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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 21, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Celtics38%8785
1376ers62%9187
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.1
40.6
36.1
33
52%
7
6
3
1
0
5
2
5
5-6
83%
11-22
6-13
50%
44%
2-7
29%
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.0
40.1
33.2
22
58%
4
2
0
1
2
1
2
2
8-9
89%
7-15
5-10
47%
48%
0-0
-
Kedrick Brown
G-F · 6'7" 222 · 22.7
32.6
20.5
3
30%
8
1
3
1
1
0
1
7
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 28.4
31.4
27.1
6
75%
4
2
2
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
41%
2-4
50%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 28.0
5.7
20.7
1
27%
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.8
36.2
25.4
9
41%
4
1
0
1
1
1
1
3
1-2
50%
4-10
3-6
40%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 22.0
16.4
18.6
3
39%
2
1
2
1
0
3
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
38%
0-1
0%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.3
14.6
23.9
4
52%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
3-6
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 23.8
12.9
12.7
4
53%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
39%
0-1
0%
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.8
9.6
6.8
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.8
8.5
0
1-1
48%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 19.0
2.9
0
0-1
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 28.5
44.6
27.8
24
43%
3
8
3
2
0
5
0
3
7-7
100%
7-22
6-13
32%
43%
1-3
33%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 26.3
37.9
25.1
14
51%
12
4
1
1
1
2
3
9
4-6
67%
5-11
3-6
45%
48%
0-0
-
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 28.8
37.9
35.9
12
62%
9
1
0
1
0
3
2
7
6-6
100%
3-7
5-11
43%
44%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.6
37.8
36.6
6
33%
1
4
1
2
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-9
4-9
33%
44%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 23.5
17.3
23.4
6
100%
4
0
0
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-3
3-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 31.1
26.2
36.0
9
59%
5
2
4
2
0
3
0
5
5-6
83%
2-3
3-7
67%
45%
0-2
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 23.9
19.4
20.4
10
102%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
2-2
100%
Amal McCaskill
C · 6'11" 235 · 30.1
15.6
11.7
6
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
43%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.3
3.4
11.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
40%
0-0
-
Glenn Robinson
F · 6'7" 240 · 30.9
10.3
0
2-3
45%
Derrick Coleman
F · 6'10" 270 · 36.4
9.1
0
1-2
46%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 22.7
5.7
0
0-1
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.