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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 8, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Magic17%8886
9Rockets83%10096
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.7
42.0
33.6
22
57%
7
3
2
1
0
0
2
5
2-3
67%
10-18
6-14
56%
42%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 24.5
41.3
34.4
14
31%
6
5
1
1
1
5
1
5
2-3
67%
3-17
6-13
18%
45%
2-4
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 22.1
39.6
33.8
8
34%
4
2
0
1
1
1
1
3
4-4
100%
2-10
5-11
20%
43%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.5
38.0
33.1
18
60%
5
7
1
1
1
1
2
3
7-7
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
43%
1-2
50%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.0
32.3
18.8
15
70%
9
1
0
0
2
1
4
5
1-4
25%
7-9
2-4
78%
44%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 23.5
17.4
17.8
7
58%
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
38%
1-3
33%
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 28.6
13.2
23.4
1
114%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
0-0
1-4
-
39%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 19.7
7.2
12.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
40%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 27.2
4.9
20.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
40%
0-0
-
Donnell Harvey
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.2
4.0
8.7
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Reece Gaines
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.8
9.9
0
1-2
37%
Andrew DeClercq
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.8
7.7
0
1-2
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 26.7
43.8
34.4
31
72%
7
6
2
1
2
3
2
5
6-8
75%
8-12
5-11
67%
47%
3-6
50%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.2
41.7
37.2
21
71%
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
7-12
4-7
58%
48%
2-2
100%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.1
34.3
33.2
5
23%
5
3
1
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
46%
1-8
13%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 23.2
33.8
31.7
16
39%
11
3
1
1
1
1
6
5
4-6
67%
6-18
5-10
33%
51%
0-0
-
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 29.2
29.6
25.9
10
57%
11
1
1
1
1
2
4
7
4-4
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
54%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 23.3
18.9
11.8
6
43%
2
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
2-5
40%
Torraye Braggs
F · 6'8" 245 · 27.5
15.6
7.5
0
0%
10
1
1
0
0
3
5
5
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.6
15.3
5.4
7
90%
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-2
0%
2-2
1-1
100%
47%
1-1
100%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.3
7.1
19.2
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 24.5
4.5
0
0-1
39%
John Amaechi
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 33.0
2.2
0
0-1
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.