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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 20, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs40%9692
2Mavericks60%9995
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.6
41.2
33.0
30
69%
17
5
2
1
0
4
3
14
8-11
73%
11-16
7-14
69%
50%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.5
36.5
30.7
9
30%
5
9
0
1
1
1
0
5
3-4
75%
3-8
4-10
38%
46%
0-5
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.3
35.9
30.6
12
44%
7
4
0
2
0
1
3
4
3-4
75%
3-9
3-7
33%
42%
1-3
33%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.5
33.1
25.8
18
59%
7
2
1
0
2
0
2
5
2-3
67%
8-14
3-7
57%
49%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 32.4
30.5
33.8
2
25%
1
3
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-4
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 24.7
19.9
24.8
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-6
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 29.0
14.6
22.6
5
32%
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
2-7
3-7
29%
43%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.4
11.5
11.7
6
60%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
35%
0-1
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.9
9.7
3.9
8
84%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
1-2
0-1
50%
39%
1-1
100%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33.2
7.1
13.0
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.6
11.8
0
1-2
44%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41.2
2.2
0
0-1
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.3
45.0
36.7
22
43%
11
5
1
1
0
1
2
9
1-2
50%
9-18
4-10
50%
43%
1-7
14%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 30.7
44.2
40.4
17
41%
2
1
4
1
2
2
1
1
6-8
75%
4-10
4-10
40%
44%
1-7
14%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.4
43.0
36.0
26
56%
6
1
1
1
0
1
2
4
10-10
100%
5-14
6-12
36%
48%
2-5
40%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 29.8
35.4
34.8
12
52%
8
7
1
1
0
3
2
6
5-6
83%
2-7
3-7
29%
46%
1-2
50%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 31.7
21.6
8.8
5
56%
7
1
0
0
3
0
2
5
1-1
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
15.6
28.3
2
53%
8
0
1
1
0
1
0
8
2-2
100%
0-1
5-11
0%
47%
0-0
-
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 27.6
13.1
12.9
5
91%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
3-4
75%
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
0-0
-
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 31.4
12.6
11.8
4
29%
0
3
3
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
39%
0-1
0%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.4
9.5
13.2
2
69%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-1
0%
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 23.6
8.5
0
1-3
40%
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 29.8
8.1
0
1-2
42%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.9
2.0
0
0-1
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.