Final Win Prob. pScore
832%99
97
368%105
125
ORTG#PossPace
Hornets
103.294102.0
DAL logo Mavericks
130.29689.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL97
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0DALNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)97
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0NOHMISS Armstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0DALDaniels Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)97
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)97
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:35.0NOHBradley BLOCK (1 BLK)97
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0DALBradley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)97
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:43.0DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:45.0NOHMISS Drew 21' Jump Shot97
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 1:00DALBest Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)97
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 1:05DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 1:07NOHMISS Armstrong 22' Jump Shot97
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 1:31DALBradley 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)97
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44NOHDrew 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Armstrong 6 AST)97
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53DALBradley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)94
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08NOHMISS Traylor Free Throw 2 of 294
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08NOHTraylor Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)94
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08DALHoward S.FOUL (P3.PN)93
119
Q4 - 2:12DALNajera Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)93
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29NOHArmstrong 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS)93
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36DALDaniels Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Najera 2 AST)91
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40NOHNajera STEAL (1 STL)91
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)91
117
Q4 - 2:47DALHoward P.FOUL (P2.T4)91
117
Q4 - 2:59DALHoward 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Best 5 AST)91
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10NOHWest 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Traylor 3 AST)91
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31DALDaniels Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)89
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:34DALNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)89
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36DALMISS Best 11' Jump Shot89
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)89
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51NOHHornets Rebound88
113
Q4 - 3:51NOHMISS West Free Throw 1 of 288
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51DALBradley S.FOUL (P1.T3)88
113
Q4 - 3:54NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)88
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57NOHMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:04NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)88
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:05DALMISS Daniels Layup88
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27NOHSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)88
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27NOHSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)87
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27DALSUB: Bradley FOR Jamison86
113
Q4 - 4:27DALHoward S.FOUL (P1.T2)86
113
Q4 - 4:40DALBest Inbound Turnover (P2.T13)86
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40NOHSUB: Drew FOR Wesley86
113
Q4 - 4:40DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 2)86
113
Q4 - 4:43NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43NOHWest Tip Shot (5 PTS)86
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:44NOHMISS West Layup84
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59DALHoward 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)84
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:06DALMISS Daniels 22' Jump Shot84
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:18NOHWesley 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Armstrong 5 AST)84
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:37NOHTraylor Violation:Defensive Goaltending82
110
Q4 - 5:37DALBest Driving Layup (10 PTS)82
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:56NOHWesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Traylor 2 AST)82
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13DALHoward 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)79
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 6:33NOHTraylor 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Armstrong 4 AST)79
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:43NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:45DALMISS Jamison 18' Jump Shot77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:54DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:56NOHMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:17DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:17DALMAVERICKS Rebound77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:17DALMISS Najera 22' Jump Shot77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:24DALSUB: Howard FOR Nash77
106
Q4 - 7:42NOHWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:42NOHHornets Rebound76
106
Q4 - 7:42NOHMISS Wesley Free Throw 1 of 276
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:42DALNash S.FOUL (P3.T1)76
106
Q4 - 7:45DALNajera Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)76
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:51DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:53NOHMISS Traylor 6' Jump Shot76
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 8:11DALNajera Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)76
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 8:11DALMAVERICKS Rebound76
105
Q4 - 8:11DALMISS Najera Free Throw 1 of 276
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 8:11DALSUB: Daniels FOR Finley76
105
Q4 - 8:11NOHWest S.FOUL (P2.T3)76
105
Q4 - 8:24NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 8:24NOHTraylor Tip Shot (3 PTS)76
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 8:26NOHMISS Wesley 20' Jump Shot74
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 8:3874
105
Q4 - 8:38DALNash Foul Turnover (P2.T10)74
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 8:38DALNash OFF.Foul (P2)74
105
Q4 - 8:50NOHSmith 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)74
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 9:05DALBest 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS)72
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 9:26DALSUB: Najera FOR Walker72
103
Q4 - 9:26DALMAVERICKS Rebound72
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 9:26NOHJamison BLOCK (3 BLK)72
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 9:36NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 9:38DALMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot72
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 9:47NOHWest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)72
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 10:05DALWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)72
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 10:05NOHSUB: Traylor FOR Rooks72
102
Q4 - 10:05NOHRooks S.FOUL (P1.T2)72
102
Q4 - 10:05DALWalker Driving Layup (20 PTS)72
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 10:28NOHWest Layup (3 PTS) (Wesley 3 AST)72
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 10:55DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Finley 6 AST)70
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 11:02DALBest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 11:04NOHMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot70
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 11:20DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)70
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 11:20DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)70
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 11:20NOHSmith S.FOUL (P2.T1)70
95
Q4 - 11:33DALSUB: Nash FOR Nowitzki70
95
Q4 - 11:33NOHSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T16)70
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 11:33NOHSmith OFF.Foul (P1)70
95
Q4 - 11:41NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 11:44DALMISS Walker 12' Jump Shot70
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 12:0070
95
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL70
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound70
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Finley 21' Jump Shot70
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q3 - 0:10.0NOHWest P.FOUL (P1.T1)70
95
Q3 - 0:29.0NOHDavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)70
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q3 - 0:35.0DALFinley Foul Turnover (P1.T9)67
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q3 - 0:35.0DALFinley OFF.Foul (P4)67
95
Q3 - 0:46.0NOHArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)67
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q3 - 0:46.0NOHHornets Rebound66
95
Q3 - 0:46.0NOHMISS Armstrong Free Throw 1 of 266
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q3 - 0:46.0DALBest P.FOUL (P2.PN)66
95
Q3 - 0:56.0DALWalker 8' Jump Shot (18 PTS)66
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q3 - 1:10NOHArmstrong Foul Turnover (P1.T15)66
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q3 - 1:10NOHArmstrong OFF.Foul (P2)66
93
Q3 - 1:27DALWalker 6' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Best 4 AST)66
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q3 - 1:44DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q3 - 1:45NOHMISS West Free Throw 2 of 266
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q3 - 1:45NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)66
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q3 - 1:45DALFinley S.FOUL (P3.PN)65
91
Q3 - 2:04DALBest Layup (6 PTS) (Walker 6 AST)65
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q3 - 2:09NOHDavis Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T14)65
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 2:09NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q3 - 2:11DALFinley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)65
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 2:11DALMISS Finley Layup65
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q3 - 2:13DALMISS Finley 7' Jump Shot65
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q3 - 2:33DALWalker REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)65
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 2:36NOHMISS Davis 3PT Jump Shot65
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 2:42DALWalker P.FOUL (P2.T4)65
89
Q3 - 2:53NOHSUB: Armstrong FOR Wesley65
89
Q3 - 2:53NOHSUB: Smith FOR Lynch65
89
Q3 - 2:53DALSUB: Best FOR Nash65
89
Q3 - 2:53DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 2)65
89
Q3 - 2:53DALJamison Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)65
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q3 - 2:59NOHWesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)65
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 3:23DALJamison Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)62
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 3:27NOHJamison STEAL (1 STL)62
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q3 - 3:45DALNowitzki 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Finley 5 AST)62
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q3 - 4:01DALSUB: Jamison FOR Fortson62
84
Q3 - 4:01NOHWesley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)62
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q3 - 4:23DALFortson Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)62
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q3 - 4:46DALMAVERICKS Rebound62
1.5%
82
98.5%
Q3 - 4:47NOHMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q3 - 5:02NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)62
82
Q3 - 5:04DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nash 11 AST)62
2.1%
82
97.9%
Q3 - 5:13DALFortson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)62
2.4%
80
97.6%
Q3 - 5:15NOHMISS Lynch 3PT Jump Shot62
2.5%
80
97.5%
Q3 - 5:39DALWalker Layup (14 PTS) (Finley 4 AST)62
2.8%
80
97.2%
Q3 - 5:42DALFinley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)62
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q3 - 5:45DALMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot62
3.7%
78
96.3%
Q3 - 5:51DALWalker REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)62
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q3 - 5:53NOHMISS Lynch 6' Jump Shot62
3.5%
78
96.5%
Q3 - 6:13DALWalker 7' Jump Shot (12 PTS)62
4.2%
78
95.8%
Q3 - 6:27DALFinley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
4.9%
76
95.1%
Q3 - 6:29NOHMISS Wesley 8' Jump Shot62
5.1%
76
94.9%
Q3 - 6:41NOHSUB: West FOR Magloire62
76
Q3 - 6:41DALFinley P.FOUL (P2.T3)62
76
Q3 - 6:49NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
5.7%
76
94.3%
Q3 - 6:51DALMISS Nash 22' Jump Shot62
5.4%
76
94.6%
Q3 - 6:56DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
4.8%
76
95.2%
Q3 - 6:58NOHMISS Brown 16' Jump Shot62
5.1%
76
94.9%
Q3 - 7:18DALFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Nash 10 AST)62
6.1%
76
93.9%
Q3 - 7:33NOHLynch Layup (6 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)62
8.0%
73
92.0%
Q3 - 7:54DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)60
7.0%
73
93.0%
Q3 - 8:06DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 2)60
73
Q3 - 8:06DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
6.2%
73
93.8%
Q3 - 8:08NOHWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)60
6.5%
73
93.5%
Q3 - 8:17DALFortson L.B.FOUL (P3.T2)60
73
Q3 - 8:17NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
7.2%
73
92.8%
Q3 - 8:18NOHMISS Wesley 21' Jump Shot60
6.5%
73
93.5%
Q3 - 8:38DALNash 8' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)60
7.2%
73
92.8%
Q3 - 8:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
8.2%
71
91.8%
Q3 - 8:45NOHMISS Magloire 9' Jump Shot60
8.6%
71
91.4%
Q3 - 8:58DALWalker Layup (10 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)60
9.5%
71
90.5%
Q3 - 9:08DALFortson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)60
11.1%
69
88.9%
Q3 - 9:11NOHMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot60
11.5%
69
88.5%
Q3 - 9:41DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)60
12.6%
69
87.4%
Q3 - 10:02NOHDavis Driving Layup (22 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)60
16.5%
66
83.5%
Q3 - 10:26NOHWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
14.6%
66
85.4%
Q3 - 10:28DALMISS Finley 22' Jump Shot58
14.1%
66
85.9%
Q3 - 10:34NOHNash STEAL (2 STL)58
12.9%
66
87.1%
Q3 - 10:50NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
14.6%
66
85.4%
Q3 - 10:52DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
14.1%
66
85.9%
Q3 - 11:14NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)58
13.1%
66
86.9%
Q3 - 11:14NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)57
12.9%
66
87.1%
Q3 - 11:14DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P2.T1)56
66
Q3 - 11:29DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Walker 5 AST)56
11.7%
66
88.3%
Q3 - 11:42NOHMagloire Layup (6 PTS) (Lynch 2 AST)56
13.1%
64
86.9%
Q3 - 12:0054
64
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL54
11.7%
64
88.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALWalker REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)54
10.2%
64
89.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Davis 8' Jump Shot54
10.7%
64
89.3%
Q2 - 0:03.0DALWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)54
11.8%
64
88.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0NOHSUB: Rooks FOR Magloire54
63
Q2 - 0:03.0DALWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)54
12.3%
63
87.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0NOHMagloire P.FOUL (P3.PN)54
62
Q2 - 0:03.0NOHSUB: West FOR Brown54
62
Q2 - 0:03.0DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Fortson54
62
Q2 - 0:03.0DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1)54
62
Q2 - 0:03.0NOHArmstrong P.FOUL (P1.T2)54
62
Q2 - 0:16.0NOHDavis Driving Layup (20 PTS)54
13.7%
62
86.3%
Q2 - 0:35.0DALFinley 6' Hook Shot (15 PTS)52
11.8%
62
88.2%
Q2 - 0:48.0NOHDavis 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Armstrong 3 AST)52
13.7%
60
86.3%
Q2 - 1:07NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
12.1%
60
87.9%
Q2 - 1:09DALMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
11.8%
60
88.2%
Q2 - 1:33DALFortson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)50
11.1%
60
88.9%
Q2 - 1:34NOHMISS Magloire Layup50
11.4%
60
88.6%
Q2 - 1:46DALFinley P.FOUL (P1.T3)50
60
Q2 - 1:52NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)50
12.0%
60
88.0%
Q2 - 1:54DALMISS Finley 7' Jump Shot50
11.7%
60
88.3%
Q2 - 2:01DALWalker REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)50
11.1%
60
88.9%
Q2 - 2:03NOHMISS Lynch 3PT Jump Shot50
11.5%
60
88.5%
Q2 - 2:23DALJamison 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nash 9 AST)50
12.4%
60
87.6%
Q2 - 2:38NOHBrown P.FOUL (P2.T1)50
58
Q2 - 2:38DALFortson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)50
13.8%
58
86.2%
Q2 - 2:39DALMISS Walker Running Layup50
15.0%
58
85.0%
Q2 - 2:49DALSUB: Finley FOR Najera50
58
Q2 - 2:49DALSUB: Fortson FOR Best50
58
Q2 - 2:49DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)50
58
Q2 - 2:54NOHLynch Layup (4 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)50
13.8%
58
86.2%
Q2 - 2:56NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
12.4%
58
87.6%
Q2 - 2:58NOHMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
11.5%
58
88.5%
Q2 - 3:05NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
12.7%
58
87.3%
Q2 - 3:07DALMISS Najera 17' Jump Shot48
12.2%
58
87.8%
Q2 - 3:26NOHDavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)48
11.1%
58
88.9%
Q2 - 3:31NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
9.0%
58
91.0%
Q2 - 3:33DALMISS Najera Layup45
8.7%
58
91.3%
Q2 - 3:48NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)45
7.9%
58
92.1%
Q2 - 3:48DALNajera S.FOUL (P1.T2)44
58
Q2 - 3:48NOHBrown Layup (6 PTS)44
7.0%
58
93.0%
Q2 - 3:48NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)42
6.4%
58
93.6%
Q2 - 3:51NOHMISS Brown 4' Hook Shot42
5.8%
58
94.2%
Q2 - 4:16DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Best 3 AST)42
6.5%
58
93.5%
Q2 - 4:21DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
8.1%
55
91.9%
Q2 - 4:22DALMISS Walker Layup42
8.8%
55
91.2%
Q2 - 4:44NOHDavis 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)42
8.1%
55
91.9%
Q2 - 4:49NOHHornets Rebound39
6.5%
55
93.5%
Q2 - 4:50NOHNajera BLOCK (1 BLK)39
6.0%
55
94.0%
Q2 - 5:03DALBest Foul Turnover (P1.T6)39
6.8%
55
93.2%
Q2 - 5:03DALBest OFF.Foul (P1)39
55
Q2 - 5:08NOHBest STEAL (2 STL)39
6.1%
55
93.9%
Q2 - 5:09NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
6.8%
55
93.2%
Q2 - 5:11NOHMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
6.3%
55
93.7%
Q2 - 5:31DALBest 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)39
6.8%
55
93.2%
Q2 - 5:33DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
7.6%
53
92.4%
Q2 - 5:35DALMISS Best 22' Jump Shot39
8.2%
53
91.8%
Q2 - 5:45DALMAVERICKS Rebound39
53
Q2 - 5:45DALMISS Nash Free Throw Technical39
7.6%
53
92.4%
Q2 - 5:45DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)39
53
Q2 - 5:45NOHHornets T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Brown )39
53
Q2 - 5:52DALWalker REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)39
7.6%
53
92.4%
Q2 - 5:54DALMISS Best 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
8.2%
53
91.8%
Q2 - 6:00DALMAVERICKS Rebound39
7.6%
53
92.4%
Q2 - 6:00DALMISS Best Layup39
8.2%
53
91.8%
Q2 - 6:04NOHBest STEAL (1 STL)39
7.8%
53
92.2%
Q2 - 6:20DALJamison Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)39
8.9%
53
91.1%
Q2 - 6:37NOHMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
9.7%
51
90.3%
Q2 - 6:37NOHMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)38
9.4%
51
90.6%
Q2 - 6:37NOHSUB: Brown FOR Traylor37
51
Q2 - 6:37DALSUB: Nash FOR Finley37
51
Q2 - 6:37DALSUB: Najera FOR Nowitzki37
51
Q2 - 6:3737
51
Q2 - 6:37DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P1.T1)37
51
Q2 - 6:56DALJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
8.9%
51
91.1%
Q2 - 6:56DALJamison Tip Shot (6 PTS)37
8.9%
51
91.1%
Q2 - 6:57DALMISS Best Layup37
10.5%
49
89.5%
Q2 - 7:19NOHArmstrong 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)37
9.9%
49
90.1%
Q2 - 7:24NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
8.9%
49
91.1%
Q2 - 7:26DALMISS Finley 22' Jump Shot35
8.6%
49
91.4%
Q2 - 7:48NOHArmstrong 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lynch 1 AST)35
8.0%
49
92.0%
Q2 - 8:15DALWalker Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Best 2 AST)32
6.8%
49
93.2%
Q2 - 8:21NOHArmstrong 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
7.6%
47
92.4%
Q2 - 8:31NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
6.8%
47
93.2%
Q2 - 8:33DALMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot30
6.6%
47
93.4%
Q2 - 8:47NOHDavis Driving Layup (10 PTS)30
6.2%
47
93.8%
Q2 - 9:08DALWalker Layup (4 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)28
5.7%
47
94.3%
Q2 - 9:09DALFinley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
6.3%
45
93.7%
Q2 - 9:11DALMISS Best 22' Jump Shot28
6.8%
45
93.2%
Q2 - 9:34NOHSUB: Lynch FOR Smith28
45
Q2 - 9:34NOHSUB: Davis FOR Wesley28
45
Q2 - 9:34NOHWesley Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)28
6.3%
45
93.7%
Q2 - 9:38NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
7.0%
45
93.0%
Q2 - 9:41NOHMISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot28
6.5%
45
93.5%
Q2 - 10:03DALJamison Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Best 1 AST)28
7.3%
45
92.7%
Q2 - 10:11NOHWesley 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)28
8.0%
43
92.0%
Q2 - 10:29DALBest 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
7.3%
43
92.7%
Q2 - 10:38DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
8.0%
41
92.0%
Q2 - 10:41NOHMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
8.2%
41
91.8%
Q2 - 10:45NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
8.8%
41
91.2%
Q2 - 10:47DALMISS Jamison 8' Jump Shot26
8.5%
41
91.5%
Q2 - 10:55DALWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)26
8.0%
41
92.0%
Q2 - 10:57DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
8.5%
41
91.5%
Q2 - 11:02NOHFinley STEAL (1 STL)26
8.3%
41
91.7%
Q2 - 11:04NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
9.2%
41
90.8%
Q2 - 11:06NOHMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
8.6%
41
91.4%
Q2 - 11:29DALWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
9.1%
41
90.9%
Q2 - 11:29DALWalker Tip Shot (2 PTS)26
9.1%
41
90.9%
Q2 - 11:30DALMISS Jamison Layup26
10.7%
39
89.3%
Q2 - 11:31DALJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
10.0%
39
90.0%
Q2 - 11:34DALMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot26
10.7%
39
89.3%
Q2 - 11:47NOHArmstrong 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
10.0%
39
90.0%
Q2 - 12:0024
39
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH24
9.1%
39
90.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL24
39
Q1 - 0:00.0DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)24
9.1%
39
90.9%
Q1 - 0:11.0DALJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
10.4%
37
89.6%
Q1 - 0:11.0NOHMISS Traylor Free Throw 2 of 224
10.5%
37
89.5%
Q1 - 0:11.0NOHTraylor Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
11.1%
37
88.9%
Q1 - 0:11.0DALSUB: Walker FOR Fortson23
37
Q1 - 0:11.0DALFortson S.FOUL (P2.PN)23
37
Q1 - 0:31.0DALFortson Layup (7 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)23
10.2%
37
89.8%
Q1 - 0:47.0NOHTraylor Foul Turnover (P1.T6)23
11.4%
35
88.6%
Q1 - 0:47.0NOHTraylor OFF.Foul (P1)23
35
Q1 - 0:49.0DALJamison P.FOUL (P1.T4)23
35
Q1 - 1:09DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jamison 2 AST)23
12.5%
35
87.5%
Q1 - 1:24NOHDavis 6' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)23
13.9%
33
86.1%
Q1 - 1:31NOHWesley Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)21
12.5%
33
87.5%
Q1 - 1:31DALMAVERICKS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Fortson )20
33
Q1 - 1:49DALFinley 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)20
11.5%
33
88.5%
Q1 - 2:02NOHWesley 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Traylor 1 AST)20
13.1%
31
86.9%
Q1 - 2:13DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)18
11.9%
31
88.1%
Q1 - 2:13NOHSUB: Smith FOR Brown18
30
Q1 - 2:13NOHSUB: Traylor FOR Lynch18
30
Q1 - 2:13DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)18
30
Q1 - 2:13NOHDavis S.FOUL (P1.T4)18
30
Q1 - 2:13DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)18
12.9%
30
87.1%
Q1 - 2:21DALFortson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)18
14.2%
28
85.8%
Q1 - 2:24NOHJamison BLOCK (2 BLK)18
14.4%
28
85.6%
Q1 - 2:47DALFinley 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)18
15.1%
28
84.9%
Q1 - 3:02NOHWesley Driving Layup (4 PTS)18
16.4%
26
83.6%
Q1 - 3:11DALFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)16
15.2%
26
84.8%
Q1 - 3:28NOHHornets Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)16
23
Q1 - 3:28DALMAVERICKS Rebound16
17.7%
23
82.3%
Q1 - 3:29NOHJamison BLOCK (1 BLK)16
18.1%
23
81.9%
Q1 - 3:53DALJamison 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)16
19.1%
23
80.9%
Q1 - 4:00NOHWesley 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
21.3%
21
78.7%
Q1 - 4:20DALNash 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jamison 1 AST)14
20.1%
21
79.9%
Q1 - 4:33DALSUB: Jamison FOR Walker14
18
Q1 - 4:33NOHWesley Foul Turnover (P1.T5)14
22.7%
18
77.3%
Q1 - 4:33NOHWesley OFF.Foul (P1)14
18
Q1 - 4:38DALFortson Layup (5 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)14
24.3%
18
75.7%
Q1 - 4:54NOHLynch Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)14
25.7%
16
74.3%
Q1 - 4:58NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
24.4%
16
75.6%
Q1 - 5:00DALMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
23.9%
16
76.1%
Q1 - 5:22NOHDavis Driving Layup (6 PTS)12
23.1%
16
76.9%
Q1 - 5:28NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
22.1%
16
77.9%
Q1 - 5:29DALMISS Walker 15' Jump Shot10
21.6%
16
78.4%
Q1 - 5:30DALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
20.7%
16
79.3%
Q1 - 5:33DALMISS Fortson Layup10
21.7%
16
78.3%
Q1 - 5:41DALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
20.8%
16
79.2%
Q1 - 5:43NOHMISS Lynch 3PT Jump Shot10
21.2%
16
78.8%
Q1 - 5:52NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
22.2%
16
77.8%
Q1 - 5:54DALMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot10
21.8%
16
78.2%
Q1 - 6:06NOHSUB: Rooks FOR Magloire10
16
Q1 - 6:06NOHMagloire P.FOUL (P2.T3)10
16
Q1 - 6:06DALFortson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)10
20.9%
16
79.1%
Q1 - 6:06DALMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
21.8%
16
78.2%
Q1 - 6:16NOHBrown 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
21.0%
16
79.0%
Q1 - 6:27DALFortson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)8
20.1%
16
79.9%
Q1 - 6:27NOHBrown S.FOUL (P1.T2)8
15
Q1 - 6:27DALFortson Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)8
21.2%
15
78.8%
Q1 - 6:43NOHDavis Driving Layup (4 PTS)8
22.5%
13
77.5%
Q1 - 6:47DALWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)6
21.5%
13
78.5%
Q1 - 6:59NOHDavis 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
20.5%
13
79.5%
Q1 - 7:17NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)4
13
Q1 - 7:24DALNowitzki 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)4
19.9%
13
80.1%
Q1 - 7:31NOHWalker STEAL (1 STL)4
20.9%
11
79.1%
Q1 - 7:36DALWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)4
22.0%
11
78.0%
Q1 - 7:40DALFortson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)4
21.0%
11
79.0%
Q1 - 7:43NOHMISS Davis 3PT Jump Shot4
21.4%
11
78.6%
Q1 - 7:49DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)4
22.3%
11
77.7%
Q1 - 7:56NOHNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)4
21.3%
11
78.7%
Q1 - 8:07DALFortson L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)4
11
Q1 - 8:07NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
22.4%
11
77.6%
Q1 - 8:07DALMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot4
22.2%
11
77.8%
Q1 - 8:11DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
21.6%
11
78.4%
Q1 - 8:13DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot4
22.3%
11
77.7%
Q1 - 8:18NOHLynch Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)4
21.8%
11
78.2%
Q1 - 8:21DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
22.7%
11
77.3%
Q1 - 8:27DALFortson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)4
22.0%
11
78.0%
Q1 - 8:29NOHMISS Brown 5' Jump Shot4
22.3%
11
77.7%
Q1 - 8:53DALNowitzki Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)4
23.5%
11
76.5%
Q1 - 9:07NOHBrown Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)4
25.0%
9
75.0%
Q1 - 9:09DALNash P.FOUL (P1.T2)2
9
Q1 - 9:13DALWalker P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
9
Q1 - 9:22DALFortson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
9
Q1 - 9:22DALJump Ball Fortson vs. Magloire: Tip to Wesley2
24.5%
9
75.5%
Q1 - 9:25DALFortson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
23.9%
9
76.1%
Q1 - 9:27NOHMISS Magloire Layup2
24.2%
9
75.8%
Q1 - 9:29NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
24.7%
9
75.3%
Q1 - 9:31NOHNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)2
24.3%
9
75.7%
Q1 - 9:51DALFinley Driving Layup (6 PTS)2
25.4%
9
74.6%
Q1 - 9:56NOHNash STEAL (1 STL)2
26.2%
7
73.8%
Q1 - 10:10DALFinley 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)2
27.5%
7
72.5%
Q1 - 10:21NOHMagloire P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
5
Q1 - 10:21DALFortson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
28.3%
5
71.7%
Q1 - 10:22DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot2
28.7%
5
71.3%
Q1 - 10:34NOHMagloire Layup (2 PTS)2
28.7%
5
71.3%
Q1 - 10:51DALFinley 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)0
28.8%
5
71.2%
Q1 - 11:05DALFortson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.6%
3
70.4%
Q1 - 11:07NOHMISS Magloire 11' Jump Shot0
29.8%
3
70.2%
Q1 - 11:14NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
30.2%
3
69.8%
Q1 - 11:16NOHMISS Wesley 14' Jump Shot0
30.1%
3
69.9%
Q1 - 11:20NOHHornets Rebound0
30.4%
3
69.6%
Q1 - 11:21NOHMISS Magloire Layup0
30.2%
3
69.8%
Q1 - 11:39DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)0
31.0%
3
69.0%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Fortson vs. Magloire: Tip to Nowitzki0
31.7%
0
68.3%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventNOHDAL
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.08 53.9%
DAL
1.21 60.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
17
28
61%
DAL
23
32
72%
Midrange
NOH
14
31
45%
DAL
22
42
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
DAL
9
13.5
19
47%
71%
Free Throws
NOH
14
20
70%
DAL
8
10
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Davis2574%12.5 / 17
D. Wesley1869%9.0 / 13
D. Armstrong1255%6.0 / 11
P. Brown938%4.5 / 12
D. West867%4.0 / 6
G. Lynch638%3.0 / 8
J. Magloire638%3.0 / 8
R. Traylor643%3.0 / 7
S. Smith440%2.0 / 5
B. Drew375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Walker2158%10.5 / 18
M. Finley2048%10.0 / 21
D. Nowitzki1869%9.0 / 13
S. Nash17121%8.5 / 7
A. Jamison1267%6.0 / 9
T. Best1250%6.0 / 12
D. Fortson975%4.5 / 6
J. Howard7117%3.5 / 3
M. Daniels660%3.0 / 5
S. Bradley2100%1.0 / 1
E. Najera113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
76
+13
-18
89
DAL
81
+20
-15
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.08 53.9%
DAL
1.21 60.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.8
109.8
NOH 103.2
DAL 130.2 +27.0
Pace
91.4
95.3
NOH 102.0 +13.0
DAL 89.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
14.9
NOH 14.1 −2.1
DAL 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.0%
49.5%
NOH 52.5%
DAL 62.9% +10.4%
TO %
15.3%
12.3%
NOH 17.0%
DAL 14.1% −2.9%
ORB %
30.6%
31.4%
NOH 28.2%
DAL 47.2% +19.0%
FTrt
29.3
25.6
NOH 25.3 +14.5
DAL 10.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.9%
59.1%
NOH 50.0%
DAL 74.1% +24.1%
STL %
9.4%
8.3%
NOH 8.5%
DAL 9.4% +0.9%
BLK %
6.7%
8.2%
NOH 5.4%
DAL 11.9% +6.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.86 and 2.86.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.1%
51.4%
NOH 53.9%
DAL 60.7% +6.8%
Rim FG%
54.9%
59.0%
NOH 60.7%
DAL 71.9% +11.2%
Mid FG%
37.9%
41.4%
NOH 45.2%
DAL 52.4% +7.2%
3P %
31.9%
34.8%
NOH 35.0%
DAL 47.4% +12.4%
FT %
75.1%
79.6%
NOH 70.0%
DAL 80.0% +10.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.8%
33.5%
NOH 35.4% +1.0%
DAL 34.4%
Mid Att. %
42.0%
46.4%
NOH 39.2% −5.9%
DAL 45.2%
3P Att. %
25.2%
20.1%
NOH 25.3% +4.9%
DAL 20.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOHDAL
Possessions9496
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points97125
Rebounds3045
Assists1940
Steals89
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)17 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)19 (0)28 (3)
Field Goals38-7954-93
At-the-Rim FG17-2823-32
Midrange FG14-3122-42
2-Point FG31-5945-74
3-Point FG7-209-19
Free Throws14-208-10
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 212 · 25
33.6
25
74%
5
4
1
0
3
1
1
4
0-0
-
8-10
80%
3-7
43%
G · 6'1" 203 · 33
30.9
18
69%
1
3
1
0
3
1
0
1
2-3
67%
5-9
56%
2-3
67%
F · 6'8" 235 · 33
28.5
6
38%
5
2
1
0
4
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-3
0%
F · 6'11" 239 · 34
28.3
9
38%
3
0
1
1
0
2
2
1
3-3
100%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 25
23.1
6
38%
4
1
1
0
2
3
2
2
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 35
26.9
12
55%
2
6
0
1
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
1-5
20%
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 35
19.5
4
40%
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
18.8
8
67%
4
0
1
0
2
2
1
3
2-4
50%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 27
17.7
6
43%
5
3
1
1
1
1
2
3
2-4
50%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 260 · 34
8.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 184 · 29
4.7
3
75%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 35
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
54%
30
19
8
4
18
0
11
19
14-20
70%
31-59
53%
7-20
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.