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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 3, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Grizzlies32%9196
5Nets68%9793
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 24.5
40.6
24.4
12
50%
0
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
6-10
3-6
60%
41%
0-2
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 23.8
38.6
35.1
6
36%
3
7
2
1
0
3
1
2
2-3
67%
2-5
4-9
40%
45%
0-2
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.4
32.3
33.6
19
52%
6
6
1
0
1
2
2
4
11-12
92%
4-13
7-14
31%
49%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 28.1
31.4
20.4
14
54%
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
7-12
3-8
58%
44%
0-1
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 26.9
26.4
22.3
19
66%
6
0
1
1
0
0
1
5
3-3
100%
5-9
2-4
56%
44%
2-4
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.2
23.0
29.3
12
72%
1
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2-3
67%
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
2-4
50%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.6
19.8
16.6
3
52%
5
1
2
1
0
2
1
4
1-2
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 22.9
15.3
2.5
7
70%
3
5
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
38%
1-1
100%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.0
12.5
21.2
4
27%
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-1
0%
2-7
3-7
29%
47%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
18.0
1
3-7
42%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 28.0
14.6
1
1-3
42%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 24.5
6.9
0
1-2
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kerry Kittles
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.5
38.2
30.2
7
29%
3
4
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
3-9
3-7
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.7
34.4
35.3
11
44%
9
7
1
2
0
5
0
9
5-6
83%
3-6
4-10
50%
44%
0-4
0%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.9
31.7
34.9
20
59%
8
3
0
1
2
2
1
7
8-9
89%
6-12
7-15
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 23.4
30.3
35.7
24
82%
10
2
1
1
1
1
2
8
12-13
92%
6-9
5-10
67%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.0
26.5
26.9
7
96%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
5-6
83%
1-1
2-5
100%
44%
0-0
-
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 32.2
21.4
18.8
11
67%
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
3-5
60%
4-6
3-5
67%
48%
0-0
-
Rodney Rogers
F · 6'7" 270 · 32.5
17.8
20.0
4
22%
2
1
0
1
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
2-8
2-5
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.7
16.3
4.9
5
63%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.0
13.7
23.5
2
50%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-6
50%
43%
0-0
-
Robert Pack
G · 6'2" 190 · 34.8
9.8
6.1
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
0-0
-
Zoran Planinic
· 6'7" 195 · 21.2
3.2
0
0-1
46%
Brandon Armstrong
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.5
2.1
0
0-1
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.