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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 21, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Hawks21%8775
2Spurs79%97114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 25.1
27.4
30.8
14
49%
5
2
0
1
0
1
2
3
5-5
100%
3-11
4-9
27%
42%
1-1
100%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.9
26.3
34.7
16
51%
7
0
3
1
0
2
3
4
4-6
67%
6-12
5-12
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 25.6
25.1
30.0
8
36%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
4-5
80%
2-8
3-7
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 30.6
18.9
28.0
3
52%
2
1
0
1
3
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
3-7
50%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.2
18.2
33.8
2
17%
1
0
0
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
4-9
25%
45%
0-2
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 26.2
29.1
16.4
10
51%
7
0
3
0
1
2
1
6
2-4
50%
4-8
2-5
50%
43%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 21.6
22.9
16.7
6
30%
6
3
1
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
3-9
1-1
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 25.2
19.3
1.7
2
17%
4
2
1
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-6
0-0
17%
34%
0-0
-
Chris Crawford
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.5
18.3
3.4
8
51%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
2-2
100%
3-6
0-1
50%
40%
0-1
0%
Travis Hansen
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 25.6
16.0
7.2
2
26%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
35%
0-1
0%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.8
15.3
21.8
2
33%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.7
3.5
11.2
2
100%
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
43%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.5
27.6
28.7
2
20%
8
3
1
1
3
1
2
6
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
50%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 32.4
25.4
32.1
8
57%
3
2
4
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
44%
2-3
67%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.3
23.8
32.8
20
92%
5
5
2
2
0
1
1
4
0-2
0%
7-8
4-8
88%
44%
2-2
100%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.6
23.3
36.1
25
72%
10
3
0
1
4
3
2
8
7-10
70%
9-13
8-16
69%
52%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.5
19.4
33.1
17
79%
3
6
2
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
4-6
5-10
67%
48%
2-3
67%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.9
25.2
6.8
8
58%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
42%
0-2
0%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 24.7
21.6
22.6
11
70%
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
42%
1-2
50%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.4
19.3
11.7
4
33%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
40%
0-1
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33.2
16.5
10.6
3
19%
7
1
1
0
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
0-6
1-2
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41.2
16.5
2.2
8
45%
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
3-8
0-1
38%
44%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 29.0
12.2
19.5
6
61%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.6
9.3
8.2
2
50%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.