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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 29, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Raptors42%8866
25Heat58%9078
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 19.7
46.3
35.9
11
29%
10
2
0
1
1
4
2
8
3-4
75%
4-17
4-9
24%
46%
0-0
-
Jerome Moiso
F · 6'10" 260 · 25.5
37.3
2.0
6
43%
8
0
1
0
2
4
2
6
0-0
-
3-7
0-0
43%
46%
0-0
-
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.6
31.3
18.2
14
67%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-1
0%
4-5
2-6
80%
40%
2-5
40%
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 29.3
29.3
30.2
13
65%
2
3
2
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
3-8
71%
43%
1-3
33%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.8
25.7
39.8
8
33%
5
0
0
1
0
4
2
3
0-0
-
4-11
8-18
36%
46%
0-1
0%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.3
29.5
22.8
8
39%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
2-3
67%
0-2
2-4
0%
42%
2-7
29%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.8
18.7
17.0
2
50%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Michael Curry
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 35.3
13.9
12.3
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Mengke Bateer
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.0
8.1
1.9
2
50%
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.1
36.6
1
4-9
41%
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 30.6
18.9
1
2-3
49%
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.5
1.2
0
0-0
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 21.9
40.1
35.4
16
48%
5
5
2
1
1
0
2
3
4-4
100%
6-14
5-12
43%
40%
0-1
0%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32.1
33.3
35.5
12
34%
3
5
2
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
4-13
4-9
31%
44%
0-3
0%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 31.7
28.4
29.3
10
63%
10
0
0
1
0
2
3
7
0-0
-
5-8
3-7
63%
48%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.5
26.4
32.5
4
25%
2
0
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-2
0%
2-7
3-7
29%
44%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.1
26.3
36.6
7
61%
5
2
0
1
1
6
0
5
3-4
75%
2-3
5-10
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.3
28.4
24.5
8
57%
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
2-4
50%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 25.4
19.6
15.0
4
50%
4
0
0
0
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
John Wallace
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.8
19.1
8.2
8
68%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
43%
0-0
-
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 27.8
18.4
12.7
9
51%
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
3
1-2
50%
4-8
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 23.7
6.1
0
1-2
42%
Tyrone Hill
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.7
2.9
0
0-1
41%
Bimbo Coles
G · 6'2" 182 · 35.6
1.8
0
0-0
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.