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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 11, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Pistons34%9691
2Kings66%10197
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 25.7
41.0
35.4
19
48%
7
3
1
1
0
2
1
6
10-11
91%
3-14
7-16
21%
44%
1-1
100%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 27.1
40.5
36.2
17
48%
4
3
1
1
0
3
0
4
6-6
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
42%
1-5
20%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 23.7
39.5
33.9
10
42%
7
0
1
1
0
3
2
5
0-0
-
5-11
3-6
45%
44%
0-1
0%
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 35.3
21.7
15.9
11
43%
8
0
0
1
1
0
2
6
3-4
75%
4-11
2-5
36%
43%
0-0
-
Zeljko Rebraca
C · 7'0" 265 · 31.6
8.8
4.6
1
17%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.5
28.7
25.1
16
88%
9
0
1
1
2
3
4
5
6-7
86%
5-6
3-6
83%
43%
0-0
-
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 29.9
28.4
21.4
15
49%
7
2
1
1
0
4
2
5
1-3
33%
7-14
4-8
50%
45%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.9
13.2
10.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-3
-
36%
0-0
-
Tremaine Fowlkes
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.6
10.0
1.2
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
40%
0-0
-
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.6
4.1
8.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 18.4
4.0
2.7
0
0%
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 29.2
38.6
2
4-9
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.5
39.4
34.5
23
64%
2
5
1
1
0
3
1
1
6-7
86%
7-13
5-10
54%
46%
1-2
50%
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 33.5
39.1
32.3
14
59%
8
3
1
2
0
2
0
8
1-2
50%
5-9
3-7
56%
48%
1-2
50%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 26.4
36.8
37.1
12
35%
10
2
1
1
0
1
1
9
0-0
-
6-12
5-10
50%
51%
0-5
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 27.6
32.3
37.6
10
48%
8
6
0
1
1
3
1
7
2-3
67%
4-9
5-10
44%
48%
0-0
-
Vlade Divac
C · 7'1" 260 · 35.8
29.5
28.7
13
61%
5
9
0
1
0
2
0
5
5-6
83%
4-8
4-9
50%
47%
0-0
-
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 36.3
29.3
16.2
7
44%
9
1
0
0
3
0
3
6
1-2
50%
3-7
2-5
43%
43%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.7
21.7
22.3
16
74%
1
2
3
1
1
4
0
1
2-4
50%
4-5
3-7
80%
47%
2-4
50%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 21.3
7.4
12.0
2
69%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-1
0%
1-1
2-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.7
4.5
9.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 34.0
5.0
0
0-1
41%
Jabari Smith
C · 6'11" 250 · 26.7
1.7
0
0-1
46%
Rodney Buford
F-G · 6'5" 195 · 26.0
1.2
0
0-0
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.