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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 12, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Cavaliers
83
29Heat
88
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 18.9
43
37
18
3
7
2
1
1
4
1
2
4-6
67%
4-10
5-12
40%
43%
2-5
40%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.1
39
35
9
3
4
2
1
0
6
1
2
1-2
50%
4-8
5-12
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 22.0
36
30
5
16
3
3
1
1
2
3
13
1-3
33%
2-8
5-10
25%
52%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 28.4
34
25
20
6
1
0
1
1
3
2
4
4-8
50%
8-13
4-10
62%
44%
0-0
-
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.1
30
25
11
4
2
1
1
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
5-10
4-8
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.3
14
14
11
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
2
3-6
50%
4-4
2-5
100%
43%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.9
13
18
7
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
41%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.8
11
20
2
2
2
0
1
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
41%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 28.8
11
15
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
J.R. Bremer
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.1
9
17
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
38%
0-1
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 22.8
3
0
0-1
41%
Bruno Sundov
C · 7'2" 260 · 23.8
3
0
0-1
42%
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.0
41
34
14
2
10
2
1
0
5
0
2
4-6
67%
5-13
5-10
38%
46%
0-4
0%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32.1
37
34
25
5
3
0
1
0
0
0
5
4-5
80%
6-12
4-9
50%
44%
3-6
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.4
36
31
7
10
1
0
1
1
3
3
7
1-1
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
44%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 21.8
35
33
14
7
5
0
1
1
3
3
4
4-5
80%
5-16
5-12
31%
40%
0-1
0%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 31.7
30
31
6
5
0
3
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 23.7
19
28
6
1
2
3
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
4-8
60%
43%
0-0
-
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 25.4
18
10
4
7
0
2
0
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.3
13
17
10
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
41%
2-2
100%
John Wallace
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.8
12
13
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
43%
0-0
-
Tyrone Hill
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.6
7
0
1-1
41%
Bimbo Coles
G · 6'2" 182 · 35.6
5
0
0-1
38%
Jerome Beasley
F · 6'9" 237 · 23.5
1
0
0-0
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.