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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 21, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Magic12%9492
3Kings88%109122
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.4
35.9
30.4
19
58%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
6-13
3-6
46%
44%
2-3
67%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.6
30.2
33.9
12
51%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
5-10
3-7
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 24.5
29.5
36.8
12
35%
9
7
0
1
1
2
1
8
0-0
-
6-11
6-14
55%
45%
0-6
0%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.1
27.0
19.7
11
70%
9
0
0
0
3
4
5
4
1-2
50%
5-7
2-5
71%
47%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 22.2
26.3
29.2
5
25%
3
0
0
1
1
2
1
2
1-2
50%
2-8
4-10
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Donnell Harvey
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.2
23.1
11.0
9
44%
8
0
1
0
0
2
4
4
3-3
100%
3-9
1-3
33%
42%
0-0
-
Reece Gaines
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.9
17.8
9.2
2
17%
4
2
0
0
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
0-4
1-2
0%
38%
0-1
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.8
16.5
30.4
6
34%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-8
5-13
25%
43%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 23.5
13.9
19.1
6
50%
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
39%
0-2
0%
Andrew DeClercq
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.8
12.7
13.8
10
102%
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
1
2-2
100%
4-4
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 19.8
4.0
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Derrick Dial
G · 6'4" 184 · 27.9
3.1
8.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
38%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 27.6
36.5
36.6
22
92%
14
10
1
1
1
3
4
10
8-9
89%
7-8
5-10
88%
51%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 26.5
30.4
37.2
18
60%
4
3
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
6-10
5-10
60%
54%
2-5
40%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.5
27.1
32.3
21
97%
2
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
5-9
67%
49%
5-7
71%
Vlade Divac
C · 7'1" 260 · 35.8
27.0
22.9
6
30%
5
8
1
1
1
1
2
3
0-2
0%
3-9
4-7
33%
50%
0-0
-
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 33.5
19.7
25.5
6
43%
5
3
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
51%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.7
25.2
22.2
13
47%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
50%
1-3
33%
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 34.0
22.4
17.0
9
59%
1
1
3
1
0
2
0
1
5-6
83%
2-2
1-3
100%
44%
0-3
0%
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 36.3
20.8
14.6
10
73%
4
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
46%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.8
16.3
17.7
11
71%
7
0
0
1
0
1
3
4
3-4
75%
4-6
2-4
67%
48%
0-0
-
Jabari Smith
C · 6'11" 250 · 26.8
7.3
2.0
2
33%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
48%
0-0
-
Rodney Buford
F-G · 6'5" 195 · 26.1
7.3
1.8
4
40%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
47%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 21.3
11.0
0
1-3
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.