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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 29, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Rockets49%9288
21SuperSonics51%9395
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 23.2
44.3
28.0
19
53%
9
0
0
0
2
1
4
5
5-9
56%
7-14
5-10
50%
49%
0-0
-
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 26.8
43.1
34.0
28
60%
6
1
2
1
0
2
1
5
11-14
79%
7-10
5-10
70%
45%
1-7
14%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.2
40.5
35.9
9
44%
8
1
2
1
0
0
0
8
3-3
100%
0-4
4-8
0%
46%
2-5
40%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.1
39.1
28.3
12
40%
9
1
1
1
1
1
2
7
2-2
100%
5-11
2-5
45%
43%
0-3
0%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 29.3
14.8
27.6
2
20%
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
0-4
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 27.1
27.1
22.8
13
48%
2
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3-8
38%
5-10
4-9
50%
44%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 33.2
14.7
17.8
2
25%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.3
9.0
15.4
1
57%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.6
7.4
7.3
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 23.4
13.7
0
1-2
43%
Alton Ford
F · 6'9" 280 · 22.5
9.5
0
1-3
46%
John Amaechi
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 33.0
2.2
0
0-1
35%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.3
40.4
22.2
27
65%
9
2
0
1
1
0
4
5
6-6
100%
6-12
3-7
50%
47%
3-6
50%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.0
38.2
34.9
9
30%
6
2
0
1
2
4
0
6
0-0
-
0-5
3-8
0%
43%
3-10
30%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 31.9
28.2
32.0
10
85%
2
4
1
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
53%
2-3
67%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 28.7
26.8
12.9
13
56%
5
4
1
0
0
0
2
3
7-8
88%
3-6
1-2
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 28.0
14.4
9.4
8
63%
5
1
0
0
1
0
1
4
2-3
67%
3-5
1-3
60%
46%
0-0
-
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 28.7
23.7
13.6
5
43%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
42%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
23.2
34.8
12
42%
2
4
0
1
1
2
1
1
4-5
80%
4-7
5-11
57%
43%
0-5
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 22.8
18.3
13.4
11
79%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
38%
3-3
100%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.6
9.8
19.4
0
0%
3
0
0
0
5
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
43%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 23.5
8.8
24.0
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Richie Frahm
G · 6'5" 202 · 26.3
7.6
10.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Ansu Sesay
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.3
0.6
14.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
2-4
-
40%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.