 4:52 | MIL | Thomas 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 13 | 8 |
| Q1 - 4:53 | MIL | Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 11 | 8 |
| Q1 - 4:55 | MIL | O'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK) | 11 | 8 |
| Q1 - 4:59 | MIL | Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 11 | 8 |
| Q1 - 5:01 | MIL | MISS Skinner 17' Jump Shot | 11 | 8 |
| Q1 - 5:19 | IND | O'Neal 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST) | 11 | 8 |
| Q1 - 5:27 | IND | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 11 | 6 |
| Q1 - 5:28 | MIL | MISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 11 | 6 |
| Q1 - 5:48 | IND | Miller 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST) | 11 | 6 |
| Q1 - 6:07 | MIL | Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ford 3 AST) | 11 | 4 |
| Q1 - 6:11 | MIL | Ford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 8 | 4 |
| Q1 - 6:13 | IND | MISS World Peace 2' Layup | 8 | 4 |
| Q1 - 6:34 | IND | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 8 | 4 |
| Q1 - 6:35 | MIL | MISS Ford 6' Jump Shot | 8 | 4 |
| Q1 - 6:57 | MIL | Skinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 8 | 4 |
| Q1 - 6:59 | IND | MISS Pollard 3' Layup | 8 | 4 |
| Q1 - 7:11 | IND | PACERS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0) | 8 | 4 |
| Q1 - 7:20 | MIL | Ford 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 8 | 4 |
| Q1 - 7:27 | MIL | Skinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 6 | 4 |
| Q1 - 7:29 | IND | MISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot | 6 | 4 |
| Q1 - 7:50 | MIL | Skinner 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Ford 2 AST) | 6 | 4 |
| Q1 - 7:54 | IND | World Peace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 4 | 4 |
| Q1 - 8:08 | IND | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 4 | 4 |
| Q1 - 8:10 | MIL | MISS Smith 19' Jump Shot | 4 | 4 |
| Q1 - 8:18 | MIL | Skinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 | 4 |
| Q1 - 8:20 | IND | MISS Anderson 3' Layup | 4 | 4 |
| Q1 - 8:36 | MIL | Redd 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 1 AST) | 4 | 4 |
| Q1 - 8:51 | MIL | Bucks Rebound | 2 | 4 |
| Q1 - 8:53 | IND | MISS World Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 2 | 4 |
| Q1 - 9:15 | MIL | Skinner Traveling Turnover (P2.T3) | 2 | 4 |
| Q1 - 9:31 | IND | Pollard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 2 | 4 |
| Q1 - 9:31 | IND | Pollard 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS) | 2 | 4 |
| Q1 - 9:33 | IND | MISS Anderson 3' Layup | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 9:40 | IND | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 9:42 | MIL | MISS Redd 20' Jump Shot | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 9:58 | MIL | Redd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 10:01 | IND | MISS Pollard 11' Jump Shot | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 10:19 | MIL | Pollard STEAL (1 STL) | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 10:43 | IND | O'Neal 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST) | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 10:46 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 2 | 0 |
| Q1 - 10:46 | IND | MISS O'Neal 3' Layup | 2 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:05 | MIL | Skinner Foul Turnover (P1.T1) | 2 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:05 | MIL | Skinner OFF.Foul (P1) | 2 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:08 | MIL | Redd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:11 | IND | MISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot | 2 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:27 | MIL | Smith 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 2 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:35 | IND | World Peace L.B.FOUL (P1.T1) | 0 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:35 | IND | Anderson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1) | 0 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:42 | IND | Pollard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 0 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:43 | IND | MISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot | 0 | 0 |
| Q1 - 12:00 | IND | Jump Ball O'Neal vs. Smith: Tip to World Peace | 0 | 0 |
| Q1 - 12:00 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Clock | Team | Event | MIL | IND |
Score / WinProb | ||||
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
Scoring by Shot Type
Total Points
|| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Redd | 21 | 58% | 10.5 / 18 | |
| T. Thomas | 20 | 67% | 10.0 / 15 | |
| D. Mason | 17 | 77% | 8.5 / 11 | |
| B. Skinner | 14 | 58% | 7.0 / 12 | |
| T. Ford | 11 | 69% | 5.5 / 8 | |
| J. Smith | 8 | 36% | 4.0 / 11 | |
| T. Kukoc | 2 | 25% | 1.0 / 4 | |
| D. Jones | 0 | - | 0.0 / 3 |
Total Points
|| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Harrington | 26 | 68% | 13.0 / 19 | |
| M. World Peace | 13 | 31% | 6.5 / 21 | |
| J. O'Neal | 12 | 33% | 6.0 / 18 | |
| A. Johnson | 10 | 100% | 5.0 / 5 | |
| K. Anderson | 6 | 43% | 3.0 / 7 | |
| J. Foster | 6 | 100% | 3.0 / 3 | |
| R. Miller | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| S. Pollard | 2 | 25% | 1.0 / 4 | |
| J. Tinsley | 2 | 11% | 1.0 / 9 | |
| A. Croshere | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 | |
| F. Jones | 0 | - | 0.0 / 2 |
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
Scoring Efficiency
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 103.6 101.1 | MIL 103.3 +13.6 IND 89.8 |
| Pace | 94.2 89.9 | MIL 88.3 IND 89.7 +1.5 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.0 16.2 | MIL 16.3 IND 16.0 −0.3 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 47.7% 47.1% | MIL 56.9% +15.7% IND 41.2% |
| TO % | 13.7% 15.0% | MIL 21.7% IND 10.0% −11.7% |
| ORB % | 27.6% 28.5% | MIL 45.2% +26.6% IND 18.6% |
| FTrt | 33.0 31.9 | MIL 23.6 +9.5 IND 14.1 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 63.0% 64.4% | MIL 51.3% IND 60.6% +9.3% |
| STL % | 7.1% 9.8% | MIL 8.9% IND 11.4% +2.5% |
| BLK % | 7.1% 8.0% | MIL 14.5% +7.5% IND 7.0% |
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 50.3% 49.2% | MIL 53.4% +10.9% IND 42.5% |
| Rim FG% | 55.7% 55.2% | MIL 68.0% +18.0% IND 50.0% |
| Mid FG% | 39.4% 38.5% | MIL 56.3% +22.0% IND 34.3% |
| 3P % | 35.0% 35.1% | MIL 26.7% +1.7% IND 25.0% |
| FT % | 77.5% 76.4% | MIL 64.7% IND 75.0% +10.3% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 36.8% 34.4% | MIL 34.7% IND 40.0% +5.3% |
| Mid Att. % | 46.0% 45.4% | MIL 44.4% IND 41.2% −3.3% |
| 3P Att. % | 17.2% 20.3% | MIL 20.8% +2.0% IND 18.8% |
| Game Totals | MIL | IND |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 90 | 88 |
| Possession Minutes | 24.5 | 23.5 |
| Points | 93 | 79 |
| Rebounds | 49 | 25 |
| Assists | 20 | 20 |
| Steals | 8 | 10 |
| Blocks | 10 | 4 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 20 (2) | 10 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 14 (2) | 8 (5) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 35 (4) | 17 (2) |
| Field Goals | 39-72 | 33-85 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 17-25 | 17-34 |
| Midrange FG | 18-32 | 12-35 |
| 2-Point FG | 35-57 | 29-69 |
| 3-Point FG | 4-15 | 4-16 |
| Free Throws | 11-17 | 9-12 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.