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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 7, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Raptors30%8560
20Wizards70%9186
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.8
37.1
30.6
18
40%
2
1
2
1
0
3
1
1
2-3
67%
8-19
6-14
42%
45%
0-2
0%
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 30.5
32.4
26.9
5
54%
13
2
2
1
0
3
1
12
3-6
50%
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.0
28.8
31.1
0
0%
7
0
0
0
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
0-4
4-9
0%
40%
0-0
-
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 29.3
22.6
20.2
4
29%
1
6
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
42%
0-0
-
Michael Curry
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 35.2
15.8
17.1
4
40%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
42%
0-0
-
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.7
25.4
28.3
2
17%
1
3
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
41%
0-0
-
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 19.6
24.6
26.4
2
33%
4
1
0
1
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
43%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.2
19.3
19.5
11
63%
1
0
3
1
1
1
0
1
3-4
75%
4-5
2-4
80%
41%
0-2
0%
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.5
17.3
24.4
9
56%
5
0
0
1
1
5
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
40%
1-3
33%
Jerome Moiso
F · 6'10" 260 · 25.4
10.2
7.3
0
0%
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
1
0-1
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Jefferies
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.7
6.4
1.7
5
56%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
0-0
67%
39%
0-1
0%
Mengke Bateer
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.0
0.9
0
0-0
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.2
40.6
31.4
13
47%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
4-11
3-8
36%
43%
1-2
50%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.8
27.9
30.1
16
58%
6
3
2
1
0
2
1
5
2-4
50%
4-9
4-9
44%
46%
2-3
67%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.8
27.3
34.5
11
53%
4
5
0
1
0
3
1
3
3-3
100%
4-5
4-9
80%
47%
0-4
0%
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 34.2
27.0
30.1
9
75%
11
1
1
1
0
2
1
10
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
49%
1-1
100%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 21.7
22.6
28.5
5
29%
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
1-7
3-7
14%
44%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 21.9
28.8
16.2
10
41%
5
1
1
1
0
1
2
3
2-3
67%
4-10
2-4
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 25.1
21.1
15.0
13
71%
3
2
4
1
0
1
3
0
4-5
80%
3-6
2-4
50%
41%
1-1
100%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 25.6
19.6
20.4
5
40%
7
2
1
0
1
2
3
4
3-5
60%
1-4
2-5
25%
49%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 23.7
14.4
7.8
0
0%
0
3
2
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
39%
0-2
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 23.9
5.3
10.2
4
40%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Whitney
G · 6'0" 175 · 32.1
5.3
8.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 28.0
3.0
0
0-1
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.