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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 9, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Hawks25%9491
13SuperSonics75%10381
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.1
41.7
32.4
23
72%
9
3
2
1
0
4
2
7
5-7
71%
3-6
4-9
50%
45%
4-7
57%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 30.6
37.6
30.3
10
63%
7
0
2
1
4
1
2
5
2-2
100%
4-7
3-8
57%
43%
0-0
-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.9
35.3
33.3
14
39%
11
5
2
1
0
2
2
9
2-2
100%
6-17
5-11
35%
45%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 25.6
34.4
35.6
15
69%
5
3
4
2
1
4
2
3
2-2
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
47%
3-6
50%
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 25.0
23.7
32.8
13
55%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
4-9
4-10
44%
42%
1-2
50%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 21.6
22.6
14.3
5
87%
5
0
1
0
2
2
1
4
1-2
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.7
22.1
21.7
7
90%
2
3
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
3-3
2-5
100%
44%
0-0
-
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.7
12.9
13.5
4
40%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
44%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 26.2
6.4
18.7
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
42%
0-0
-
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 25.1
1.1
5.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
37%
0-0
-
Travis Hansen
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 25.6
1.1
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-0
-
Chris Crawford
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.5
1.1
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.3
41.3
35.7
16
50%
9
0
2
1
1
3
2
7
2-2
100%
7-12
7-13
58%
50%
0-3
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.0
40.8
35.4
8
25%
9
4
5
1
1
3
4
5
0-0
-
4-11
3-8
36%
45%
0-5
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 31.9
35.1
32.7
6
34%
5
2
0
2
0
4
1
4
4-4
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
55%
0-2
0%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
34.5
35.1
24
53%
7
2
1
1
1
3
0
7
5-6
83%
8-16
5-12
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.5
21.4
23.3
6
38%
7
2
0
1
2
1
5
2
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
47%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 22.7
23.6
20.6
13
50%
2
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
6-10
2-6
60%
41%
0-2
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 23.5
18.8
21.8
1
27%
5
0
2
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Richie Frahm
G · 6'5" 202 · 26.2
15.8
2.4
4
45%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
2-2
0-1
100%
42%
0-2
0%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 28.6
6.3
3.9
3
52%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Ansu Sesay
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.3
2.5
12.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 28.0
10.9
0
2-3
47%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 28.6
2.7
0
0-1
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.