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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 1, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Grizzlies40%9496
15Celtics60%9889
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 24.5
41.3
13.6
9
38%
6
5
2
1
1
4
0
6
1-4
25%
4-6
2-4
67%
41%
0-4
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 23.8
38.1
34.3
10
39%
8
10
1
1
0
2
1
7
8-11
73%
1-5
4-9
20%
45%
0-3
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.4
32.6
35.1
19
51%
5
3
2
1
2
2
1
4
3-4
75%
8-17
7-14
47%
49%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 28.1
30.8
13.4
14
53%
13
1
0
0
2
2
4
9
2-3
67%
6-12
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 26.9
19.4
24.6
11
46%
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
3-7
43%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.2
28.9
30.1
12
51%
6
2
1
1
2
1
3
3
2-2
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
49%
2-4
50%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.0
16.8
24.5
12
76%
3
1
0
1
1
0
2
1
2-2
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
47%
0-0
-
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32.7
16.5
15.2
5
42%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.6
15.4
17.7
4
67%
2
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 28.0
21.4
1
2-4
42%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 24.5
10.1
0
1-3
45%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 22.9
3.1
0
0-1
38%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.1
36.7
36.3
26
62%
5
0
0
2
0
5
0
5
6-7
86%
4-13
6-14
31%
46%
4-5
80%
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.0
34.1
28.1
7
41%
9
3
2
1
1
2
2
7
1-1
100%
3-8
4-9
38%
50%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 28.4
30.6
28.9
7
35%
2
10
3
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
1-5
20%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 23.8
30.0
27.7
7
44%
4
3
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-6
40%
42%
1-3
33%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 28.0
8.9
20.9
4
100%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.4
25.4
25.6
11
72%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
6-6
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 27.5
24.8
19.5
8
44%
7
1
1
0
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
4-8
3-5
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.8
22.1
19.4
10
46%
5
0
0
0
2
1
3
2
1-2
50%
3-9
2-5
33%
52%
1-1
100%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 22.0
17.4
18.2
4
18%
3
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
0-2
0%
2-9
2-4
22%
41%
0-1
0%
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.8
10.1
7.6
5
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
1-4
25%
Kedrick Brown
G-F · 6'7" 222 · 22.7
11.0
1
1-2
46%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.8
2.9
0
0-0
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.