Final Win Prob. pScore
2443%88
66
2557%90
78
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo Raptors
78.68485.1
MIA logo Heat
95.18280.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR66
0%
78
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound66
0%
78
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0TORMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot66
0%
78
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)66
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 266
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAHEAT Rebound66
78
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 266
0%
78
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0TORBosh S.FOUL (P3.PN)66
78
Q4 - 0:29.0TORPeterson P.FOUL (P3.T4)66
78
Q4 - 0:34.0TORWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)66
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)63
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)63
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06TORMISS Carter 13' Jump Bank Shot63
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18MIAGrant Layup (10 PTS)63
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)63
0.2%
73
99.8%
Q4 - 1:20MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.4%
73
99.6%
Q4 - 1:36MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 1)63
73
Q4 - 1:36TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)63
0.4%
73
99.6%
Q4 - 1:36TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)62
0.4%
73
99.6%
Q4 - 1:36MIAWade L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)61
73
Q4 - 1:36TORRaptors Rebound61
0.3%
73
99.7%
Q4 - 1:37MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot61
0.2%
73
99.8%
Q4 - 1:50TORPeterson Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)61
0.2%
73
99.8%
Q4 - 1:50TORRaptors Rebound60
73
Q4 - 1:50TORMISS Peterson Free Throw 2 of 360
0.2%
73
99.8%
Q4 - 1:50TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)60
0.3%
73
99.7%
Q4 - 1:50MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.PN)59
73
Q4 - 1:57MIASUB: Haslem FOR Odom59
73
Q4 - 1:57MIAOdom P.FOUL (P6.T2)59
73
Q4 - 1:59TORRaptors Rebound59
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02TORMISS Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17MIAAlston Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)59
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37TORWilliams 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)59
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot57
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)57
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50TORMISS Carter Tip Shot57
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 2:51TORCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53TORMISS Carter Driving Layup57
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)57
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07TORCarter S.FOUL (P4.T3)57
72
Q4 - 3:07MIAJones 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS)57
0.1%
72
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
0.2%
70
99.8%
Q4 - 3:26MIAMISS Jones 8' Running Jump Shot57
0.3%
70
99.7%
Q4 - 3:41MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
0.6%
70
99.4%
Q4 - 3:43TORMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot57
0.6%
70
99.4%
Q4 - 3:54MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)57
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q4 - 3:54MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)57
0.9%
69
99.1%
Q4 - 3:54TORMurray S.FOUL (P2.T2)57
68
Q4 - 4:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
1.1%
68
98.9%
Q4 - 4:09TORMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
1.3%
68
98.7%
Q4 - 4:20TORSUB: Murray FOR Moiso57
68
Q4 - 4:20TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)57
68
Q4 - 4:29MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)57
1.6%
68
98.4%
Q4 - 4:37MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
2.3%
66
97.7%
Q4 - 4:39TORMISS Peterson 8' Jump Shot57
2.6%
66
97.4%
Q4 - 4:50TORMoiso REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)57
3.4%
66
96.6%
Q4 - 4:52MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup57
3.0%
66
97.0%
Q4 - 5:08MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
3.7%
66
96.3%
Q4 - 5:10TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 257
3.9%
66
96.1%
Q4 - 5:10MIASUB: Odom FOR Haslem57
66
Q4 - 5:10TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)57
4.7%
66
95.3%
Q4 - 5:10TORSUB: Williams FOR Palacio56
66
Q4 - 5:10TORSUB: Carter FOR Curry56
66
Q4 - 5:10MIAAlston S.FOUL (P1.T1)56
66
Q4 - 5:32MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)56
3.7%
66
96.3%
Q4 - 5:48MIASUB: Wade FOR Wallace56
64
Q4 - 5:48TORMoiso Traveling Turnover (P4.T21)56
5.0%
64
95.0%
Q4 - 6:09MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)56
8.9%
64
91.1%
Q4 - 6:23MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
14.9%
61
85.1%
Q4 - 6:25MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
17.9%
61
82.1%
Q4 - 6:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
14.8%
61
85.2%
Q4 - 6:47TORMISS Peterson 22' Jump Shot56
16.1%
61
83.9%
Q4 - 6:55TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)56
19.3%
61
80.7%
Q4 - 6:57TORMISS Moiso 12' Jump Shot56
16.1%
61
83.9%
Q4 - 7:10MIAGrant 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T11)56
20.9%
61
79.1%
Q4 - 7:30MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)56
61
Q4 - 7:31TORCurry Layup (2 PTS) (Palacio 3 AST)56
16.3%
61
83.7%
Q4 - 7:45TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)54
13.1%
61
86.9%
Q4 - 7:47MIAMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot54
12.0%
61
88.0%
Q4 - 8:11TORMoiso 8' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)54
11.7%
61
88.3%
Q4 - 8:24TORSUB: Moiso FOR Bateer52
61
Q4 - 8:24MIAJones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)52
9.1%
61
90.9%
Q4 - 8:41TORBateer Foul Turnover (P1.T20)52
7.2%
61
92.8%
Q4 - 8:41TORBateer OFF.Foul (P1)52
61
Q4 - 8:51MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade52
61
Q4 - 8:51MIASUB: Wallace FOR Odom52
61
Q4 - 8:51MIASUB: Haslem FOR Woods52
61
Q4 - 8:51MIASUB: Grant FOR Walker52
61
Q4 - 8:51MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P6.T9)52
9.1%
61
90.9%
Q4 - 8:51MIAOdom OFF.Foul (P5)52
61
Q4 - 9:05TORPeterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Palacio 2 AST)52
8.6%
61
91.4%
Q4 - 9:18TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
5.4%
61
94.6%
Q4 - 9:20MIAMISS Walker 14' Jump Shot49
5.1%
61
94.9%
Q4 - 9:36MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)49
61
Q4 - 9:36MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
4.3%
61
95.7%
Q4 - 9:39MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
5.0%
61
95.0%
Q4 - 9:54MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
4.3%
61
95.7%
Q4 - 9:56TORMISS Bosh 10' Hook Shot49
4.6%
61
95.4%
Q4 - 10:06TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
6.2%
61
93.8%
Q4 - 10:08MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
5.8%
61
94.2%
Q4 - 10:26TORPeterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)49
5.0%
61
95.0%
Q4 - 10:54MIAWalker Layup (9 PTS)46
3.2%
61
96.8%
Q4 - 10:56MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
4.0%
59
96.0%
Q4 - 10:58MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 246
4.8%
59
95.2%
Q4 - 10:58MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)46
4.2%
59
95.8%
Q4 - 10:58TORCurry S.FOUL (P1.T1)46
58
Q4 - 11:11TORBateer Layup (2 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)46
5.8%
58
94.2%
Q4 - 11:25TORPalacio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
4.7%
58
95.3%
Q4 - 11:27MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup44
4.4%
58
95.6%
Q4 - 11:34MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
3.8%
58
96.2%
Q4 - 11:37TORWoods BLOCK (2 BLK)44
4.1%
58
95.9%
Q4 - 11:39TORBateer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)44
4.7%
58
95.3%
Q4 - 11:41TORMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot44
4.1%
58
95.9%
Q4 - 12:0044
58
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR44
4.6%
58
95.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound44
4.6%
58
95.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMISS Peterson 27' 3PT Jump Shot44
4.1%
58
95.9%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)44
5.3%
58
94.7%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIASUB: Alston FOR Jones44
57
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)44
5.5%
57
94.5%
Q3 - 0:05.0TORWilliams P.FOUL (P4.T2)44
56
Q3 - 0:25.0TORMoiso Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)44
6.5%
56
93.5%
Q3 - 0:36.0TORRaptors Rebound42
5.3%
56
94.7%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot42
5.0%
56
95.0%
Q3 - 0:57.0TORSUB: Bateer FOR Bosh42
56
Q3 - 0:57.0TORMoiso Traveling Turnover (P3.T19)42
4.4%
56
95.6%
Q3 - 1:08TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
5.7%
56
94.3%
Q3 - 1:10MIAMISS Walker 16' Jump Shot42
5.4%
56
94.6%
Q3 - 1:33TORMurray 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)42
4.8%
56
95.2%
Q3 - 1:56MIAWallace 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)39
3.2%
56
96.8%
Q3 - 2:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
4.5%
54
95.5%
Q3 - 2:11TORMISS Williams 10' Jump Shot39
4.7%
54
95.3%
Q3 - 2:30MIAWade Running Layup (14 PTS)39
5.3%
54
94.7%
Q3 - 2:34TORWade STEAL (2 STL)39
6.4%
52
93.6%
Q3 - 2:42TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
7.5%
52
92.5%
Q3 - 2:44MIAMISS Walker 19' Jump Shot39
7.2%
52
92.8%
Q3 - 2:55MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
6.3%
52
93.7%
Q3 - 2:57TORWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)39
6.7%
52
93.3%
Q3 - 3:15MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
8.3%
52
91.7%
Q3 - 3:15MIAWoods Tip Shot (4 PTS)39
8.3%
52
91.7%
Q3 - 3:18MIAMISS Walker 5' Hook Shot39
10.9%
50
89.1%
Q3 - 3:34TORRaptors Turnover: Backcourt (T#17)39
9.6%
50
90.4%
Q3 - 3:54MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
11.4%
50
88.6%
Q3 - 3:54MIAHEAT Rebound39
49
Q3 - 3:54MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 239
11.9%
49
88.1%
Q3 - 3:54TORBosh S.FOUL (P2.T1)39
49
Q3 - 3:54MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
11.3%
49
88.7%
Q3 - 3:55MIAMISS Wade Dunk39
12.7%
49
87.3%
Q3 - 4:13TORMurray 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS)39
11.7%
49
88.3%
Q3 - 4:26MIASUB: Woods FOR Grant37
49
Q3 - 4:26MIAWallace P.FOUL (P2.T2)37
49
Q3 - 4:35TORMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
10.3%
49
89.7%
Q3 - 4:37MIAMISS Jones 16' Turnaround Jump Shot37
9.7%
49
90.3%
Q3 - 5:00TORBosh Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)37
8.5%
49
91.5%
Q3 - 5:21MIAWallace 4' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
8.0%
49
92.0%
Q3 - 5:30MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
9.2%
47
90.8%
Q3 - 5:32TORMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot35
9.6%
47
90.4%
Q3 - 5:44MIAWalker Violation:Kicked Ball35
47
Q3 - 5:58MIAJones 20' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)35
10.8%
47
89.2%
Q3 - 6:15TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)35
13.0%
45
87.0%
Q3 - 6:15TORRaptors Rebound35
15.1%
45
84.9%
Q3 - 6:16TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
13.6%
45
86.4%
Q3 - 6:30MIASUB: Walker FOR Haslem35
45
Q3 - 6:30MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.T1)35
45
Q3 - 6:49MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)35
15.1%
45
84.9%
Q3 - 6:56MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
17.1%
43
82.9%
Q3 - 6:58TORWade BLOCK (1 BLK)35
17.9%
43
82.1%
Q3 - 7:02TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
20.2%
43
79.8%
Q3 - 7:04MIAMISS Jones Finger Roll35
19.5%
43
80.5%
Q3 - 7:23MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)35
43
Q3 - 7:26TORMurray 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)35
17.7%
43
82.3%
Q3 - 7:39TORMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
13.7%
43
86.3%
Q3 - 7:41MIAMISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot32
13.2%
43
86.8%
Q3 - 7:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
11.9%
43
88.1%
Q3 - 7:46MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
13.2%
43
86.8%
Q3 - 8:12TORWilliams 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)32
12.3%
43
87.7%
Q3 - 8:14MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)30
10.8%
43
89.2%
Q3 - 8:17TORHaslem STEAL (2 STL)30
9.4%
43
90.6%
Q3 - 8:27TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
10.8%
43
89.2%
Q3 - 8:29MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot30
10.4%
43
89.6%
Q3 - 8:44MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
9.4%
43
90.6%
Q3 - 8:46TORMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
9.8%
43
90.2%
Q3 - 9:04TORSUB: Peterson FOR Carter30
43
Q3 - 9:04TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)30
43
Q3 - 9:08MIAJones Reverse Layup (5 PTS)30
11.2%
43
88.8%
Q3 - 9:25TORMurray 9' Hook Shot (6 PTS)30
12.7%
41
87.3%
Q3 - 9:41MIASUB: Wallace FOR Odom28
41
Q3 - 9:41MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P5.T7)28
11.2%
41
88.8%
Q3 - 9:41MIAOdom OFF.Foul (P4)28
41
Q3 - 10:06TORWilliams 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)28
10.3%
41
89.7%
Q3 - 10:16TORCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
9.1%
41
90.9%
Q3 - 10:18MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot26
8.7%
41
91.3%
Q3 - 10:33MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
7.9%
41
92.1%
Q3 - 10:35TORMISS Moiso 8' Hook Shot26
8.2%
41
91.8%
Q3 - 10:52TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)26
41
Q3 - 10:59MIAOdom Driving Layup (6 PTS)26
9.0%
41
91.0%
Q3 - 11:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
10.8%
39
89.2%
Q3 - 11:16TORMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot26
11.2%
39
88.8%
Q3 - 11:38TORMoiso REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)26
12.3%
39
87.7%
Q3 - 11:40MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot26
11.8%
39
88.2%
Q3 - 12:0026
39
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR26
10.7%
39
89.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound26
12.2%
39
87.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS Palacio 28' 3PT Jump Shot26
11.2%
39
88.8%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)26
12.6%
39
87.4%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)26
13.0%
38
87.0%
Q2 - 0:04.0TORPeterson P.FOUL (P2.PN)26
37
Q2 - 0:15.0TORBosh Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)26
14.6%
37
85.4%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAWalker P.FOUL (P1.T4)26
37
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
15.9%
37
84.1%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
16.2%
36
83.8%
Q2 - 0:48.0TORMurray S.FOUL (P1.T2)26
35
Q2 - 1:02MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
18.7%
35
81.3%
Q2 - 1:04TORMISS Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
19.2%
35
80.8%
Q2 - 1:19TORRaptors Rebound26
35
Q2 - 1:19TORMISS Murray Free Throw Technical26
20.2%
35
79.8%
Q2 - 1:19MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Woods )26
35
Q2 - 1:33MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS)26
20.2%
35
79.8%
Q2 - 1:52TORPalacio 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
23.0%
33
77.0%
Q2 - 2:12TORMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
20.9%
33
79.1%
Q2 - 2:14MIAMISS Woods 17' Jump Shot24
20.2%
33
79.8%
Q2 - 2:28MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
18.8%
33
81.2%
Q2 - 2:30TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
19.4%
33
80.6%
Q2 - 2:35TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
20.9%
33
79.1%
Q2 - 2:37MIAMISS Alston 10' Running Jump Shot24
20.2%
33
79.8%
Q2 - 2:56TORSUB: Murray FOR Carter24
33
Q2 - 2:56TORCarter Foul Turnover (P4.T13)24
18.8%
33
81.2%
Q2 - 2:56TORCarter OFF.Foul (P3)24
33
Q2 - 3:01MIASUB: Wallace FOR Odom24
33
Q2 - 3:01MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P4.T6)24
21.4%
33
78.6%
Q2 - 3:01MIAOdom OFF.Foul (P3)24
33
Q2 - 3:13TORCarter 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)24
19.0%
33
81.0%
Q2 - 3:24MIASUB: Alston FOR Jones22
33
Q2 - 3:24MIAJones P.FOUL (P3.T3)22
33
Q2 - 3:36MIAWalker 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)22
17.4%
33
82.6%
Q2 - 3:46MIASUB: Odom FOR Wallace22
31
Q2 - 3:46TORPeterson P.FOUL (P1.T1)22
31
Q2 - 4:02TORMoiso 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)22
19.4%
31
80.6%
Q2 - 4:23MIAWade Finger Roll (8 PTS)20
17.7%
31
82.3%
Q2 - 4:42MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
19.4%
29
80.6%
Q2 - 4:44TORMISS Moiso 16' Jump Shot20
20.0%
29
80.0%
Q2 - 4:58TORSUB: Peterson FOR Curry20
29
Q2 - 4:58MIAWallace P.FOUL (P1.T2)20
29
Q2 - 5:13TORCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
22.0%
29
78.0%
Q2 - 5:15MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
21.4%
29
78.6%
Q2 - 5:30TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)20
29
Q2 - 5:30TORSUB: Palacio FOR Williams20
29
Q2 - 5:30TORWilliams Foul Turnover (P2.T12)20
20.0%
29
80.0%
Q2 - 5:30TORWilliams OFF.Foul (P3)20
29
Q2 - 5:54MIAWallace 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)20
21.9%
29
78.1%
Q2 - 6:07MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
24.2%
27
75.8%
Q2 - 6:09TORMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot20
25.0%
27
75.0%
Q2 - 6:27TORSUB: Bosh FOR Bateer20
27
Q2 - 6:27TORSUB: Carter FOR Peterson20
27
Q2 - 6:27TORSUB: Williams FOR Palacio20
27
Q2 - 6:27TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)20
27
Q2 - 6:33MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (3 PTS)20
26.8%
27
73.2%
Q2 - 6:43TORJones STEAL (2 STL)20
28.8%
25
71.2%
Q2 - 7:01MIAWalker 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)20
31.5%
25
68.5%
Q2 - 7:10MIAJump Ball Walker vs. Curry: Tip to Woods20
23
Q2 - 7:10MIASUB: Wade FOR Alston20
23
Q2 - 7:10TORSUB: Moiso FOR Bosh20
23
Q2 - 7:10MIASUB: Wallace FOR Odom20
23
Q2 - 7:21MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
34.0%
23
66.0%
Q2 - 7:23TORMISS Curry 17' Jump Shot20
34.8%
23
65.2%
Q2 - 7:41MIAOdom Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)20
36.6%
23
63.4%
Q2 - 7:49TORJones STEAL (1 STL)20
33.9%
23
66.1%
Q2 - 8:12MIAWalker Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)20
36.7%
23
63.3%
Q2 - 8:28TORWalker STEAL (1 STL)20
39.3%
21
60.7%
Q2 - 8:39TORBateer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
41.9%
21
58.1%
Q2 - 8:41TORMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot20
40.1%
21
59.9%
Q2 - 8:44MIASUB: Walker FOR Haslem20
21
Q2 - 8:4420
21
Q2 - 8:44TORRaptors Rebound20
41.9%
21
58.1%
Q2 - 8:44TORWoods BLOCK (1 BLK)20
40.1%
21
59.9%
Q2 - 9:01MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)20
41.7%
21
58.3%
Q2 - 9:25TORBosh Dunk (6 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)20
39.1%
21
60.9%
Q2 - 9:39MIAWoods 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)18
36.6%
21
63.4%
Q2 - 9:45MIAJones Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)18
39.1%
19
60.9%
Q2 - 9:45TORRaptors T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Bateer )18
18
Q2 - 9:57TORSUB: Bateer FOR Moiso18
18
Q2 - 9:57TORSUB: Peterson FOR Carter18
18
Q2 - 9:57TORCarter Foul Turnover (P3.T8)18
41.7%
18
58.3%
Q2 - 9:57TORCarter OFF.Foul (P2)18
18
Q2 - 10:02MIAOdom P.FOUL (P2.T1)18
18
Q2 - 10:19TORMoiso REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)18
44.3%
18
55.7%
Q2 - 10:21MIAMISS Alston 20' Jump Shot18
43.5%
18
56.5%
Q2 - 10:29MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
41.6%
18
58.4%
Q2 - 10:31TORMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot18
42.4%
18
57.6%
Q2 - 10:48TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
44.3%
18
55.7%
Q2 - 10:50MIAMISS Woods 12' Jump Shot18
43.5%
18
56.5%
Q2 - 11:08MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
41.6%
18
58.4%
Q2 - 11:10TORMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
42.4%
18
57.6%
Q2 - 11:15TORPalacio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
44.2%
18
55.8%
Q2 - 11:17MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot18
43.4%
18
56.6%
Q2 - 11:39TORBosh Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Palacio 1 AST)18
41.6%
18
58.4%
Q2 - 11:43TORMoiso REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)16
39.2%
18
60.8%
Q2 - 11:45MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot16
38.5%
18
61.5%
Q2 - 12:0016
18
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR16
36.8%
18
63.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS)16
38.7%
18
61.3%
Q1 - 0:07.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
41.7%
16
58.3%
Q1 - 0:08.0TORMISS Moiso 16' Jump Shot16
42.2%
16
57.8%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAOdom P.FOUL (P1.T4)16
16
Q1 - 0:32.0TORRaptors Rebound16
16
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAJump Ball Odom vs. Moiso: Tip to Palacio16
43.5%
16
56.5%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot16
43.0%
16
57.0%
Q1 - 0:44.0TORPalacio P.FOUL (P1.T2)16
16
Q1 - 0:49.0TORSUB: Palacio FOR Williams16
16
Q1 - 0:49.0TORWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T7)16
41.7%
16
58.3%
Q1 - 0:49.0TORWilliams OFF.Foul (P2)16
16
Q1 - 1:00MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)16
43.6%
16
56.4%
Q1 - 1:19TORWilliams 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
46.5%
14
53.5%
Q1 - 1:24MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)14
43.4%
14
56.6%
Q1 - 1:25MIAHEAT Rebound14
41.8%
14
58.2%
Q1 - 1:26MIAMISS Haslem 10' Jump Shot14
42.9%
14
57.1%
Q1 - 1:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
41.8%
14
58.2%
Q1 - 1:30MIAMISS Haslem 11' Hook Shot14
42.9%
14
57.1%
Q1 - 1:56TORWilliams 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
41.8%
14
58.2%
Q1 - 2:11TORMoiso REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)12
39.1%
14
60.9%
Q1 - 2:13MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup12
38.5%
14
61.5%
Q1 - 2:18TORWade STEAL (1 STL)12
37.3%
14
62.7%
Q1 - 2:39MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
39.1%
14
60.9%
Q1 - 2:39MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
39.6%
13
60.4%
Q1 - 2:39TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)12
12
Q1 - 2:39TORWilliams S.FOUL (P1.T1)12
12
Q1 - 2:44MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
41.7%
12
58.3%
Q1 - 2:46TORMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
42.3%
12
57.7%
Q1 - 3:05TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
43.8%
12
56.2%
Q1 - 3:07MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot12
43.1%
12
56.9%
Q1 - 3:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
41.5%
12
58.5%
Q1 - 3:22TORMISS Bosh 13' Hook Shot12
42.2%
12
57.8%
Q1 - 3:38TORCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
43.7%
12
56.3%
Q1 - 3:40MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot12
43.1%
12
56.9%
Q1 - 4:01TORBosh Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
41.3%
12
58.7%
Q1 - 4:22MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)10
39.5%
12
60.5%
Q1 - 4:38TORMurray 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
41.3%
10
58.7%
Q1 - 4:49MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)8
10
Q1 - 4:49MIAWade P.FOUL (P1.T3)8
10
Q1 - 5:03TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
39.6%
10
60.4%
Q1 - 5:04MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot8
39.0%
10
61.0%
Q1 - 5:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
37.5%
10
62.5%
Q1 - 5:16TORMISS Carter 16' Jump Shot8
38.2%
10
61.8%
Q1 - 5:28MIAHEAT Violation: Delay of game Violation8
10
Q1 - 5:29MIAAlston Driving Dunk (2 PTS)8
39.6%
10
60.4%
Q1 - 5:35TORAlston STEAL (2 STL)8
41.2%
8
58.8%
Q1 - 5:39TORCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
43.3%
8
56.7%
Q1 - 5:41MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
42.7%
8
57.3%
Q1 - 6:06TORCarter 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
41.2%
8
58.8%
Q1 - 6:28MIAWade Running Dunk (4 PTS)6
39.6%
8
60.4%
Q1 - 6:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
41.3%
6
58.7%
Q1 - 6:32MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot6
42.5%
6
57.5%
Q1 - 6:39TORAlston STEAL (1 STL)6
41.3%
6
58.7%
Q1 - 7:03MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)6
43.0%
6
57.0%
Q1 - 7:11TORHaslem STEAL (1 STL)6
44.5%
4
55.5%
Q1 - 7:14TORMoiso REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
46.4%
4
53.6%
Q1 - 7:16TORMISS Murray Driving Layup6
45.0%
4
55.0%
Q1 - 7:24TORMoiso REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
46.3%
4
53.7%
Q1 - 7:27MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot6
45.7%
4
54.3%
Q1 - 7:46TORMurray Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
44.4%
4
55.6%
Q1 - 8:04MIASUB: Alston FOR Jones4
4
Q1 - 8:04MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T2)4
42.8%
4
57.2%
Q1 - 8:04MIAJones OFF.Foul (P2)4
4
Q1 - 8:13MIAHEAT Rebound4
41.4%
4
58.6%
Q1 - 8:14TORMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
41.8%
4
58.2%
Q1 - 8:31TORRaptors Rebound4
42.8%
4
57.2%
Q1 - 8:33MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot4
42.4%
4
57.6%
Q1 - 8:39MIAHEAT Rebound4
41.4%
4
58.6%
Q1 - 8:41MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot4
42.4%
4
57.6%
Q1 - 9:03TORCarter 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)4
41.8%
4
58.2%
Q1 - 9:20MIAOdom 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
40.6%
4
59.4%
Q1 - 9:38TORCarter Foul Turnover (P1.T2)2
41.9%
2
58.1%
Q1 - 9:38TORCarter OFF.Foul (P1)2
2
Q1 - 9:49TORMoiso REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
42.8%
2
57.2%
Q1 - 9:51TORMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot2
42.2%
2
57.8%
Q1 - 10:08MIAGrant L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)2
2
Q1 - 10:11MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
42.8%
2
57.2%
Q1 - 10:27TORCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
42.0%
2
58.0%
Q1 - 10:27TORCarter Dunk (2 PTS)2
42.0%
2
58.0%
Q1 - 10:28TORMISS Bosh Layup0
40.9%
2
59.1%
Q1 - 10:30TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
41.4%
2
58.6%
Q1 - 10:32TORMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot0
40.9%
2
59.1%
Q1 - 10:35TORRaptors Rebound0
41.4%
2
58.6%
Q1 - 10:36TOROdom BLOCK (1 BLK)0
41.0%
2
59.0%
Q1 - 10:41MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 11:03MIAWade Running Dunk (2 PTS)0
41.8%
2
58.2%
Q1 - 11:19MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
42.3%
0
57.7%
Q1 - 11:21TORMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot0
42.5%
0
57.5%
Q1 - 11:36TORMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
42.7%
0
57.3%
Q1 - 11:38MIAMISS Odom 8' Jump Shot0
42.6%
0
57.4%
Q1 - 11:48TORBosh Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
42.6%
0
57.4%
Q1 - 11:48TORBosh OFF.Foul (P1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Bosh: Tip to Williams0
42.7%
0
57.3%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.82 41.3%
MIA
0.94 47.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
9
17
53%
MIA
15
21
71%
Midrange
TOR
14
37
38%
MIA
14
44
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
MIA
2
3.0
9
22%
33%
Free Throws
TOR
5
8
63%
MIA
14
18
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Murray1470%7.0 / 10
A. Williams1365%6.5 / 10
C. Bosh1129%5.5 / 19
V. Carter833%4.0 / 12
M. Peterson840%4.0 / 10
J. Moiso643%3.0 / 7
M. Palacio250%1.0 / 2
M. Curry250%1.0 / 2
M. Bateer250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade1647%8.0 / 17
E. Jones1233%6.0 / 18
B. Grant1063%5.0 / 8
S. Walker950%4.5 / 9
R. Alston857%4.0 / 7
J. Wallace867%4.0 / 6
L. Odom758%3.5 / 6
U. Haslem425%2.0 / 8
L. Woods450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
65
+15
-19
80
MIA
70
+12
-12
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.82 41.3%
MIA
0.94 47.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
99.3
TOR 78.6
MIA 95.1 +16.6
Pace
89.2
90.6
TOR 85.1 +4.2
MIA 80.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
16.0
TOR 16.9 −0.9
MIA 17.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.4%
46.3%
TOR 43.0%
MIA 43.2% +0.2%
TO %
14.7%
14.4%
TOR 22.0%
MIA 12.8% −9.2%
ORB %
23.9%
27.5%
TOR 22.2%
MIA 25.6% +3.4%
FTrt
26.0
29.8
TOR 11.3
MIA 24.3 +13.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.3%
57.3%
TOR 39.3%
MIA 45.2% +5.9%
STL %
8.1%
7.9%
TOR 4.8%
MIA 11.0% +6.2%
BLK %
7.3%
6.3%
TOR 6.2%
MIA 9.3% +3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.0%
48.3%
TOR 41.3%
MIA 47.0% +5.7%
Rim FG%
56.0%
53.9%
TOR 52.9%
MIA 71.4% +18.5%
Mid FG%
36.6%
36.9%
TOR 37.8% +6.0%
MIA 31.8%
3P %
35.6%
35.7%
TOR 29.4% +7.2%
MIA 22.2%
FT %
75.0%
76.2%
TOR 62.5%
MIA 77.8% +15.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.0%
34.4%
TOR 23.9%
MIA 28.4% +4.4%
Mid Att. %
51.6%
44.5%
TOR 52.1% −7.3%
MIA 59.5%
3P Att. %
20.4%
21.1%
TOR 23.9% +11.8%
MIA 12.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions8482
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points6678
Rebounds3738
Assists1114
Steals49
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)19 (2)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (7)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (4)28 (1)
Field Goals28-7131-74
At-the-Rim FG9-1715-21
Midrange FG14-3714-44
2-Point FG23-5429-65
3-Point FG5-172-9
Free Throws5-814-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 235 · 20
46.3
11
29%
10
2
0
1
4
3
2
8
3-4
75%
4-17
24%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 260 · 25
37.3
6
43%
8
0
1
2
4
0
2
6
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 235 · 31
31.3
14
70%
4
2
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-1
0%
4-5
80%
2-5
40%
G · 6'5" 195 · 29
29.3
13
65%
2
3
2
0
3
4
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
71%
1-3
33%
G · 6'6" 220 · 27
25.7
8
33%
5
0
0
0
4
4
2
3
0-0
-
4-11
36%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 220 · 26
29.5
8
40%
3
0
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
2-7
29%
G · 6'4" 210 · 26
18.7
2
50%
2
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 35
13.9
2
50%
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 290 · 28
8.1
2
50%
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 31
G · 6'4" 190 · 31
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
66
41%
37
11
4
4
19
0
8
29
5-8
63%
23-54
43%
5-17
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.