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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 6, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Mavericks57%9771
27Raptors43%9577
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.4
42.4
34.9
27
62%
5
3
0
1
3
4
0
5
4-4
100%
10-18
5-10
56%
48%
1-2
50%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 30.7
40.1
34.6
11
40%
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
3-10
3-7
30%
44%
1-3
33%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.2
38.7
33.8
14
34%
17
7
1
1
2
9
8
9
1-1
100%
5-16
4-9
31%
42%
1-4
25%
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 29.8
35.9
22.6
6
38%
7
3
2
1
1
1
2
5
1-2
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
42%
1-2
50%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.3
30.1
12.8
9
57%
8
0
2
0
0
1
3
5
1-2
50%
4-7
1-2
57%
49%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
20.8
28.5
2
17%
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-6
5-10
17%
47%
0-0
-
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 31.3
13.0
20.9
2
17%
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
40%
0-1
0%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 31.6
8.7
10.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 23.5
5.7
7.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.8
4.6
5.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 29.7
20.7
1
2-4
46%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 27.6
8.2
0
1-2
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.0
34.3
27.8
13
51%
12
2
2
0
2
3
5
7
5-6
83%
4-10
3-8
40%
41%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.8
31.2
29.7
19
49%
5
6
2
1
1
3
1
4
5-8
63%
7-15
7-14
47%
46%
0-1
0%
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 30.5
23.9
32.5
4
100%
6
0
0
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
2-2
3-7
100%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Curry
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 35.2
17.5
17.3
4
67%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
42%
0-0
-
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 29.3
17.5
22.5
4
22%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-9
3-6
22%
44%
0-0
-
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.7
30.8
26.2
11
46%
2
7
3
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
4-11
2-5
36%
42%
1-1
100%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 19.6
30.6
21.0
6
38%
9
0
2
1
2
0
2
7
2-2
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
45%
0-0
-
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.5
25.1
25.4
4
23%
3
5
2
1
1
3
0
3
1-2
50%
0-4
3-8
0%
42%
1-4
25%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.2
22.3
14.3
12
87%
3
0
2
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
42%
2-3
67%
Jerome Moiso
F · 6'10" 260 · 25.4
6.8
6.8
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Chris Jefferies
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.7
2.3
0
0-1
42%
Mengke Bateer
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.0
1.3
0
0-0
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.