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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 3, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Heat19%8673
4Pistons81%9787
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.1
43.0
32.2
22
35%
14
2
1
1
1
6
6
8
0-1
0%
11-27
4-9
41%
44%
0-4
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 21.9
40.9
36.4
15
73%
7
4
1
1
0
4
4
3
3-3
100%
6-8
5-13
75%
37%
0-1
0%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32.1
33.1
34.1
9
24%
3
1
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-4
50%
2-8
4-9
25%
42%
1-9
11%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 31.7
31.1
28.5
4
22%
7
0
1
1
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
2-9
3-7
22%
46%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.5
23.8
29.8
0
0%
6
1
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
40%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.4
33.1
25.5
15
47%
4
5
2
1
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
40%
3-8
38%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 25.5
21.3
16.4
6
61%
8
0
0
0
2
1
6
2
0-2
0%
3-4
1-3
75%
41%
0-0
-
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 27.8
11.1
14.6
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-0
-
John Wallace
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.8
2.8
12.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
40%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 23.7
5.4
0
1-2
39%
Bimbo Coles
G · 6'2" 182 · 35.6
1.7
0
0-0
34%
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 26.4
1.3
0
0-0
39%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 29.2
43.0
40.0
10
36%
21
3
0
2
6
3
8
13
2-4
50%
4-12
4-8
33%
48%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 27.2
38.2
36.8
16
53%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
7-7
100%
3-10
5-11
30%
43%
1-2
50%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 23.8
36.9
34.9
13
53%
11
3
0
1
2
0
0
11
5-5
100%
4-8
4-7
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 25.8
36.8
35.6
18
47%
2
2
3
1
0
3
2
0
6-7
86%
6-16
7-14
38%
47%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.5
28.5
24.0
17
59%
12
0
1
1
5
2
6
6
7-8
88%
5-11
3-6
45%
47%
0-0
-
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 30.0
24.2
16.0
8
33%
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
4-12
3-6
33%
47%
0-0
-
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.7
15.7
14.0
3
31%
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Tremaine Fowlkes
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.6
13.1
8.4
2
33%
3
2
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Hubert Davis
G · 6'5" 183 · 33.5
3.2
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 30.4
0.3
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 35.4
15.2
1
2-5
45%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 18.5
0.9
0
0-0
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.