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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 11, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1276ers48%92112
21Wizards52%93105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 28.4
45.9
40.5
40
54%
3
4
4
3
0
4
0
3
14-18
78%
10-26
8-18
38%
43%
2-3
67%
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 31.1
39.0
23.9
18
82%
3
3
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
6-8
2-5
75%
43%
2-3
67%
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 28.8
38.1
24.6
7
33%
8
1
1
1
0
1
2
6
3-4
75%
2-9
3-7
22%
43%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.5
37.2
34.2
13
48%
5
11
4
1
0
4
2
3
5-6
83%
4-11
3-7
36%
44%
0-0
-
Derrick Coleman
F · 6'10" 270 · 36.4
16.2
30.2
6
51%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 23.5
23.6
18.1
10
63%
9
0
0
1
5
0
6
3
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 23.9
15.8
6.1
6
80%
4
2
2
0
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.3
11.7
6.7
10
74%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
4-4
100%
3-5
1-1
60%
39%
0-0
-
Amal McCaskill
C · 6'11" 235 · 30.0
8.2
1.7
0
0%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 22.7
4.3
1.1
2
53%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-1
0%
Glenn Robinson
F · 6'7" 240 · 30.8
30.9
1
5-10
45%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 26.3
20.2
1
2-5
47%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.8
44.9
29.5
36
60%
7
10
3
1
0
2
3
4
9-14
64%
6-14
4-8
43%
47%
5-10
50%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.3
41.4
36.0
20
52%
7
1
2
1
1
5
4
3
2-3
67%
9-16
5-11
56%
45%
0-2
0%
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 34.2
40.1
28.7
11
110%
8
3
1
1
1
3
1
7
0-0
-
4-4
3-6
100%
49%
1-1
100%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.8
38.2
31.5
23
58%
8
2
1
1
2
5
3
5
4-4
100%
8-14
5-10
57%
46%
1-4
25%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 21.7
19.1
24.3
2
50%
4
3
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
44%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 25.6
28.3
22.6
4
26%
10
0
0
1
4
2
5
5
2-4
50%
1-6
3-5
17%
49%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 22.0
15.1
21.8
7
35%
3
0
0
1
0
1
3
0
1-2
50%
3-8
2-5
38%
44%
0-1
0%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 25.1
9.9
18.1
2
20%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-6
25%
42%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 23.7
3.0
9.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-0
-
Chris Whitney
G · 6'0" 175 · 32.1
7.2
0
0-1
40%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 24.0
5.8
0
1-1
49%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 28.0
1.9
0
0-0
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.