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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 4, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Lakers60%105113
11Bucks40%102107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 25.2
40.4
32.5
31
59%
7
8
1
1
2
0
5
2
9-10
90%
8-18
6-13
44%
46%
2-4
50%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 31.7
38.6
36.8
23
56%
14
1
0
1
3
1
4
10
5-13
38%
9-15
9-16
60%
55%
0-0
-
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 40.3
36.0
33.5
11
31%
11
5
2
2
0
1
3
8
3-6
50%
4-15
6-13
27%
45%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.3
35.4
33.6
19
57%
3
5
1
1
0
4
1
2
4-4
100%
6-10
6-12
60%
47%
1-5
20%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.2
33.2
34.7
11
80%
7
2
1
1
0
2
2
5
1-2
50%
2-2
3-6
100%
44%
2-4
50%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 29.2
20.7
24.0
10
63%
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
2-4
50%
Horace Grant
C · 6'10" 245 · 38.3
14.3
13.0
1
13%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-3
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.0
8.3
9.9
3
52%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
43%
1-2
50%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.8
6.6
12.2
2
100%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
38%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.6
6.5
4.2
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 24.6
4.1
0
1-2
46%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.0
3.9
0
0-1
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 26.7
39.1
29.2
16
43%
11
4
1
1
0
1
2
9
8-8
100%
4-11
4-9
36%
45%
0-4
0%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.2
34.3
32.4
36
70%
8
2
1
1
0
4
5
3
5-6
83%
8-16
4-9
50%
47%
5-7
71%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 28.3
31.9
27.9
6
30%
11
0
0
1
2
1
5
6
2-2
100%
2-9
4-8
22%
46%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 20.6
26.8
23.1
5
21%
5
7
1
1
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
1-10
2-5
10%
38%
0-0
-
Daniel Santiago
C · 7'0" 256 · 27.4
23.4
2.4
8
57%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-7
0-1
57%
43%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 26.1
25.9
31.0
13
71%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
5-5
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
45%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.2
21.3
19.8
10
63%
0
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
40%
2-5
40%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.8
18.9
9.6
1
10%
2
0
2
0
3
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-4
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 35.1
16.4
19.2
8
67%
4
2
1
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
2-3
67%
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.9
2.0
5.1
4
86%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
2-3
67%
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Erick Strickland
G · 6'3" 218 · 29.9
11.0
0
1-2
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.