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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 8, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Mavericks44%9681
10Spurs56%9878
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.4
40.3
37.0
15
40%
11
3
3
1
0
5
0
11
0-2
0%
6-11
6-12
55%
47%
1-7
14%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 29.7
37.5
14.7
15
58%
3
6
0
0
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
4-9
1-3
44%
45%
2-3
67%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 30.7
36.2
36.0
7
39%
3
5
4
1
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-5
4-8
20%
44%
1-3
33%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.2
35.8
34.9
9
38%
8
1
0
1
1
3
4
4
0-0
-
3-8
4-10
38%
42%
1-4
25%
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 29.8
29.1
26.9
12
48%
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-1
0%
6-9
2-5
67%
41%
0-3
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
31.7
25.5
20
57%
9
1
0
1
0
0
4
5
4-6
67%
8-15
5-10
53%
47%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.3
13.7
19.1
2
33%
5
1
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 31.3
9.5
17.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
39%
0-0
-
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 27.6
3.4
5.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 31.6
2.8
9.9
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 23.5
7.2
0
1-2
39%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.8
5.0
0
1-1
39%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 29.0
40.4
31.0
20
54%
22
1
0
1
0
4
9
13
8-10
80%
6-14
4-9
43%
44%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.3
37.1
32.8
17
48%
1
7
3
2
1
2
0
1
4-4
100%
5-12
3-7
42%
43%
1-4
25%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.5
36.2
31.7
7
39%
5
1
2
1
1
1
1
4
1-2
50%
3-8
3-7
38%
44%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 32.4
33.0
32.7
5
23%
6
2
0
1
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-7
1-3
14%
43%
1-4
25%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.4
30.8
29.4
10
50%
7
0
2
1
2
3
3
4
0-0
-
5-10
4-9
50%
50%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33.2
24.8
12.8
7
27%
4
2
0
0
1
1
1
3
1-2
50%
3-10
1-2
30%
44%
0-2
0%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 24.6
21.5
18.3
7
36%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
5-6
83%
1-5
2-5
20%
43%
0-2
0%
Shane Heal
G · 6'0" 180 · 33.2
11.2
10.8
3
38%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
1-4
25%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.9
5.0
8.6
2
53%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.5
12.1
0
3-5
51%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41.2
11.5
0
2-4
44%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.5
8.4
0
1-3
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.