Final Win Prob. pScore
563%97
87
2437%93
91
ORTG#PossPace
Hornets
95.69183.8
MIA logo Heat
103.48896.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA87
91
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound87
91
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 187
91
Q4 - 0:02.0NOHSUB: Augmon FOR Davis87
91
Q4 - 0:02.0NOHDavis AWAY.FROM.PLAY.FOUL (P6.PN)87
91
Q4 - 0:02.0NOHDavis 22' Jump Shot (28 PTS)87
91
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)85
91
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)85
90
Q4 - 0:08.0NOHMagloire P.FOUL (P2.PN)85
89
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)85
89
Q4 - 0:09.0NOHMISS Wesley Driving Layup85
89
Q4 - 0:15.0NOHHornets Timeout: Short (Reg.6 Short 1)85
89
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)85
89
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)85
88
Q4 - 0:15.0NOHWesley P.FOUL (P3.PN)85
87
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)85
87
Q4 - 0:18.0NOHGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)85
87
Q4 - 0:31.0NOHSUB: Armstrong FOR Lynch85
87
Q4 - 0:31.0NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)85
87
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAOdom Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)85
87
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAHEAT Rebound85
87
Q4 - 0:52.0NOHMISS Lynch 3PT Jump Shot85
87
Q4 - 1:06NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)85
87
Q4 - 1:06MIAGrant P.FOUL (P4.T4)85
87
Q4 - 1:21MIAOdom 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)85
87
Q4 - 1:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
84
Q4 - 1:38NOHMISS Lynch 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
84
Q4 - 1:57NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)85
84
Q4 - 1:59MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot85
84
Q4 - 2:25NOHBrown 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)85
84
Q4 - 2:40MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P3.T14)83
84
Q4 - 2:40MIAOdom OFF.Foul (P3)83
84
Q4 - 2:44NOHSUB: Lynch FOR Augmon83
84
Q4 - 2:44NOHSUB: Wesley FOR Armstrong83
84
Q4 - 2:44NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)83
84
Q4 - 2:44NOHAugmon P.FOUL (P2.T4)83
84
Q4 - 2:59MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)83
84
Q4 - 3:01NOHMISS Magloire 6' Hook Shot83
84
Q4 - 3:18NOHHornets Rebound83
84
Q4 - 3:18MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. Magloire: Tip to Brown83
84
Q4 - 3:18MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
84
Q4 - 3:31NOHSUB: Brown FOR West83
84
Q4 - 3:31MIASUB: Alston FOR Wade83
84
Q4 - 3:31NOHDavis Foul Turnover (P5.T13)83
84
Q4 - 3:31NOHDavis OFF.Foul (P5)83
84
Q4 - 3:48MIAHaslem 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)83
84
Q4 - 3:58MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
82
Q4 - 4:00NOHWade BLOCK (1 BLK)83
82
Q4 - 4:16NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)83
82
Q4 - 4:18MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot83
82
Q4 - 4:41NOHDavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)83
82
Q4 - 5:00MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T13)80
82
Q4 - 5:00MIAWade OFF.Foul (P2)80
82
Q4 - 5:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
82
Q4 - 5:06NOHMISS Augmon 20' Jump Shot80
82
Q4 - 5:31MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)80
82
Q4 - 5:42MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
79
Q4 - 5:45NOHMISS West Free Throw 1 of 180
79
Q4 - 5:45MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P3.T3)80
79
Q4 - 5:45NOHWest Layup (2 PTS)80
79
Q4 - 5:57MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)78
79
Q4 - 5:57MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)78
78
Q4 - 5:57NOHSUB: Magloire FOR Traylor78
77
Q4 - 5:57MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)78
77
Q4 - 5:57NOHWest S.FOUL (P1.T3)78
77
Q4 - 6:16NOHDavis 12' Jump Bank Shot (23 PTS)78
77
Q4 - 6:22NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
77
Q4 - 6:24MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot76
77
Q4 - 6:38NOHDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)76
77
Q4 - 6:38NOHDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)75
77
Q4 - 6:38MIAOdom S.FOUL (P2.T2)74
77
Q4 - 6:54MIAWade 15' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)74
77
Q4 - 7:03NOHSUB: Armstrong FOR Wesley74
75
Q4 - 7:03NOHDavis P.FOUL (P4.T2)74
75
Q4 - 7:22NOHDavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)74
75
Q4 - 7:41MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)71
75
Q4 - 7:41MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
75
Q4 - 7:43NOHMISS West Tip Shot71
75
Q4 - 7:45NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
75
Q4 - 7:47NOHMISS Davis 6' Running Jump Shot71
75
Q4 - 8:01MIAJones P.FOUL (P4.T1)71
75
Q4 - 8:02NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
75
Q4 - 8:05MIAMISS Odom 13' Running Hook Shot71
75
Q4 - 8:17NOHSUB: West FOR Brown71
75
Q4 - 8:17MIASUB: Jones FOR Alston71
75
Q4 - 8:1771
75
Q4 - 8:17NOHBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)71
75
Q4 - 8:35NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)71
75
Q4 - 8:37MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot71
75
Q4 - 8:59NOHWesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Davis 10 AST)71
75
Q4 - 9:02NOHAugmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
75
Q4 - 9:04NOHMISS Brown 21' Jump Shot68
75
Q4 - 9:20MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)68
75
Q4 - 9:20MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)68
74
Q4 - 9:20MIASUB: Grant FOR Woods68
73
Q4 - 9:20MIASUB: Haslem FOR Walker68
73
Q4 - 9:20NOHAugmon S.FOUL (P1.T1)68
73
Q4 - 9:38NOHAugmon 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 9 AST)68
73
Q4 - 10:00NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)66
73
Q4 - 10:02MIAMISS Walker 18' Jump Shot66
73
Q4 - 10:11MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
73
Q4 - 10:13NOHMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
73
Q4 - 10:23NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
73
Q4 - 10:25MIAMISS Walker 14' Jump Shot66
73
Q4 - 10:47MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
73
Q4 - 10:49NOHMISS Wesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
73
Q4 - 10:57MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)66
73
Q4 - 11:12NOHAlston STEAL (1 STL)66
73
Q4 - 11:34NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
73
Q4 - 11:36MIAMISS Odom 14' Jump Shot66
73
Q4 - 12:0066
73
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH66
73
Q3 - 0:01.0NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)66
73
Q3 - 0:03.0NOHMISS Davis 24' Jump Shot66
73
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)66
73
Q3 - 0:37.0NOHBrown 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 8 AST)66
73
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)64
73
Q3 - 0:51.0MIASUB: Wade FOR Jones64
72
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)64
72
Q3 - 0:51.0NOHTraylor P.FOUL (P2.PN)64
71
Q3 - 1:06MIAHEAT Rebound64
71
Q3 - 1:08NOHMISS Brown 9' Turnaround Jump Shot64
71
Q3 - 1:22NOHAugmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
71
Q3 - 1:24MIAMISS Woods Free Throw 2 of 264
71
Q3 - 1:24MIAWoods Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)64
71
Q3 - 1:24NOHDavis P.FOUL (P3.PN)64
70
Q3 - 1:26NOHWoods STEAL (2 STL)64
70
Q3 - 1:38MIAJones Reverse Layup (18 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)64
70
Q3 - 1:45MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
68
Q3 - 1:47NOHMISS Wesley 20' Jump Shot64
68
Q3 - 2:04NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
68
Q3 - 2:06MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot64
68
Q3 - 2:11NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)64
68
Q3 - 2:11MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1)64
68
Q3 - 2:23NOHDavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Traylor 2 AST)64
68
Q3 - 2:26NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
68
Q3 - 2:28NOHMISS Augmon 11' Fadeaway Jumper61
68
Q3 - 2:41NOHAugmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
68
Q3 - 2:43MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot61
68
Q3 - 2:57NOHDavis 17' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)61
68
Q3 - 3:18MIAWalker 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)59
68
Q3 - 3:25NOHSUB: Traylor FOR Magloire59
66
Q3 - 3:25MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
66
Q3 - 3:26MIAMISS Alston 15' Jump Shot59
66
Q3 - 3:30MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
66
Q3 - 3:35NOHMISS Brown 13' Jump Shot59
66
Q3 - 3:56MIAWoods Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)59
66
Q3 - 3:56MIAHEAT Rebound59
65
Q3 - 3:56MIAMISS Woods Free Throw 1 of 259
65
Q3 - 3:56NOHDavis S.FOUL (P2.PN)59
65
Q3 - 4:13NOHAugmon 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)59
65
Q3 - 4:32MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)57
65
Q3 - 4:32NOHWesley S.FOUL (P2.T4)57
64
Q3 - 4:32MIAOdom Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)57
64
Q3 - 4:35MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
62
Q3 - 4:37NOHMISS Davis Driving Layup57
62
Q3 - 4:53MIAJones 11' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)57
62
Q3 - 5:06NOHHornets Turnover: 5 Second Violation (T#9)57
60
Q3 - 5:18NOHAugmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
60
Q3 - 5:20MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
60
Q3 - 5:24MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
60
Q3 - 5:26MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
60
Q3 - 5:33NOHSUB: Augmon FOR Lynch57
60
Q3 - 5:33NOHLynch P.FOUL (P4.T3)57
60
Q3 - 6:02NOHLynch 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Davis 7 AST)57
60
Q3 - 6:13NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)54
60
Q3 - 6:15NOHMISS Lynch 9' Turnaround Jump Shot54
60
Q3 - 6:34NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)54
60
Q3 - 6:36NOHMISS Wesley 22' Jump Shot54
60
Q3 - 6:55MIAOdom 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)54
60
Q3 - 7:11MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
58
Q3 - 7:13NOHMISS Lynch 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
58
Q3 - 7:17NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
58
Q3 - 7:19NOHMISS Davis 22' Jump Shot54
58
Q3 - 7:27MIAWoods Layup (10 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)54
58
Q3 - 7:33NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)54
56
Q3 - 7:33MIASUB: Walker FOR Haslem53
56
Q3 - 7:33MIASUB: Alston FOR Wade53
56
Q3 - 7:33MIASUB: Woods FOR Grant53
56
Q3 - 7:33NOHHornets Rebound53
56
Q3 - 7:33NOHMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 253
56
Q3 - 7:33MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.PN)53
56
Q3 - 7:39NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)53
56
Q3 - 7:41MIAMISS Haslem 11' Hook Shot53
56
Q3 - 8:02NOHLynch Reverse Layup (8 PTS)53
56
Q3 - 8:05NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
56
Q3 - 8:07NOHMISS Brown 7' Jump Shot51
56
Q3 - 8:09NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
56
Q3 - 8:11NOHMISS Magloire 19' Jump Shot51
56
Q3 - 8:25MIAWade 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS)51
56
Q3 - 8:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
54
Q3 - 8:28MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup51
54
Q3 - 8:48MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
54
Q3 - 8:49NOHMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 251
54
Q3 - 8:49NOHDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)51
54
Q3 - 8:49MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.PN)50
54
Q3 - 8:57NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
54
Q3 - 8:59MIAMISS Odom 6' Hook Shot50
54
Q3 - 9:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
54
Q3 - 9:19NOHMISS Wesley Free Throw 1 of 150
54
Q3 - 9:19MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)50
54
Q3 - 9:19MIAJones S.FOUL (P3.T4)50
54
Q3 - 9:19NOHWesley Layup (19 PTS) (Davis 6 AST)50
54
Q3 - 9:22MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)48
54
Q3 - 9:33NOHLynch Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)48
54
Q3 - 9:33NOHLynch Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)47
54
Q3 - 9:33MIAOdom S.FOUL (P1.T3)46
54
Q3 - 9:38MIAGrant 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)46
54
Q3 - 9:50NOHLynch P.FOUL (P3.T2)46
52
Q3 - 10:04NOHDavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)46
52
Q3 - 10:09NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
52
Q3 - 10:11MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
52
Q3 - 10:28NOHMagloire 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS)43
52
Q3 - 10:39MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T2)41
52
Q3 - 10:46NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
52
Q3 - 10:48MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
52
Q3 - 10:53NOHDavis P.FOUL (P1.T1)41
52
Q3 - 11:07NOHWesley 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS)41
52
Q3 - 11:25MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)39
52
Q3 - 11:30MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
50
Q3 - 11:32NOHMISS Lynch 3' Jump Shot39
50
Q3 - 11:39NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
50
Q3 - 11:41NOHMISS Brown 17' Jump Shot39
50
Q3 - 11:49MIAGrant P.FOUL (P3.T1)39
50
Q3 - 12:0039
50
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA39
50
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound39
50
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 7' Turnaround Jump Shot39
50
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
50
Q2 - 0:16.0NOHMISS Magloire 14' Jump Shot39
50
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)39
50
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
47
Q2 - 0:42.0NOHMISS Davis 8' Running Jump Shot39
47
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)39
47
Q2 - 1:03NOHWesley Driving Layup (15 PTS)39
47
Q2 - 1:18MIASUB: Haslem FOR Grant37
47
Q2 - 1:18NOHSUB: Wesley FOR Armstrong37
47
Q2 - 1:18NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)37
47
Q2 - 1:27MIAWoods Layup (8 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)37
47
Q2 - 1:33MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
45
Q2 - 1:35NOHMISS Armstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
45
Q2 - 1:54MIAWoods Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)37
45
Q2 - 2:15NOHGrant STEAL (1 STL)37
43
Q2 - 2:19MIAJones Tip Shot (9 PTS)37
43
Q2 - 2:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
41
Q2 - 2:23MIAMISS Grant 21' Jump Shot37
41
Q2 - 2:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
41
Q2 - 2:42NOHMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
41
Q2 - 2:55NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
41
Q2 - 2:57MIAMISS Odom 21' Jump Shot37
41
Q2 - 3:07NOHArmstrong P.FOUL (P1.T3)37
41
Q2 - 3:16MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
41
Q2 - 3:18NOHMISS Lynch 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
41
Q2 - 3:31MIAOdom 5' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)37
41
Q2 - 3:54NOHLynch 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Magloire 2 AST)37
39
Q2 - 4:16MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)35
39
Q2 - 4:21NOHArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)35
39
Q2 - 4:21MIASUB: Odom FOR Wallace34
39
Q2 - 4:21MIASUB: Wade FOR Alston34
39
Q2 - 4:21NOHHornets Rebound34
39
Q2 - 4:21NOHMISS Armstrong Free Throw 1 of 234
39
Q2 - 4:21MIAAlston S.FOUL (P3.T2)34
39
Q2 - 4:35MIAHEAT Violation: Delay of game Violation34
39
Q2 - 4:35MIAWallace 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
39
Q2 - 4:36MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
37
Q2 - 4:38MIAMISS Grant 4' Jump Shot34
37
Q2 - 4:58NOHDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)34
37
Q2 - 5:10NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
37
Q2 - 5:12MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
37
Q2 - 5:20MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
37
Q2 - 5:22NOHMISS Magloire 4' Hook Shot34
37
Q2 - 5:27NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
37
Q2 - 5:30NOHMISS Davis 15' Fadeaway Jumper34
37
Q2 - 5:42MIAWallace Foul Turnover (P1.T6)34
37
Q2 - 5:42MIAWallace OFF.Foul (P1)34
37
Q2 - 5:48MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)34
37
Q2 - 5:48NOHArmstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)34
37
Q2 - 6:05MIAAlston Driving Layup (5 PTS)34
37
Q2 - 6:17MIASUB: Grant FOR Haslem34
35
Q2 - 6:24NOHDavis Alley Oop Layup (7 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)34
35
Q2 - 6:41NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
35
Q2 - 6:43MIAMISS Woods Driving Layup32
35
Q2 - 6:53MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
35
Q2 - 6:54NOHMISS Brown 16' Jump Shot32
35
Q2 - 7:07NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
35
Q2 - 7:09MIAMISS Wallace 7' Jump Shot32
35
Q2 - 7:33NOHMagloire 3' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)32
35
Q2 - 7:52MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)30
35
Q2 - 7:52MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)30
34
Q2 - 7:52MIASUB: Wallace FOR Odom30
33
Q2 - 7:52NOHSUB: Davis FOR Traylor30
33
Q2 - 7:52NOHSUB: Magloire FOR Rooks30
33
Q2 - 7:52NOHSUB: Brown FOR Augmon30
33
Q2 - 7:52NOHSUB: Lynch FOR Wesley30
33
Q2 - 7:5230
33
Q2 - 7:52NOHRooks S.FOUL (P1.T2)30
33
Q2 - 8:09NOHArmstrong 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rooks 1 AST)30
33
Q2 - 8:27MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Woods 1 AST)28
33
Q2 - 8:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
31
Q2 - 8:35MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
31
Q2 - 8:44MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
31
Q2 - 8:46NOHMISS Traylor 15' Jump Shot28
31
Q2 - 9:11MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)28
31
Q2 - 9:19MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
28
Q2 - 9:21NOHMISS Wesley 20' Jump Shot28
28
Q2 - 9:37MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)28
28
Q2 - 9:51MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade28
28
Q2 - 9:51NOHTraylor P.FOUL (P1.T1)28
28
Q2 - 10:10NOHAugmon Layup (2 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)28
28
Q2 - 10:15MIAWoods Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)26
28
Q2 - 10:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
28
Q2 - 10:27NOHMISS Augmon 3' Jump Shot26
28
Q2 - 10:29NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
28
Q2 - 10:31NOHMISS Rooks 19' Jump Shot26
28
Q2 - 10:46MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)26
28
Q2 - 11:05NOHWesley 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS)26
25
Q2 - 11:16MIAAlston P.FOUL (P2.T1)24
25
Q2 - 11:31MIAWoods 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)24
25
Q2 - 11:46NOHWesley 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Traylor 1 AST)24
23
Q2 - 12:0022
23
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH22
23
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHHornets Rebound22
23
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Armstrong 28' 3PT Jump Shot22
23
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAOdom 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)22
23
Q1 - 0:20.0NOHRooks Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
20
Q1 - 0:20.0NOHRooks Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
20
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAAlston P.FOUL (P1.PN)20
20
Q1 - 0:25.0NOHRooks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
20
Q1 - 0:27.0NOHMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
20
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)20
20
Q1 - 0:48.0NOHWesley Foul Turnover (P1.T5)20
20
Q1 - 0:48.0NOHWesley OFF.Foul (P1)20
20
Q1 - 0:55.0NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
20
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Odom 16' Running Jump Shot20
20
Q1 - 1:06MIASUB: Alston FOR Jones20
20
Q1 - 1:06NOHSUB: Rooks FOR Davis20
20
Q1 - 1:06NOHSUB: Armstrong FOR Magloire20
20
Q1 - 1:06NOHSUB: Augmon FOR Brown20
20
Q1 - 1:06NOHSUB: Traylor FOR Lynch20
20
Q1 - 1:06NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)20
20
Q1 - 1:06NOHLynch P.FOUL (P2.T4)20
20
Q1 - 1:33NOHLynch 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)20
20
Q1 - 1:59MIAHaslem 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)18
20
Q1 - 2:09MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
18
Q1 - 2:11NOHMISS Brown 12' Turnaround Jump Shot18
18
Q1 - 2:28MIAWoods Driving Layup (2 PTS)18
18
Q1 - 2:49NOHWesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)18
16
Q1 - 3:09MIAJones 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
16
Q1 - 3:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
14
Q1 - 3:33NOHMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
14
Q1 - 3:46MIAOdom 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
14
Q1 - 4:05NOHWesley 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)15
12
Q1 - 4:27MIAOdom Driving Layup (2 PTS)13
12
Q1 - 4:31NOHWoods STEAL (1 STL)13
10
Q1 - 4:44MIAHaslem 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
10
Q1 - 5:06NOHDavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)13
8
Q1 - 5:13NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
8
Q1 - 5:15MIAMISS Wade Driving Dunk10
8
Q1 - 5:38NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)10
8
Q1 - 5:38MIASUB: Woods FOR Grant9
8
Q1 - 5:38MIAGrant S.FOUL (P2.T4)9
8
Q1 - 5:38NOHBrown 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)9
8
Q1 - 5:56MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)7
8
Q1 - 6:08NOHMagloire P.FOUL (P1.T3)7
6
Q1 - 6:08MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
6
Q1 - 6:10NOHMISS Wesley 20' Jump Shot7
6
Q1 - 6:25NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
6
Q1 - 6:27NOHMISS Lynch 16' Jump Shot7
6
Q1 - 6:53MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)7
6
Q1 - 7:13NOHMagloire 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)7
4
Q1 - 7:26NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
4
Q1 - 7:29MIAMISS Wade 5' Finger Roll7
4
Q1 - 7:37MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
4
Q1 - 7:39NOHMISS Magloire 4' Hook Shot7
4
Q1 - 7:51NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
4
Q1 - 7:53MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot7
4
Q1 - 7:59MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)7
4
Q1 - 8:22NOHWesley 4' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
4
Q1 - 8:35NOHHornets Rebound5
4
Q1 - 8:36MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
4
Q1 - 8:42MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
4
Q1 - 8:44NOHMISS Magloire 6' Hook Shot5
4
Q1 - 8:53NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
4
Q1 - 8:55MIAMISS Wade Driving Finger Roll5
4
Q1 - 9:03NOHLynch P.FOUL (P1.T2)5
4
Q1 - 9:17NOHMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)5
4
Q1 - 9:17NOHHornets Rebound4
4
Q1 - 9:17NOHMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 24
4
Q1 - 9:17MIAGrant S.FOUL (P1.T3)4
4
Q1 - 9:32MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
4
Q1 - 9:48NOHDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
2
Q1 - 9:48NOHDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
2
Q1 - 9:48MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T2)2
2
Q1 - 9:51MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
2
Q1 - 10:06NOHDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)2
2
Q1 - 10:11MIAJones Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 10:14NOHJones STEAL (1 STL)2
2
Q1 - 10:22NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:24MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 10:41NOHWesley 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 10:58MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 10:58MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
1
Q1 - 10:58NOHBrown S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:10MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:12NOHMISS Brown 19' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:27MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:31NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:33MIAMISS Haslem 5' Jump Bank Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Magloire: Tip to Odom0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventNOHMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
0.93 46.3%
MIA
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
8
16
50%
MIA
14
21
67%
Midrange
NOH
17
45
38%
MIA
14
32
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
MIA
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
Free Throws
NOH
13
19
68%
MIA
17
20
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Davis2864%14.0 / 22
D. Wesley2265%11.0 / 17
G. Lynch1146%5.5 / 12
P. Brown829%4.0 / 14
S. Augmon650%3.0 / 6
J. Magloire528%2.5 / 9
D. Armstrong330%1.5 / 5
S. Rooks250%1.0 / 2
D. West233%1.0 / 3
R. Traylor0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2569%12.5 / 18
L. Odom1959%9.5 / 16
U. Haslem1267%6.0 / 9
L. Woods1275%6.0 / 8
D. Wade627%3.0 / 11
B. Grant650%3.0 / 6
R. Alston542%2.5 / 6
S. Walker450%2.0 / 4
J. Wallace250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
79
+15
-12
94
MIA
74
+8
-14
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
0.93 46.3%
MIA
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
15
99.8
18
99.3
NOH 95.6
MIA 103.4 +7.8
Pace
19
91.4
22
90.6
NOH 83.8
MIA 96.3 +12.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16
15.5
9
16.0
NOH 17.2
MIA 15.0 −2.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
22
46.0%
19
46.3%
NOH 46.3%
MIA 53.6% +7.3%
TO %
16
15.3%
7
14.4%
NOH 12.8% −3.4%
MIA 16.2%
ORB %
7
30.6%
21
27.5%
NOH 29.8% +11.6%
MIA 18.2%
FTrt
19
29.3
17
29.8
NOH 23.8
MIA 29.0 +5.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
11
61.9%
26
57.3%
NOH 57.6% +7.6%
MIA 50.0%
STL %
6
9.4%
21
7.9%
NOH 7.7% +2.0%
MIA 5.7%
BLK %
24
6.7%
26
6.3%
NOH 0.0%
MIA 3.3% +3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
22
48.1%
21
48.3%
NOH 46.3%
MIA 54.8% +8.5%
Rim FG%
19
54.9%
26
53.9%
NOH 50.0%
MIA 66.7% +16.7%
Mid FG%
16
37.9%
26
36.9%
NOH 37.8%
MIA 43.8% +6.0%
3P %
28
31.9%
7
35.7%
NOH 42.1% +4.6%
MIA 37.5%
FT %
17
75.1%
12
76.2%
NOH 68.4%
MIA 85.0% +16.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
21
32.8%
17
34.4%
NOH 20.0%
MIA 30.4% +10.4%
Mid Att. %
4
42.0%
7
44.5%
NOH 56.3%
MIA 46.4% −9.9%
3P Att. %
2
25.2%
6
21.1%
NOH 23.8% +0.6%
MIA 23.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOHMIA
Possessions9188
Possession Minutes26.121.9
Points8791
Rebounds4139
Assists1917
Steals75
Blocks02
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (1)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)33 (2)
Field Goals33-8034-69
At-the-Rim FG8-1614-21
Midrange FG17-4514-32
2-Point FG25-6128-53
3-Point FG8-196-16
Free Throws13-1917-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 212 · 25
42.7
28
64%
5
10
1
0
5
6
3
2
5-6
83%
4-11
36%
5-8
63%
F · 6'11" 239 · 34
38.0
8
29%
6
1
0
0
3
1
3
3
2-3
67%
3-12
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 203 · 33
37.1
22
65%
0
2
1
0
1
3
0
0
0-1
0%
8-13
62%
2-3
67%
C · 6'11" 265 · 26
33.3
5
28%
10
2
0
0
2
2
2
8
1-2
50%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 33
27.4
11
46%
5
0
1
0
0
4
1
4
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
1-5
20%
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 35
20.1
6
50%
4
0
2
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 35
16.6
3
30%
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 27
14.7
0
0%
7
2
1
0
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 260 · 34
5.2
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
4.8
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 35
G · 6'3" 184 · 29
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
46%
41
19
7
0
12
0
14
27
13-19
68%
25-61
41%
8-19
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.