for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 7, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Lakers49%10295
10Hornets51%103114
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 25.2
37.0
37.4
11
35%
4
3
1
2
0
3
1
3
3-4
75%
4-10
7-15
40%
45%
0-4
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 31.7
30.4
38.4
21
72%
6
0
0
1
0
1
0
6
5-8
63%
8-11
9-17
73%
53%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.3
28.8
35.7
7
32%
4
11
1
1
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
3-8
5-12
38%
46%
0-2
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.2
28.6
28.3
16
80%
4
2
0
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
4-5
80%
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 40.3
27.5
33.9
10
57%
6
2
0
1
0
2
1
5
4-4
100%
3-7
6-13
43%
43%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 29.2
27.1
26.4
11
51%
2
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
42%
1-3
33%
Horace Grant
C · 6'10" 245 · 38.3
17.6
11.5
5
87%
5
2
0
0
0
1
4
1
1-2
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.9
13.9
11.0
6
51%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
1-1
33%
37%
1-2
50%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.0
13.6
3.2
2
50%
0
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.6
13.6
4.5
6
61%
0
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-2
0-1
100%
42%
0-2
0%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.0
2.0
7.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-1
0%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 24.6
4.1
0
1-2
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 24.6
36.2
37.9
23
57%
1
12
4
2
0
2
0
1
1-3
33%
5-10
5-12
50%
43%
4-9
44%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 34.1
33.7
32.3
20
95%
7
3
1
1
0
1
2
5
6-8
75%
7-7
4-7
100%
49%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.5
32.1
28.4
13
67%
8
3
1
1
0
1
0
8
3-4
75%
5-8
4-8
63%
48%
0-0
-
George Lynch
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.2
31.8
27.5
15
73%
6
3
0
1
1
0
2
4
3-3
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
41%
2-4
50%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 33.0
29.4
31.1
17
61%
0
5
1
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
4-9
4-9
44%
42%
3-5
60%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.4
25.1
23.1
11
70%
7
5
2
1
1
1
2
5
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
46%
2-4
50%
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 34.6
20.4
11.0
7
72%
1
0
1
0
0
3
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
41%
1-1
100%
Sean Rooks
C · 6'10" 260 · 34.2
13.3
10.8
4
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
40%
0-0
-
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 26.8
6.5
15.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
6.3
10.3
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
42%
0-0
-
Bryce Drew
G · 6'3" 184 · 29.1
5.3
1.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 35.3
7.3
0
1-2
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.