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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 22, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Nuggets13%95101
1Mavericks87%109115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 19.5
40.0
30.0
16
41%
10
3
1
1
0
3
2
8
2-3
67%
7-12
5-12
58%
40%
0-6
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.7
35.0
21.7
6
44%
11
0
1
1
2
1
4
7
2-4
50%
2-5
2-6
40%
38%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.7
32.6
30.4
22
53%
4
6
3
1
0
1
2
2
6-6
100%
8-14
4-11
57%
42%
0-4
0%
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.5
29.0
29.4
16
34%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
5-5
100%
4-15
4-10
27%
40%
1-6
17%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 27.7
26.2
21.2
7
33%
8
0
0
1
0
1
4
4
3-4
75%
2-9
2-5
22%
45%
0-0
-
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.3
26.4
24.9
20
88%
4
3
1
1
0
1
2
2
3-3
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
44%
3-4
75%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.4
16.5
19.0
5
43%
8
0
1
1
1
2
2
6
1-2
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
40%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 27.5
15.4
24.2
9
70%
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
4-6
4-9
67%
41%
0-0
-
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 20.6
12.1
11.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
36%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 28.0
6.9
13.4
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 21.2
10.7
1
1-3
49%
Rodney White
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.4
7.0
0
1-2
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.3
40.1
39.8
25
68%
14
6
1
1
2
3
2
12
1-1
100%
9-13
5-12
69%
45%
2-5
40%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.4
38.9
38.8
19
50%
11
1
0
1
2
0
2
9
8-9
89%
4-13
6-13
31%
50%
1-2
50%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 29.8
35.1
34.5
18
77%
3
8
2
1
0
3
2
1
4-4
100%
1-6
3-7
17%
48%
4-4
100%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 30.7
34.2
41.3
12
50%
1
6
0
1
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-8
5-10
38%
46%
2-4
50%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.4
16.4
11.6
5
34%
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
1
1-3
33%
2-6
1-3
33%
52%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
34.0
22.0
26
68%
8
0
2
1
1
2
1
7
6-7
86%
10-16
4-9
63%
49%
0-0
-
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 31.4
16.9
12.2
0
0%
0
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 23.6
15.1
5.2
4
29%
2
1
2
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 29.8
8.3
7.4
6
77%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
44%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.9
1.1
1.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 31.7
15.2
1
2-3
50%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 27.7
12.9
0
1-3
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.