Final Win Prob. pScore
2723%85
70
1177%94
90
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
79.58892.4
HOU logo Rockets
103.48783.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU70
90
Q4 - 0:16.0HOUBraggs REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
90
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot70
90
Q4 - 0:37.0HOUFord 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T17)70
90
Q4 - 0:45.0HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
90
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAFord BLOCK (1 BLK)70
90
Q4 - 1:05MIAHeat Rebound70
90
Q4 - 1:06HOUMISS Nachbar 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
90
Q4 - 1:25MIAHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)70
90
Q4 - 1:25MIAHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)69
90
Q4 - 1:25HOUWilks L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)68
90
Q4 - 1:25MIAHeat Rebound68
90
Q4 - 1:26MIAMISS Butler 12' Turnaround Jump Shot68
90
Q4 - 1:38MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 2)68
90
Q4 - 1:45HOUBraggs 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Nachbar 3 AST)68
90
Q4 - 2:08MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)68
88
Q4 - 2:08MIAHeat Rebound67
88
Q4 - 2:08MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 267
88
Q4 - 2:08HOUSUB: Ford FOR Yao67
88
Q4 - 2:08HOUWilks P.FOUL (P1.PN)67
88
Q4 - 2:12MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
88
Q4 - 2:12HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 167
88
Q4 - 2:12MIASUB: Wallace FOR Wade67
88
Q4 - 2:12MIASUB: Haslem FOR Odom67
88
Q4 - 2:12MIAWade S.FOUL (P3.PN)67
88
Q4 - 2:12HOUYao Dunk (16 PTS) (Braggs 1 AST)67
88
Q4 - 2:28HOUBraggs REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
86
Q4 - 2:30MIAMISS Wade 14' Turnaround Jump Shot67
86
Q4 - 2:44HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)67
86
Q4 - 2:44HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)67
85
Q4 - 2:44HOUSUB: Braggs FOR Mobley67
84
Q4 - 2:44HOUSUB: Wilks FOR Francis67
84
Q4 - 2:44MIASUB: Alston FOR Jones67
84
Q4 - 2:44MIASUB: Hill FOR Grant67
84
Q4 - 2:4467
84
Q4 - 2:44MIAGrant P.FOUL (P5.PN)67
84
Q4 - 3:05MIAButler Layup (4 PTS) (Odom 5 AST)67
84
Q4 - 3:27HOUMobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)65
84
Q4 - 3:27HOUMobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)65
83
Q4 - 3:27MIAGrant S.FOUL (P4.PN)65
82
Q4 - 3:44MIAOdom Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)65
82
Q4 - 4:02MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)63
82
Q4 - 4:02HOUMISS Francis Free Throw 2 of 263
82
Q4 - 4:02HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)63
82
Q4 - 4:02MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.PN)63
81
Q4 - 4:16MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
81
Q4 - 4:16MIAHeat Rebound62
81
Q4 - 4:16MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 262
81
Q4 - 4:16HOUNachbar P.FOUL (P3.PN)62
81
Q4 - 4:30HOUYao 4' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Francis 7 AST)62
81
Q4 - 4:53MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)62
79
Q4 - 4:53HOUSUB: Nachbar FOR Padgett61
79
Q4 - 4:53MIAHeat Rebound61
79
Q4 - 4:53MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 261
79
Q4 - 4:53HOUYao S.FOUL (P3.T4)61
79
Q4 - 5:17HOUYao Dunk (10 PTS) (Padgett 1 AST)61
79
Q4 - 5:25MIAGrant P.FOUL (P3.T4)61
77
Q4 - 5:37MIAOdom 9' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)61
77
Q4 - 5:47HOUPadgett P.FOUL (P4.T3)59
77
Q4 - 6:04HOUNorris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Francis 6 AST)59
77
Q4 - 6:13MIAButler P.FOUL (P3.T3)59
74
Q4 - 6:23HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)59
74
Q4 - 6:25MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
74
Q4 - 6:43HOUYao Foul Turnover (P2.T16)59
74
Q4 - 6:43HOUYao OFF.Foul (P2)59
74
Q4 - 6:50MIASUB: Odom FOR Wallace59
74
Q4 - 6:50MIASUB: Jones FOR Alston59
74
Q4 - 6:50HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)59
74
Q4 - 6:50HOUROCKETS Rebound59
74
Q4 - 6:52HOUMISS Francis 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
74
Q4 - 7:16HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
74
Q4 - 7:18MIAYao BLOCK (7 BLK)59
74
Q4 - 7:25MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
74
Q4 - 7:27HOUMISS Mobley 11' Turnaround Jump Shot59
74
Q4 - 7:40MIAButler Foul Turnover (P3.T17)59
74
Q4 - 7:40MIAButler OFF.Foul (P2)59
74
Q4 - 7:58HOUMobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)59
74
Q4 - 8:10MIASUB: Wade FOR Jones59
71
Q4 - 8:10MIAJones P.FOUL (P4.T2)59
71
Q4 - 8:14HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
71
Q4 - 8:16MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot59
71
Q4 - 8:18HOUSUB: Francis FOR Nachbar59
71
Q4 - 8:18MIASUB: Butler FOR Haslem59
71
Q4 - 8:25MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
71
Q4 - 8:27HOUMISS Nachbar 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
71
Q4 - 8:42MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)59
71
Q4 - 8:42HOUNachbar S.FOUL (P2.T2)58
71
Q4 - 8:42MIAJones 7' Jump Shot (20 PTS)58
71
Q4 - 8:53HOUNorris P.FOUL (P1.T1)56
71
Q4 - 8:58MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
71
Q4 - 8:59HOUMISS Norris 8' Jump Shot56
71
Q4 - 9:09HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
71
Q4 - 9:11MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot56
71
Q4 - 9:18MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
71
Q4 - 9:20HOUMISS Padgett 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
71
Q4 - 9:35HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
71
Q4 - 9:37MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot56
71
Q4 - 9:50HOUNachbar Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)56
71
Q4 - 9:58MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P2.T1)56
71
Q4 - 10:09MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)56
71
Q4 - 10:09MIAHeat Rebound56
71
Q4 - 10:09MIAMISS Haslem 3PT Jump Shot56
71
Q4 - 10:27MIASUB: Grant FOR Woods56
71
Q4 - 10:27MIASUB: Haslem FOR Odom56
71
Q4 - 10:27MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 2)56
71
Q4 - 10:36HOUPadgett 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nachbar 2 AST)56
71
Q4 - 10:53HOUROCKETS Rebound56
68
Q4 - 10:55MIAMISS Alston 21' Jump Shot56
68
Q4 - 11:14HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
68
Q4 - 11:14HOUYao Tip Shot (8 PTS)56
68
Q4 - 11:15HOUMISS Mobley Driving Layup56
66
Q4 - 11:26MIASUB: Alston FOR Wade56
66
Q4 - 11:26HOUMobley Free Throw Technical (25 PTS)56
66
Q4 - 11:26MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Woods )56
65
Q4 - 11:39HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
65
Q4 - 11:41MIAMISS Odom 10' Jump Shot56
65
Q4 - 12:0056
65
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA56
65
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
65
Q3 - 0:02.0HOUMISS Cato 15' Jump Shot56
65
Q3 - 0:03.0HOUCato REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)56
65
Q3 - 0:04.0HOUMISS Francis 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
65
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAJones Dunk (18 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)56
65
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)54
65
Q3 - 0:34.0HOUMISS Francis Driving Layup54
65
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAOdom Reverse Layup (8 PTS)54
65
Q3 - 0:59.0HOUPadgett 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)52
65
Q3 - 1:11HOUCato REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)52
63
Q3 - 1:13MIAMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
63
Q3 - 1:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
63
Q3 - 1:32HOUMISS Jackson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot52
63
Q3 - 1:47MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)52
63
Q3 - 2:02HOUROCKETS Violation: Delay of game Violation49
63
Q3 - 2:02HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)49
63
Q3 - 2:02HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
63
Q3 - 2:02HOUMISS Francis Reverse Layup49
63
Q3 - 2:26HOUSUB: Nachbar FOR Mobley49
63
Q3 - 2:26MIASUB: Woods FOR Grant49
63
Q3 - 2:26HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)49
63
Q3 - 2:26MIAWallace Foul Turnover (P1.T15)49
63
Q3 - 2:26MIAWallace OFF.Foul (P1)49
63
Q3 - 2:33MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
63
Q3 - 2:34HOUMISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
63
Q3 - 2:49MIAWallace 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)49
63
Q3 - 3:02MIASUB: Jones FOR Butler47
63
Q3 - 3:02HOUPadgett Foul Turnover (P4.T13)47
63
Q3 - 3:02HOUPadgett OFF.Foul (P3)47
63
Q3 - 3:09HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
63
Q3 - 3:11MIACato BLOCK (1 BLK)47
63
Q3 - 3:32HOUMobley 9' Jump Shot (24 PTS)47
63
Q3 - 3:54MIAButler Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)47
61
Q3 - 4:08MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 2)47
61
Q3 - 4:24HOUPadgett Layup (8 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)47
61
Q3 - 4:30MIAJackson STEAL (1 STL)47
59
Q3 - 4:37HOUPadgett Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)47
59
Q3 - 4:54HOUCato REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)47
59
Q3 - 4:58HOUMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot47
59
Q3 - 5:11MIASUB: Wallace FOR Jones47
59
Q3 - 5:11HOUSUB: Padgett FOR Yao47
59
Q3 - 5:11MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P3.T12)47
59
Q3 - 5:11MIAOdom OFF.Foul (P3)47
59
Q3 - 5:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
59
Q3 - 5:18HOUMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot47
59
Q3 - 5:31HOUCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
59
Q3 - 5:33MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Bank Shot47
59
Q3 - 5:53MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
59
Q3 - 5:55MIAYao BLOCK (6 BLK)47
59
Q3 - 5:56MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)47
59
Q3 - 5:58MIAMISS Odom Layup47
59
Q3 - 6:06MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)47
59
Q3 - 6:08HOUMISS Mobley 22' Jump Shot47
59
Q3 - 6:22HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)47
59
Q3 - 6:23MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 247
59
Q3 - 6:23MIAHeat Rebound47
59
Q3 - 6:23MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 247
59
Q3 - 6:23HOUCato P.FOUL (P4.PN)47
59
Q3 - 6:37HOUMobley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)47
59
Q3 - 6:56MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)47
56
Q3 - 7:09HOUFrancis Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)45
56
Q3 - 7:20MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)45
56
Q3 - 7:20HOUFrancis S.FOUL (P2.T4)44
56
Q3 - 7:20MIAJones Driving Layup (12 PTS)44
56
Q3 - 7:32HOUJackson Layup (2 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)42
56
Q3 - 7:56MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)42
54
Q3 - 8:11MIAJones Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)40
54
Q3 - 8:11HOUROCKETS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Yao )39
54
Q3 - 8:26HOUFrancis Layup (13 PTS) (Mobley 2 AST)39
54
Q3 - 8:30MIAMobley STEAL (3 STL)39
52
Q3 - 8:39MIASUB: Butler FOR Haslem39
52
Q3 - 8:39MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)39
52
Q3 - 8:42HOUCato Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)39
52
Q3 - 8:42HOUCato Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)39
51
Q3 - 8:42MIAOdom S.FOUL (P2.T2)39
50
Q3 - 8:42HOUCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)39
50
Q3 - 8:43HOUMISS Mobley Layup39
50
Q3 - 8:54MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)39
50
Q3 - 9:23HOUMobley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)39
50
Q3 - 9:36HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
47
Q3 - 9:38MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot39
47
Q3 - 9:49HOUJackson P.FOUL (P3.T3)39
47
Q3 - 9:53MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)39
47
Q3 - 9:56HOUMISS Mobley 6' Running Jump Shot39
47
Q3 - 10:07MIAHeat Rebound39
47
Q3 - 10:07MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)39
47
Q3 - 10:07MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 238
47
Q3 - 10:07HOUYao S.FOUL (P1.T2)38
47
Q3 - 10:22MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)38
47
Q3 - 10:24HOUMISS Francis 21' Jump Shot38
47
Q3 - 10:33HOUFrancis Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)38
47
Q3 - 10:33MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Grant )38
46
Q3 - 10:42HOUROCKETS Rebound38
46
Q3 - 10:43MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot38
46
Q3 - 10:49MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)38
46
Q3 - 10:51HOUMISS Yao 7' Hook Shot38
46
Q3 - 10:59MIAJones P.FOUL (P3.T1)38
46
Q3 - 11:13MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS)38
46
Q3 - 11:14MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)36
46
Q3 - 11:15MIAYao BLOCK (5 BLK)36
46
Q3 - 11:30HOUFrancis L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)36
46
Q3 - 11:30MIAHeat Rebound36
46
Q3 - 11:30MIAMISS Grant 21' Jump Shot36
46
Q3 - 11:48HOUMobley 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)36
46
Q3 - 12:0036
43
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA36
43
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU36
43
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUFrancis 20' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nachbar 1 AST)36
43
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)36
41
Q2 - 0:29.0HOUNachbar Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)36
41
Q2 - 0:31.0HOUSUB: Nachbar FOR Jackson36
41
Q2 - 0:31.0HOUROCKETS Rebound36
41
Q2 - 0:32.0HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
41
Q2 - 0:32.0HOUMISS Padgett Tip Shot36
41
Q2 - 0:34.0HOUMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
41
Q2 - 0:49.0HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
41
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Butler 9' Jump Shot36
41
Q2 - 1:04MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
41
Q2 - 1:06MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot36
41
Q2 - 1:23HOUYao 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T9)36
41
Q2 - 1:45MIAWade Layup (10 PTS)36
41
Q2 - 2:02HOUYao 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)34
41
Q2 - 2:16HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
39
Q2 - 2:18MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot34
39
Q2 - 2:35HOUFrancis Driving Layup (8 PTS)34
39
Q2 - 2:43MIAMobley STEAL (2 STL)34
37
Q2 - 2:55HOUSUB: Mobley FOR Norris34
37
Q2 - 2:55MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)34
37
Q2 - 2:55MIAHeat Rebound34
37
Q2 - 2:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)34
37
Q2 - 2:56MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot34
37
Q2 - 2:57MIAFrancis BLOCK (1 BLK)34
37
Q2 - 3:01MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)34
37
Q2 - 3:03HOUMISS Norris 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
37
Q2 - 3:21MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones34
37
Q2 - 3:21HOUSUB: Yao FOR Braggs34
37
Q2 - 3:21HOUROCKETS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)34
37
Q2 - 3:28MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)34
37
Q2 - 3:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
37
Q2 - 3:38HOUMISS Braggs Layup32
37
Q2 - 4:02MIAGrant 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)32
37
Q2 - 4:26HOUPadgett 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)30
37
Q2 - 4:47MIAOdom Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)30
34
Q2 - 5:02HOUNorris Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
34
Q2 - 5:02HOUNorris Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
33
Q2 - 5:02HOUSUB: Jackson FOR Mobley28
32
Q2 - 5:02MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T2)28
32
Q2 - 5:18MIAWade 5' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)28
32
Q2 - 5:23HOUPadgett Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)26
32
Q2 - 5:33HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
32
Q2 - 5:35MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
32
Q2 - 5:49MIAHeat Rebound26
32
Q2 - 5:49HOUMISS Francis 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
32
Q2 - 6:02MIASUB: Odom FOR Wallace26
32
Q2 - 6:02HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)26
32
Q2 - 6:07MIABraggs STEAL (2 STL)26
32
Q2 - 6:24HOUFrancis 17' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)26
32
Q2 - 6:46HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
30
Q2 - 6:48MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot26
30
Q2 - 6:51MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
30
Q2 - 6:55MIAMISS Wallace 13' Jump Shot26
30
Q2 - 7:05MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
30
Q2 - 7:07HOUMISS Mobley 23' Jump Shot26
30
Q2 - 7:22MIASUB: Wade FOR Alston26
30
Q2 - 7:22MIAJones Foul Turnover (P3.T6)26
30
Q2 - 7:22MIAJones OFF.Foul (P2)26
30
Q2 - 7:29MIASUB: Grant FOR Woods26
30
Q2 - 7:29HOUSUB: Francis FOR Nachbar26
30
Q2 - 7:29MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)26
30
Q2 - 7:39HOUMobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Norris 2 AST)26
30
Q2 - 7:52MIABraggs STEAL (1 STL)26
27
Q2 - 8:09HOUPadgett 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Norris 1 AST)26
27
Q2 - 8:31MIAJones 23' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)26
24
Q2 - 8:33MIASUB: Wallace FOR Butler24
24
Q2 - 8:3324
24
Q2 - 8:33MIAHeat Rebound24
24
Q2 - 8:34MIABraggs BLOCK (1 BLK)24
24
Q2 - 8:35MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
24
Q2 - 8:36MIANachbar BLOCK (1 BLK)24
24
Q2 - 8:53HOUMobley 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS)24
24
Q2 - 9:11MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)24
22
Q2 - 9:21HOUSUB: Braggs FOR Cato22
22
Q2 - 9:21HOUCato P.FOUL (P3.T4)22
22
Q2 - 9:31HOUMobley 6' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)22
22
Q2 - 9:46MIAWoods Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)22
20
Q2 - 9:46MIAWoods Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)21
20
Q2 - 9:46HOUPadgett P.FOUL (P2.T3)20
20
Q2 - 9:47MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
20
Q2 - 9:49MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot20
20
Q2 - 10:06HOUMobley 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
20
Q2 - 10:22MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
18
Q2 - 10:22MIASUB: Haslem FOR Odom19
18
Q2 - 10:22MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
18
Q2 - 10:22HOUNachbar S.FOUL (P1.T2)18
18
Q2 - 10:26HOUNachbar Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)18
18
Q2 - 10:37HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
18
Q2 - 10:39MIAMISS Jones 18' Fadeaway Jumper18
18
Q2 - 10:52HOUPadgett P.FOUL (P1.T1)18
18
Q2 - 11:05HOUMobley Driving Layup (4 PTS)18
18
Q2 - 11:14HOUSUB: Cato FOR Braggs18
16
Q2 - 11:14MIAWoods L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)18
16
Q2 - 11:14HOUROCKETS Rebound18
16
Q2 - 11:15HOUMISS Nachbar 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
16
Q2 - 11:32MIAWoods 9' Hook Shot (3 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)18
16
Q2 - 11:45HOUPadgett Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)16
16
Q2 - 12:0016
16
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA16
16
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound16
16
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
16
Q1 - 0:03.0HOUMobley 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
16
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAJones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)16
14
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
14
Q1 - 0:25.0HOUMISS Francis Layup16
14
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAMobley STEAL (1 STL)16
14
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)16
14
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Woods Free Throw 2 of 216
14
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAWoods Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
14
Q1 - 0:53.0HOUBraggs P.FOUL (P1.PN)15
14
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
14
Q1 - 0:55.0HOUMISS Yao 8' Hook Shot15
14
Q1 - 1:09HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
14
Q1 - 1:11MIAMISS Odom 20' Jump Shot15
14
Q1 - 1:24HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
14
Q1 - 1:24MIASUB: Jones FOR Haslem15
13
Q1 - 1:24MIASUB: Woods FOR Hill15
13
Q1 - 1:24HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
13
Q1 - 1:24MIAHill P.FOUL (P2.PN)15
12
Q1 - 1:37MIAOdom 4' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)15
12
Q1 - 1:40MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
12
Q1 - 1:44MIAMISS Odom 14' Jump Shot13
12
Q1 - 2:10HOUNachbar 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST)13
12
Q1 - 2:27MIAWade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)13
9
Q1 - 2:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
9
Q1 - 2:40HOUMISS Francis 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
9
Q1 - 2:50MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P1.T2)11
9
Q1 - 2:50MIAOdom OFF.Foul (P1)11
9
Q1 - 3:02HOUFrancis 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
9
Q1 - 3:15HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
7
Q1 - 3:15MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 211
7
Q1 - 3:15HOUSUB: Nachbar FOR Jackson11
7
Q1 - 3:15MIAHeat Rebound11
7
Q1 - 3:15MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 211
7
Q1 - 3:15HOUJackson S.FOUL (P2.T4)11
7
Q1 - 3:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
7
Q1 - 3:21HOUMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot11
7
Q1 - 3:36HOUROCKETS Rebound11
7
Q1 - 3:37MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
7
Q1 - 3:52HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
7
Q1 - 3:52HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
6
Q1 - 3:52MIAButler S.FOUL (P1.PN)11
5
Q1 - 3:55HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
5
Q1 - 3:57MIAYao BLOCK (4 BLK)11
5
Q1 - 4:11HOUBraggs 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)11
5
Q1 - 4:33HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
5
Q1 - 4:34MIAMISS Odom Layup11
5
Q1 - 4:40MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)11
5
Q1 - 4:40MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones11
5
Q1 - 4:40MIAHeat Rebound11
5
Q1 - 4:42MIAYao BLOCK (3 BLK)11
5
Q1 - 4:55MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
5
Q1 - 4:57HOUMISS Francis Driving Layup11
5
Q1 - 5:14MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)11
5
Q1 - 5:37MIAHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
5
Q1 - 5:39MIAMISS Jones 11' Turnaround Jump Shot11
5
Q1 - 5:57HOUFrancis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)11
5
Q1 - 6:18MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)11
5
Q1 - 6:18HOUSUB: Braggs FOR Cato10
5
Q1 - 6:18HOUCato S.FOUL (P2.T3)10
5
Q1 - 6:18MIAJones Layup (2 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)10
5
Q1 - 6:33HOUCato Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)8
5
Q1 - 6:33MIAHill S.FOUL (P1.PN)8
4
Q1 - 6:33HOUCato 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)8
4
Q1 - 6:44HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
2
Q1 - 6:45HOUMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
2
Q1 - 6:57HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
2
Q1 - 6:58MIAYao BLOCK (2 BLK)8
2
Q1 - 7:00MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
2
Q1 - 7:01MIAYao BLOCK (1 BLK)8
2
Q1 - 7:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
2
Q1 - 7:04MIAMISS Odom 8' Jump Shot8
2
Q1 - 7:19HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
2
Q1 - 7:19HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
1
Q1 - 7:19MIASUB: Hill FOR Grant8
0
Q1 - 7:19MIAGrant S.FOUL (P2.T4)8
0
Q1 - 7:36HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
0
Q1 - 7:37MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot8
0
Q1 - 7:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
0
Q1 - 7:46HOUMISS Mobley 3PT Jump Shot8
0
Q1 - 7:54MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T3)8
0
Q1 - 8:18HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
0
Q1 - 8:20MIAMISS Grant 8' Jump Shot8
0
Q1 - 8:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
0
Q1 - 8:28HOUMISS Mobley 17' Jump Shot8
0
Q1 - 8:35MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)8
0
Q1 - 8:40HOUROCKETS Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#3)6
0
Q1 - 8:40HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)6
0
Q1 - 8:57MIAWade 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
0
Q1 - 9:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
0
Q1 - 9:05HOUMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot4
0
Q1 - 9:20HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
0
Q1 - 9:22MIAMISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
0
Q1 - 9:30MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
0
Q1 - 9:31HOUMISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
0
Q1 - 9:56HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
0
Q1 - 9:56MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 24
0
Q1 - 9:56MIAHeat Rebound4
0
Q1 - 9:56MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 24
0
Q1 - 9:56HOUCato S.FOUL (P1.T2)4
0
Q1 - 10:13HOUJackson Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)4
0
Q1 - 10:23MIAGrant P.FOUL (P1.T2)4
0
Q1 - 10:28MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
0
Q1 - 10:43MIAOdom Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
0
Q1 - 10:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 10:59HOUMISS Cato 19' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:21MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 11:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
0
Q1 - 11:21HOUJackson S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:24HOUFrancis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:32HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:33MIAMISS Haslem Layup0
0
Q1 - 11:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
0
Q1 - 11:36MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Yao vs. Grant: Tip to Wade0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.73 36.5%
HOU
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
25
52%
HOU
9
17
53%
Midrange
MIA
12
42
29%
HOU
12
28
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
1
1.5
8
13%
19%
HOU
10
15.0
24
42%
63%
Free Throws
MIA
17
28
61%
HOU
18
20
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2158%10.5 / 18
L. Odom1437%7.0 / 19
D. Wade1150%5.5 / 11
B. Grant850%4.0 / 8
L. Woods550%2.5 / 5
C. Butler425%2.0 / 8
U. Haslem28%1.0 / 12
J. Wallace220%1.0 / 5
T. Hill250%1.0 / 2
R. Alston125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Mobley3068%15.0 / 22
Yao1673%8.0 / 11
S. Francis1444%7.0 / 16
S. Padgett1393%6.5 / 7
K. Cato550%2.5 / 5
M. Norris563%2.5 / 4
B. Nachbar338%1.5 / 4
J. Jackson213%1.0 / 8
T. Braggs250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
74
+21
-14
95
HOU
72
+10
-15
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.73 36.5%
HOU
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
98.5
MIA 79.5
HOU 103.4 +23.9
Pace
90.6
90.1
MIA 92.4 +9.4
HOU 83.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.7
MIA 15.6 −1.8
HOU 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
48.4%
MIA 35.3%
HOU 52.2% +16.9%
TO %
14.4%
17.3%
MIA 16.3% −1.6%
HOU 17.9%
ORB %
27.5%
26.4%
MIA 32.6% +12.6%
HOU 20.0%
FTrt
29.8
28.6
MIA 37.3 +8.3
HOU 29.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
57.7%
MIA 57.7%
HOU 67.7% +10.0%
STL %
7.9%
7.5%
MIA 6.8%
HOU 6.9% +0.1%
BLK %
6.3%
8.6%
MIA 4.4%
HOU 17.9% +13.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
50.0%
MIA 36.5%
HOU 54.9% +18.4%
Rim FG%
53.9%
57.1%
MIA 52.0%
HOU 52.9% +0.9%
Mid FG%
36.9%
39.5%
MIA 28.6%
HOU 42.9% +14.3%
3P %
35.7%
36.6%
MIA 12.5%
HOU 41.7% +29.2%
FT %
76.2%
77.3%
MIA 60.7%
HOU 90.0% +29.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
30.5%
MIA 33.3% +8.7%
HOU 24.6%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
46.8%
MIA 56.0%
HOU 40.6% −15.4%
3P Att. %
21.1%
22.7%
MIA 10.7%
HOU 34.8% +24.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAHOU
Possessions8887
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points7090
Rebounds4236
Assists1521
Steals66
Blocks212
Turnovers (Team)14 (3)15 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (7)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)29 (3)
Field Goals26-7531-69
At-the-Rim FG13-259-17
Midrange FG12-4212-28
2-Point FG25-6721-45
3-Point FG1-810-24
Free Throws17-2818-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 22
37.9
11
50%
5
5
3
0
3
3
0
5
3-4
75%
4-8
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
37.9
14
37%
10
5
1
1
3
3
4
6
2-8
25%
6-13
46%
0-2
0%
G · 6'6" 200 · 32
35.2
21
58%
4
3
1
0
3
4
1
3
4-4
100%
7-12
58%
1-3
33%
C · 6'9" 254 · 32
29.4
8
50%
6
0
0
0
0
5
3
3
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 23
28.7
2
8%
6
2
0
0
1
2
3
3
0-0
-
1-11
9%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 228 · 24
25.4
4
25%
1
0
1
0
3
3
0
1
2-4
50%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
15.1
2
20%
5
0
0
0
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
12.0
1
25%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 260 · 25
9.9
5
50%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 36
8.7
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 182 · 36
F · 6'9" 237 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
70
37%
42
15
6
2
14
0
14
28
17-28
61%
25-67
37%
1-8
13%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.