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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 28, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Raptors48%9087
27Magic52%9186
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.8
43.7
38.0
20
44%
6
8
0
1
0
5
1
5
10-11
91%
5-16
8-17
31%
46%
0-2
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 19.7
40.6
33.4
16
49%
8
0
3
1
1
2
2
6
2-3
67%
7-15
4-8
47%
47%
0-0
-
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.1
37.8
36.8
15
65%
8
0
0
1
1
1
3
5
7-8
88%
4-8
4-9
50%
42%
0-0
-
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 29.3
37.2
25.6
15
61%
5
6
1
1
0
3
1
4
3-3
100%
6-11
3-6
55%
44%
0-0
-
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.6
19.2
17.6
5
36%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
2-6
17%
41%
1-1
100%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.3
25.9
20.4
6
50%
4
4
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
2-4
50%
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 30.6
17.6
19.6
6
100%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.8
10.8
21.4
2
20%
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
43%
0-0
-
Michael Curry
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 35.3
7.2
16.2
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jerome Moiso
F · 6'10" 260 · 25.5
2.3
0
0-1
47%
Mengke Bateer
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.0
2.0
0
0-1
43%
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.5
1.4
0
0-0
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 24.5
44.0
27.0
31
59%
8
4
3
1
2
1
2
6
8-10
80%
10-20
5-10
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.8
40.5
30.1
20
60%
11
0
1
1
1
4
2
9
4-4
100%
8-15
5-12
53%
45%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.4
34.5
29.1
7
44%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
1-3
33%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.6
33.7
28.7
4
20%
3
2
1
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
2-10
3-6
20%
45%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.1
15.1
22.6
2
50%
5
0
0
0
3
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Donnell Harvey
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.3
24.7
25.5
11
57%
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
5-6
83%
3-7
3-7
43%
46%
0-0
-
Andrew DeClercq
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.8
14.4
15.3
4
100%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.4
14.3
15.7
4
34%
0
1
0
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
43%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 22.2
10.8
25.4
3
52%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
4-8
50%
45%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 19.8
6.0
2.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 23.5
2.0
13.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
0-0
-
Reece Gaines
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.9
7.7
0
1-1
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.