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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 13, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Rockets33%9586
4Mavericks67%10197
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 26.7
37.3
36.9
15
49%
3
7
2
1
0
3
0
3
3-3
100%
6-11
5-11
55%
44%
0-3
0%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.1
36.6
28.3
23
72%
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-9
3-6
44%
43%
5-7
71%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.2
35.5
38.8
9
38%
5
1
0
1
0
2
0
5
4-4
100%
1-5
4-9
20%
45%
1-5
20%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 23.2
30.6
31.5
12
47%
8
4
2
0
1
1
3
5
2-2
100%
5-12
5-11
42%
48%
0-0
-
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 29.2
26.8
23.0
12
43%
9
0
1
1
1
2
7
2
0-0
-
6-14
2-5
43%
51%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.6
23.9
17.8
8
39%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
3-3
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
1-4
25%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.3
22.6
17.4
3
50%
3
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
1-3
33%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 23.4
13.2
17.1
0
0%
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Torraye Braggs
F · 6'8" 245 · 27.5
8.4
13.9
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
0-0
-
Alton Ford
F · 6'9" 280 · 22.5
2.6
4.2
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 24.5
2.6
3.2
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
37%
0-0
-
John Amaechi
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 33.0
2.0
0
0-1
35%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 30.7
45.1
35.3
14
59%
4
2
1
1
2
0
3
1
2-2
100%
6-7
4-8
86%
45%
0-4
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.4
38.0
33.9
23
62%
5
1
0
1
1
1
0
5
5-6
83%
9-12
5-11
75%
49%
0-4
0%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 29.8
35.4
27.5
16
76%
5
7
0
1
0
4
0
5
7-8
88%
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
1-2
50%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.3
35.0
33.9
17
53%
12
7
1
1
1
2
3
9
5-7
71%
6-10
4-10
60%
43%
0-3
0%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 27.6
13.7
13.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
22.9
27.3
13
42%
8
0
0
1
0
0
3
5
1-1
100%
6-14
5-10
43%
48%
0-1
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 23.5
16.7
6.5
7
35%
5
0
3
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-7
1-2
29%
42%
1-3
33%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 31.6
16.1
6.3
5
43%
2
0
3
0
1
0
1
1
3-4
75%
1-4
1-1
25%
49%
0-0
-
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 31.3
12.5
18.7
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.3
3.6
15.4
2
100%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.8
0.9
5.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-1
0%
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 29.8
16.5
1
1-3
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.