Final Win Prob. pScore
2912%92
93
288%106
103
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
98.99489.5
DAL logo Mavericks
108.495100.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL93
103
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAHaslem Layup (20 PTS)93
103
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)91
103
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Odom 12' Jump Shot91
103
Q4 - 0:23.0DALSUB: Best FOR Nash91
103
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 1)91
103
Q4 - 0:23.0DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)91
103
Q4 - 0:23.0DALSUB: Najera FOR Nowitzki91
102
Q4 - 0:23.0DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)91
102
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAOdom P.FOUL (P3.PN)91
101
Q4 - 0:29.0DALJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)91
101
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Odom 22' Jump Shot91
101
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)91
101
Q4 - 0:38.0DALMISS Finley 22' Jump Shot91
101
Q4 - 1:03MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P5.T18)91
101
Q4 - 1:03MIAHaslem OFF.Foul (P1)91
101
Q4 - 1:14DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)91
101
Q4 - 1:14DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)91
100
Q4 - 1:14MIAOdom P.FOUL (P2.PN)91
99
Q4 - 1:19MIAOdom Driving Layup (17 PTS)91
99
Q4 - 1:30DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)89
99
Q4 - 1:30DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)89
98
Q4 - 1:30MIAAlston S.FOUL (P5.PN)89
97
Q4 - 1:52MIAOdom 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)89
97
Q4 - 2:00DALSUB: Jamison FOR Najera86
97
Q4 - 2:11MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
97
Q4 - 2:13DALMISS Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot86
97
Q4 - 2:39MIAHaslem Layup (18 PTS) (Odom 9 AST)86
97
Q4 - 2:58MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
97
Q4 - 3:00DALMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot84
97
Q4 - 3:18DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
97
Q4 - 3:20MIAWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)84
97
Q4 - 3:39DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Walker 6 AST)84
97
Q4 - 4:02MIAGrant Dunk (13 PTS) (Odom 8 AST)84
94
Q4 - 4:10DALSUB: Finley FOR Delk82
94
Q4 - 4:10MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)82
94
Q4 - 4:18DALWalker Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Nash 11 AST)82
94
Q4 - 4:35MIAGrant Layup (11 PTS)82
92
Q4 - 4:37MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)80
92
Q4 - 4:39MIAMISS Alston 21' Jump Shot80
92
Q4 - 5:03DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)80
92
Q4 - 5:03DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)80
91
Q4 - 5:03MIAWallace S.FOUL (P2.T4)80
90
Q4 - 5:14DALSUB: Walker FOR Jamison80
90
Q4 - 5:14MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)80
90
Q4 - 5:27DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (28 PTS)80
90
Q4 - 5:46MIAWallace 12' Jump Shot (19 PTS)80
88
Q4 - 6:01DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)78
88
Q4 - 6:01DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)78
87
Q4 - 6:01MIAAlston S.FOUL (P4.T3)78
86
Q4 - 6:01DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
86
Q4 - 6:03DALMISS Nash 16' Jump Shot78
86
Q4 - 6:06DALDelk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
86
Q4 - 6:08MIADelk BLOCK (1 BLK)78
86
Q4 - 6:13DALNash Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)78
86
Q4 - 6:21DALJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
86
Q4 - 6:22MIAMISS Wallace 6' Jump Shot78
86
Q4 - 6:33DALDelk P.FOUL (P2.T2)78
86
Q4 - 6:35DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)78
86
Q4 - 6:47MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)78
86
Q4 - 6:56MIASUB: Odom FOR Coles75
86
Q4 - 6:56MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 1)75
86
Q4 - 7:06DALJamison Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Nash 10 AST)75
86
Q4 - 7:10DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
84
Q4 - 7:12MIAMISS Wallace 13' Jump Shot75
84
Q4 - 7:24DALNajera 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T10)75
84
Q4 - 7:38DALJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
84
Q4 - 7:39MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 275
84
Q4 - 7:39MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)75
84
Q4 - 7:39DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P3.T1)74
84
Q4 - 7:39MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)74
84
Q4 - 7:40MIAMISS Alston 9' Jump Shot74
84
Q4 - 8:00DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)74
84
Q4 - 8:00MIASUB: Haslem FOR Odom74
83
Q4 - 8:00DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)74
83
Q4 - 8:00MIAWallace S.FOUL (P1.T2)74
82
Q4 - 8:12MIAWallace 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS)74
82
Q4 - 8:36MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)72
82
Q4 - 8:38DALDelk 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nash 9 AST)72
82
Q4 - 8:49MIAAlston Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)72
79
Q4 - 8:58MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)72
79
Q4 - 9:00DALMISS Nash Free Throw 2 of 272
79
Q4 - 9:00DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)72
79
Q4 - 9:00DALNash Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)72
78
Q4 - 9:00MIAAlston T.FOUL (P3.T1)72
77
Q4 - 9:00MIAAlston S.FOUL (P3.T1)72
77
Q4 - 9:12MIAOdom 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)72
77
Q4 - 9:18MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
77
Q4 - 9:20DALMISS Jamison 5' Hook Shot70
77
Q4 - 9:35DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Best70
77
Q4 - 9:35DALSUB: Delk FOR Walker70
77
Q4 - 9:35DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)70
77
Q4 - 9:35MIAWallace 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS)70
77
Q4 - 9:46DALJamison Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)68
77
Q4 - 10:04MIAColes 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)68
77
Q4 - 10:19DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)66
77
Q4 - 10:44MIASUB: Alston FOR Haslem66
77
Q4 - 10:44MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P2.T15)66
77
Q4 - 10:44MIAOdom OFF.Foul (P1)66
77
Q4 - 11:02DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)66
77
Q4 - 11:24MIAWallace 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)66
74
Q4 - 11:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)64
74
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Odom 11' Jump Shot64
74
Q4 - 12:0064
74
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA64
74
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound64
74
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Alston 49' 3PT Jump Shot64
74
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
74
Q3 - 0:03.0DALMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
74
Q3 - 0:13.0DALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)64
74
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 264
74
Q3 - 0:13.0MIASUB: Coles FOR Wallace64
74
Q3 - 0:13.0DALSUB: Nash FOR Najera64
74
Q3 - 0:13.0MIASUB: Allen FOR Grant64
74
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)64
74
Q3 - 0:13.0DALNajera S.FOUL (P2.PN)63
74
Q3 - 0:23.0DALNajera P.FOUL (P1.T2)63
74
Q3 - 0:33.0DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Walker 5 AST)63
74
Q3 - 0:41.0MIASUB: Grant FOR Allen63
72
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P2.T14)63
72
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAAllen OFF.Foul (P2)63
72
Q3 - 1:03DALNowitzki 23' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)63
72
Q3 - 1:10DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
70
Q3 - 1:11MIAMISS Odom 7' Jump Shot63
70
Q3 - 1:31DALFinley 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)63
70
Q3 - 1:47MIAAllen Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)63
68
Q3 - 2:04DALBest Driving Layup (2 PTS)63
68
Q3 - 2:21MIASUB: Wallace FOR Penney63
66
Q3 - 2:21MIAAllen L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)63
66
Q3 - 2:21DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
66
Q3 - 2:22MIAMISS Odom 14' Jump Shot63
66
Q3 - 2:45DALWalker Driving Layup (11 PTS)63
66
Q3 - 3:02MIAOdom Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)63
64
Q3 - 3:16DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Best 3 AST)61
64
Q3 - 3:33MIAAllen 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)61
62
Q3 - 3:39MIAPenney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
62
Q3 - 3:43DALMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot59
62
Q3 - 4:01MIAHaslem Driving Layup (15 PTS)59
62
Q3 - 4:09DALSUB: Best FOR Nash57
62
Q3 - 4:09MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)57
62
Q3 - 4:19DALWalker Layup (9 PTS)57
62
Q3 - 4:20DALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)57
60
Q3 - 4:22DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
60
Q3 - 4:30DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)57
60
Q3 - 4:32MIAMISS Odom 16' Jump Shot57
60
Q3 - 4:52DALNajera Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)57
60
Q3 - 4:57MIANajera STEAL (1 STL)57
58
Q3 - 5:04MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
58
Q3 - 5:05DALMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot57
58
Q3 - 5:23MIAAlston 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)57
58
Q3 - 5:31MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
58
Q3 - 5:33MIAMISS Odom 14' Jump Shot55
58
Q3 - 5:49MIASUB: Allen FOR Coles55
58
Q3 - 5:49MIASUB: Penney FOR Grant55
58
Q3 - 5:49DALSUB: Najera FOR Delk55
58
Q3 - 5:49DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)55
58
Q3 - 5:49DALNash Foul Turnover (P2.T7)55
58
Q3 - 5:49DALNash OFF.Foul (P1)55
58
Q3 - 5:59DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)55
58
Q3 - 6:02MIAMISS Odom 10' Fadeaway Jumper55
58
Q3 - 6:23DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)55
58
Q3 - 6:46MIAAlston 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)55
55
Q3 - 6:51MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)53
55
Q3 - 6:52DALMISS Nowitzki Layup53
55
Q3 - 7:05MIAGrant 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11)53
55
Q3 - 7:15MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
55
Q3 - 7:20DALMISS Walker Driving Layup53
55
Q3 - 7:31DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
55
Q3 - 7:32MIAMISS Coles 22' Jump Shot53
55
Q3 - 7:59DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)53
55
Q3 - 8:21DALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)53
52
Q3 - 8:22MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 253
52
Q3 - 8:22MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)53
52
Q3 - 8:22DALWalker S.FOUL (P1.T1)52
52
Q3 - 8:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)52
52
Q3 - 8:43DALMISS Walker Driving Layup52
52
Q3 - 8:48DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
52
Q3 - 8:49MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot52
52
Q3 - 9:12DALNowitzki Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)52
52
Q3 - 9:15DALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)52
50
Q3 - 9:17MIAFinley BLOCK (1 BLK)52
50
Q3 - 9:34MIAHeat Rebound52
50
Q3 - 9:36DALMISS Walker Layup52
50
Q3 - 9:45MIAGrant P.FOUL (P3.T2)52
50
Q3 - 9:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)52
50
Q3 - 9:56MIAHaslem Tip Shot (13 PTS)52
50
Q3 - 9:58MIAMISS Alston Driving Layup50
50
Q3 - 10:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)50
50
Q3 - 10:05DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
50
Q3 - 10:29DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
50
Q3 - 10:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
50
Q3 - 10:31MIAMISS Haslem Layup50
50
Q3 - 10:33MIAMISS Coles 19' Jump Shot50
50
Q3 - 10:49MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
50
Q3 - 10:51MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
50
Q3 - 11:11DALNowitzki Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)50
50
Q3 - 11:23MIAColes P.FOUL (P2.T1)50
48
Q3 - 11:23DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
48
Q3 - 11:25MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot50
48
Q3 - 11:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
48
Q3 - 11:45DALMISS Nash 10' Fadeaway Jumper50
48
Q3 - 12:0050
48
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL50
48
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA50
48
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Odom 7 AST)50
48
Q2 - 0:14.0DALNash 7' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)48
48
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAAlston P.FOUL (P2.T2)48
46
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAWallace 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)48
46
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
46
Q2 - 0:36.0MIANajera BLOCK (1 BLK)45
46
Q2 - 0:54.0DALDelk Layup (14 PTS)45
46
Q2 - 0:54.0DALDelk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
44
Q2 - 0:55.0DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot45
44
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAJamison STEAL (1 STL)45
44
Q2 - 1:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
44
Q2 - 1:02DALMISS Delk 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
44
Q2 - 1:27MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)45
44
Q2 - 1:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
44
Q2 - 1:42MIAMISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot42
44
Q2 - 2:05DALJamison 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)42
44
Q2 - 2:16DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)42
42
Q2 - 2:16DALMAVERICKS Rebound42
42
Q2 - 2:16MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
42
Q2 - 2:35DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)42
42
Q2 - 2:47MIAWallace 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)42
40
Q2 - 3:08DALDelk 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)40
40
Q2 - 3:21MIAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)40
37
Q2 - 3:21MIAWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
37
Q2 - 3:21MIASUB: Alston FOR Woods38
37
Q2 - 3:21MIASUB: Haslem FOR Coles38
37
Q2 - 3:21DALSUB: Najera FOR Bradley38
37
Q2 - 3:21DALSUB: Nash FOR Best38
37
Q2 - 3:21DALBest S.FOUL (P1.T2)38
37
Q2 - 3:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)38
37
Q2 - 3:29DALMISS Best 18' Jump Shot38
37
Q2 - 3:54MIAWallace 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
37
Q2 - 4:04MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)36
37
Q2 - 4:05DALMISS Jamison 7' Jump Hook Shot36
37
Q2 - 4:07DALJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
37
Q2 - 4:09DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot36
37
Q2 - 4:31MIAWallace Layup (2 PTS)36
37
Q2 - 4:33MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
37
Q2 - 4:35MIAMISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot34
37
Q2 - 4:53DALJamison 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)34
37
Q2 - 5:10DALSUB: Delk FOR Finley34
35
Q2 - 5:1034
35
Q2 - 5:10MIAWallace Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)34
35
Q2 - 5:27DALJamison 12' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)34
35
Q2 - 5:49MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Odom 6 AST)34
33
Q2 - 6:04MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)32
33
Q2 - 6:06DALMISS Jamison 9' Jump Shot32
33
Q2 - 6:22MIAOdom 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS)32
33
Q2 - 6:40MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
33
Q2 - 6:42DALMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot30
33
Q2 - 6:53MIASUB: Odom FOR Penney30
33
Q2 - 6:53MIAGrant P.FOUL (P2.T1)30
33
Q2 - 7:03MIAWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)30
33
Q2 - 7:20DALFinley Slam Dunk (7 PTS)30
33
Q2 - 7:24MIABradley STEAL (1 STL)30
31
Q2 - 7:36MIAHeat Rebound30
31
Q2 - 7:38DALMISS Best 14' Jump Shot30
31
Q2 - 8:00DALJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
31
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS Coles 17' Jump Shot30
31
Q2 - 8:09MIASUB: Woods FOR Allen30
31
Q2 - 8:09MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)30
31
Q2 - 8:16DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Best 2 AST)30
31
Q2 - 8:21DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
29
Q2 - 8:23MIAMISS Penney 21' Jump Shot30
29
Q2 - 8:43DALJamison 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 1 AST)30
29
Q2 - 8:55DALBest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
27
Q2 - 8:57MIAMISS Penney 3PT Jump Shot30
27
Q2 - 9:03DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)30
27
Q2 - 9:13MIASUB: Wallace FOR Odom30
27
Q2 - 9:13MIAPenney Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)30
27
Q2 - 9:20MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
27
Q2 - 9:23DALMISS Jamison 17' Jump Shot30
27
Q2 - 9:41MIAColes 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Penney 1 AST)30
27
Q2 - 9:53DALNowitzki L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)28
27
Q2 - 9:53MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
27
Q2 - 9:54MIAMISS Penney 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
27
Q2 - 10:12DALSUB: Bradley FOR Walker28
27
Q2 - 10:12MIASUB: Coles FOR Alston28
27
Q2 - 10:12MIAHeat Rebound28
27
Q2 - 10:13DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot28
27
Q2 - 10:27DALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
27
Q2 - 10:29MIAMISS Allen 22' Jump Shot28
27
Q2 - 10:43DALWalker 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)28
27
Q2 - 11:01DALJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
25
Q2 - 11:03MIAMISS Alston 11' Jump Shot28
25
Q2 - 11:08DALWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)28
25
Q2 - 11:19MIAGrant 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Odom 5 AST)28
25
Q2 - 11:32MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
25
Q2 - 11:35DALMISS Jamison 20' Jump Shot26
25
Q2 - 11:41DALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
25
Q2 - 11:43MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup26
25
Q2 - 11:49DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)26
25
Q2 - 12:0026
25
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL26
25
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAOdom 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)26
25
Q1 - 0:17.0DALFinley 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)23
25
Q1 - 0:30.0DALDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
22
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot23
22
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
22
Q1 - 0:50.0DALMISS Nash Layup23
22
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAAlston P.FOUL (P1.T4)23
22
Q1 - 1:09DALMAVERICKS Rebound23
22
Q1 - 1:10MIAMISS Penney 19' Jump Shot23
22
Q1 - 1:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
22
Q1 - 1:26DALMISS Walker Layup23
22
Q1 - 1:46MIAAlston Driving Layup (5 PTS)23
22
Q1 - 1:49MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
22
Q1 - 1:52DALMISS Nash 7' Fadeaway Jumper21
22
Q1 - 2:00DALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
22
Q1 - 2:01MIAMISS Penney 23' Jump Shot21
22
Q1 - 2:11MIASUB: Allen FOR Grant21
22
Q1 - 2:11DALSUB: Jamison FOR Nowitzki21
22
Q1 - 2:11DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)21
22
Q1 - 2:11MIAHeat Rebound21
22
Q1 - 2:12DALMISS Delk 3PT Jump Shot21
22
Q1 - 2:19MIANash STEAL (2 STL)21
22
Q1 - 2:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
22
Q1 - 2:23DALMISS Finley Driving Layup21
22
Q1 - 2:30DALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
22
Q1 - 2:33MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup21
22
Q1 - 2:44MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
22
Q1 - 2:46DALMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
22
Q1 - 3:09MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)21
22
Q1 - 3:30DALNowitzki 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)19
22
Q1 - 3:39MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)19
20
Q1 - 3:45MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
20
Q1 - 3:47DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
20
Q1 - 4:02MIAPenney 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)17
20
Q1 - 4:16DALDelk Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)14
20
Q1 - 4:16DALDelk Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)14
19
Q1 - 4:16MIAGrant S.FOUL (P1.T3)14
18
Q1 - 4:18MIADelk STEAL (1 STL)14
18
Q1 - 4:22MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
18
Q1 - 4:25DALMISS Finley Reverse Layup14
18
Q1 - 4:30MIAWalker STEAL (1 STL)14
18
Q1 - 4:36MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
18
Q1 - 4:38DALMISS Walker 5' Jump Shot14
18
Q1 - 4:46MIAPenney P.FOUL (P1.T2)14
18
Q1 - 4:51MIASUB: Penney FOR Coles14
18
Q1 - 4:51MIAColes P.FOUL (P1.T1)14
18
Q1 - 4:59MIAOdom 13' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
18
Q1 - 5:14DALWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)12
18
Q1 - 5:33MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS)12
18
Q1 - 5:42MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
18
Q1 - 5:44DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot10
18
Q1 - 5:50MIAFinley STEAL (1 STL)10
18
Q1 - 6:03MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
18
Q1 - 6:06DALMISS Delk 3PT Jump Shot10
18
Q1 - 6:24MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)10
18
Q1 - 6:42DALDelk 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)7
18
Q1 - 6:58MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)7
15
Q1 - 7:20DALWalker Layup (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)5
15
Q1 - 7:33MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)5
13
Q1 - 7:33MIAHeat Rebound4
13
Q1 - 7:33MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 24
13
Q1 - 7:33DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P1.T2)4
13
Q1 - 7:47DALDelk 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
13
Q1 - 7:56DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
11
Q1 - 7:59MIAMISS Alston 18' Jump Shot4
11
Q1 - 8:10DALWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
11
Q1 - 8:25MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
11
Q1 - 8:25MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
11
Q1 - 8:25DALDelk S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
11
Q1 - 8:35MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)2
11
Q1 - 8:45DALWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)2
11
Q1 - 8:52DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
8
Q1 - 8:54MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot2
8
Q1 - 9:12DALNash 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
8
Q1 - 9:17DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
6
Q1 - 9:19MIAMISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
6
Q1 - 9:30DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
6
Q1 - 9:34DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
6
Q1 - 9:36MIAMISS Coles 22' Jump Shot2
6
Q1 - 10:02DALDelk 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
6
Q1 - 10:11DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 10:13MIAMISS Odom 16' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 10:31DALFinley Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)2
4
Q1 - 10:35MIANash STEAL (1 STL)2
2
Q1 - 10:51DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 11:05DALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 11:07MIAMISS Coles 18' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 11:18DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:35MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Coles 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Nowitzki vs. Grant: Tip to Alston0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIADAL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.7%
DAL
1.16 57.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
18
67%
DAL
10
20
50%
Midrange
MIA
20
51
39%
DAL
20
38
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
DAL
9
13.5
19
47%
71%
Free Throws
MIA
8
12
67%
DAL
16
17
94%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
U. Haslem2067%10.0 / 15
J. Wallace1968%9.5 / 14
L. Odom1743%8.5 / 20
R. Alston1550%7.5 / 15
B. Grant1365%6.5 / 10
B. Coles429%2.0 / 7
K. Penney325%1.5 / 6
M. Allen250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki3063%15.0 / 24
S. Nash1875%9.0 / 12
T. Delk1785%8.5 / 10
A. Walker1346%6.5 / 14
M. Finley1150%5.5 / 11
A. Jamison1050%5.0 / 10
E. Najera2100%1.0 / 1
T. Best233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+13
-18
89
DAL
84
+4
-11
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.7%
DAL
1.16 57.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
109.8
MIA 98.9
DAL 108.4 +9.5
Pace
90.6
95.3
MIA 89.5
DAL 100.1 +10.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.9
MIA 16.1
DAL 14.4 −1.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
49.5%
MIA 51.2%
DAL 56.5% +5.3%
TO %
14.4%
12.3%
MIA 16.9%
DAL 12.4% −4.5%
ORB %
27.5%
31.4%
MIA 27.3% +15.9%
DAL 11.4%
FTrt
29.8
25.6
MIA 14.5
DAL 22.1 +7.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
59.1%
MIA 48.7%
DAL 64.1% +15.4%
STL %
7.9%
8.3%
MIA 7.4%
DAL 8.4% +1.0%
BLK %
6.3%
8.2%
MIA 1.7%
DAL 5.8% +4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.86 and 2.86.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
51.4%
MIA 51.7%
DAL 57.9% +6.2%
Rim FG%
53.9%
59.0%
MIA 66.7% +16.7%
DAL 50.0%
Mid FG%
36.9%
41.4%
MIA 39.2%
DAL 52.6% +13.4%
3P %
35.7%
34.8%
MIA 50.0% +2.6%
DAL 47.4%
FT %
76.2%
79.6%
MIA 66.7%
DAL 94.1% +27.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
33.5%
MIA 21.7%
DAL 26.0% +4.3%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
46.4%
MIA 61.4%
DAL 49.4% −12.1%
3P Att. %
21.1%
20.1%
MIA 16.9%
DAL 24.7% +7.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADAL
Possessions9495
Possession Minutes25.222.8
Points93103
Rebounds4336
Assists1925
Steals78
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (1)4 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (4)32 (2)
Field Goals39-8339-77
At-the-Rim FG12-1810-20
Midrange FG20-5120-38
2-Point FG32-6930-58
3-Point FG7-149-19
Free Throws8-1216-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
44.6
17
43%
6
9
0
0
2
3
1
5
1-2
50%
5-16
31%
2-3
67%
C · 6'9" 254 · 32
40.5
13
65%
12
2
1
0
1
3
2
10
1-2
50%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
39.9
15
50%
5
4
2
0
3
5
1
4
0-0
-
3-8
38%
3-7
43%
F · 6'8" 235 · 23
36.6
20
67%
12
1
0
1
5
1
5
7
4-6
67%
8-12
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 182 · 36
25.5
4
29%
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
23.3
19
68%
1
1
2
0
2
2
1
0
2-2
100%
7-12
58%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 220 · 23
13.4
3
25%
1
1
1
0
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
11.4
2
50%
6
0
0
0
2
2
2
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 260 · 25
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32
G · 6'4" 220 · 22
F · 6'9" 237 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
52%
43
19
7
1
18
0
12
31
8-12
67%
32-69
46%
7-14
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.