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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 12, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bulls28%9289
17Celtics72%9982
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.5
42.1
27.2
9
33%
11
3
0
1
3
2
2
9
6-8
75%
0-7
4-8
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 30.8
36.5
29.6
20
64%
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
6-6
100%
4-8
4-9
50%
41%
2-5
40%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 20.9
35.0
31.1
16
65%
14
0
1
0
0
2
4
10
8-12
67%
4-7
6-11
57%
52%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.9
28.3
24.6
7
50%
2
3
0
1
0
5
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
36%
1-2
50%
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 35.5
28.2
25.9
12
75%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-8
50%
41%
2-2
100%
Scottie Pippen
F-G · 6'8" 228 · 38.1
22.9
11.9
12
66%
5
1
2
1
0
1
1
4
4-7
57%
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
2-3
67%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.6
20.1
28.0
5
63%
1
1
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
4-8
100%
43%
1-3
33%
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 24.8
13.7
12.6
4
40%
7
1
0
0
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
42%
0-0
-
Eddie Robinson
F · 6'9" 210 · 27.6
13.3
18.3
4
34%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-2
0%
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
0-0
-
Corie Blount
F-C · 6'10" 242 · 34.9
16.8
1
1-3
43%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 21.1
13.7
0
2-3
49%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.4
3.6
0
0-1
39%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.1
39.7
37.2
14
42%
7
8
1
2
0
7
1
6
4-4
100%
2-9
7-15
22%
46%
2-6
33%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 28.4
32.9
30.0
18
64%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
44%
6-11
55%
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.0
31.7
30.9
12
44%
8
1
1
1
0
1
6
2
4-6
67%
4-11
5-9
36%
50%
0-0
-
Kedrick Brown
G-F · 6'7" 222 · 22.7
21.1
23.4
10
44%
4
1
0
1
0
0
3
1
0-1
0%
5-10
2-5
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.8
16.3
19.3
0
0%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
54%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 28.0
32.0
23.6
7
52%
11
2
3
1
1
1
2
9
3-4
75%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-0
-
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.3
21.4
20.4
13
45%
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
3
5-10
50%
4-7
2-5
57%
45%
0-3
0%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 27.5
15.7
20.1
8
45%
2
1
0
0
2
1
2
0
2-2
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
53%
0-2
0%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 22.0
15.1
17.1
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.8
8.3
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-1
0%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 23.8
6.0
11.0
0
0%
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-2
0%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.8
5.5
0
0-1
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.