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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 10, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Suns49%9999
22Warriors51%10096
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.7
45.1
39.8
22
59%
2
8
2
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
5-12
7-14
42%
46%
3-5
60%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 22.4
43.2
34.8
22
50%
9
7
1
1
0
2
2
7
2-2
100%
10-19
4-9
53%
41%
0-2
0%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.0
38.9
34.1
15
63%
18
0
0
1
0
1
5
13
1-2
50%
7-11
6-13
64%
47%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 25.5
36.9
39.4
8
67%
7
7
0
2
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
4-6
6-13
67%
46%
0-0
-
Jahidi White
C-F · 6'9" 290 · 27.7
7.7
17.4
6
61%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 26.0
27.1
23.3
5
37%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
3-4
75%
1-5
2-4
20%
53%
0-0
-
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.6
20.2
16.4
12
76%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
2-4
50%
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.3
15.9
18.9
7
44%
3
0
1
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
3-7
2-5
43%
43%
0-0
-
Tom Gugliotta
F · 6'10" 250 · 33.9
4.9
9.3
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
42%
0-0
-
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22.5
5.1
0
0-1
44%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 20.9
3.5
0
0-1
40%
Cezary Trybanski
C · 7'2" 240 · 24.1
0.9
0
0-0
48%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 22.8
38.0
28.2
22
65%
9
3
1
1
0
2
1
8
7-9
78%
6-10
4-8
60%
43%
1-3
33%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.0
35.5
24.7
13
38%
1
6
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-3
0%
2-6
3-7
33%
44%
3-10
30%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 23.2
34.3
35.3
11
43%
10
6
1
1
0
3
3
7
0-2
0%
4-6
3-7
67%
45%
1-6
17%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.3
31.4
31.8
9
51%
8
0
0
0
4
2
3
5
1-2
50%
4-8
4-8
50%
47%
0-0
-
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.9
31.3
34.4
4
29%
4
1
1
1
4
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
3-8
40%
41%
0-2
0%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 32.3
35.3
31.5
12
55%
4
3
2
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
6-11
4-8
55%
49%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.5
22.4
20.3
17
84%
4
1
0
1
2
0
0
4
7-7
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 25.5
11.9
18.9
8
58%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
2-6
50%
43%
0-0
-
Cherokee Parks
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 31.1
9.2
0
1-2
43%
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 38.6
6.6
0
1-2
42%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.7
2.0
0
0-0
47%
Popeye Jones
F · 6'8" 265 · 33.4
1.1
0
0-0
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.