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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 12, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Raptors12%8879
1Lakers88%10394
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.8
37.2
36.0
23
44%
2
4
3
1
2
3
0
2
8-9
89%
6-16
8-17
38%
44%
1-6
17%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.8
37.2
30.8
2
11%
2
4
0
1
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
3-7
17%
41%
0-3
0%
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.0
36.4
32.1
2
25%
8
1
0
0
0
0
3
5
0-0
-
1-4
3-9
25%
39%
0-0
-
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 30.5
19.9
30.6
4
67%
8
1
1
1
0
2
0
8
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
46%
0-0
-
Michael Curry
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 35.2
17.9
20.2
5
53%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
1-3
1-3
33%
41%
0-0
-
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 19.6
28.1
27.0
10
73%
8
0
1
1
0
3
0
8
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
43%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.2
21.4
19.1
16
69%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
5-6
83%
1-4
2-4
25%
41%
3-5
60%
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.6
19.5
17.4
15
67%
7
0
1
0
0
2
2
5
5-5
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
38%
2-3
67%
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 29.3
10.8
17.0
2
26%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Mengke Bateer
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.0
10.7
0.7
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
38%
0-0
-
Jerome Moiso
F · 6'10" 260 · 25.4
0.9
3.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.4
1.1
0
0-0
36%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 31.7
39.2
36.8
23
62%
14
0
0
1
2
2
2
12
5-15
33%
9-12
8-15
75%
56%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 25.2
37.1
34.9
19
62%
3
4
1
2
0
3
1
2
8-10
80%
4-10
6-13
40%
47%
1-1
100%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.3
36.4
29.8
16
47%
5
6
2
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
7-15
4-9
47%
48%
0-1
0%
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 40.3
31.6
31.6
17
50%
8
3
3
1
0
3
0
8
7-11
64%
5-12
5-11
42%
45%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.2
20.5
30.4
6
44%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 29.3
26.1
25.4
7
34%
3
5
3
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
1-7
2-5
14%
45%
1-2
50%
Horace Grant
C · 6'10" 245 · 38.4
15.7
13.3
2
25%
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
49%
0-0
-
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.9
15.4
12.1
2
33%
5
0
0
1
0
0
4
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
39%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.0
9.0
8.9
2
35%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.6
7.6
7.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.1
1.3
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 24.6
3.9
0
1-1
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.