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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 29, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Hornets55%9574
20Knicks45%9379
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 24.6
43.3
40.3
13
28%
5
10
2
2
2
5
2
3
1-3
33%
3-9
5-12
33%
44%
2-13
15%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 33.0
40.0
32.9
16
40%
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
3-5
60%
5-13
5-11
38%
43%
1-5
20%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.5
36.6
32.7
12
42%
17
0
0
1
0
2
4
13
4-5
80%
4-12
4-9
33%
48%
0-0
-
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 34.1
30.8
36.3
10
45%
13
1
1
1
0
1
3
10
0-0
-
5-11
4-9
45%
49%
0-0
-
George Lynch
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.2
24.9
29.8
4
33%
5
3
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
0-3
0%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.4
24.5
20.0
8
57%
1
2
4
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 34.7
11.4
10.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 26.8
10.7
9.0
2
25%
3
1
0
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
44%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
9.1
8.6
2
26%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Sean Rooks
C · 6'10" 260 · 34.2
8.8
7.7
7
64%
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
41%
0-0
-
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 35.3
8.0
0
1-2
40%
Bryce Drew
G · 6'3" 184 · 29.2
1.0
0
0-0
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 31.2
43.7
30.8
14
44%
12
2
1
1
2
0
1
11
2-4
50%
6-14
5-10
43%
47%
0-0
-
Allan Houston
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.6
40.3
24.6
18
43%
0
1
3
0
0
5
0
0
1-2
50%
7-12
4-8
58%
46%
1-8
13%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 37.4
37.3
27.6
13
59%
12
2
2
0
5
0
4
8
5-9
56%
4-7
3-6
57%
46%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 28.1
22.6
10.0
7
45%
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
4-4
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
1-4
25%
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.0
20.0
22.3
5
50%
5
3
1
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Charlie Ward
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.1
30.4
22.7
11
56%
3
4
3
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
5-6
1-3
83%
44%
0-3
0%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.9
22.9
32.2
9
57%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
4-6
3-7
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.5
14.9
13.1
0
0%
6
1
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Frank Williams
G · 6'3" 212 · 23.8
7.7
22.5
2
25%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
39%
0-2
0%
Clar. Weatherspoon
F · 6'7" 270 · 33.2
21.0
1
2-4
43%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 29.8
13.4
0
2-4
50%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 21.1
3.5
0
0-1
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.