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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 3, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Magic20%9191
8Hornets80%102106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 24.5
43.8
38.5
29
45%
8
2
1
1
0
3
0
8
1-3
33%
8-19
7-15
42%
46%
4-12
33%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.6
37.9
29.7
20
67%
4
6
0
1
0
5
0
4
0-2
0%
4-8
3-7
50%
43%
4-6
67%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.5
31.8
37.9
5
19%
1
8
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-9
4-9
11%
45%
1-4
25%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.8
26.2
30.6
0
0%
5
2
0
1
1
1
4
1
0-0
-
0-5
5-12
0%
43%
0-0
-
Andrew DeClercq
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.8
20.7
9.5
14
88%
7
3
1
0
2
2
5
2
0-0
-
7-8
1-2
88%
47%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 22.2
35.1
24.1
16
67%
12
1
2
1
1
3
4
8
0-2
0%
8-11
4-8
73%
42%
0-0
-
Donnell Harvey
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.3
17.4
15.6
2
76%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
0-0
2-5
-
44%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 19.8
10.3
12.7
4
40%
6
0
0
0
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
40%
0-0
-
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.4
9.7
16.8
1
17%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.1
3.5
17.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 23.6
2.9
5.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
38%
0-1
0%
Reece Gaines
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.9
0.7
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
37%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 24.6
44.6
40.7
27
43%
6
12
5
2
1
2
1
5
5-6
83%
11-23
6-12
48%
46%
0-6
0%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.5
42.0
31.0
20
73%
14
1
4
1
0
4
5
9
2-4
50%
9-12
4-9
75%
50%
0-0
-
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 34.1
41.3
33.0
10
39%
10
5
1
1
3
0
3
7
2-2
100%
4-12
4-9
33%
51%
0-0
-
George Lynch
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.2
36.0
28.0
10
77%
8
4
0
1
0
0
1
7
5-8
63%
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
1-1
100%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 33.1
22.4
35.2
13
55%
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
4-4
100%
3-8
5-11
38%
45%
1-2
50%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.4
28.3
19.7
14
65%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-4
50%
3-5
1-3
60%
49%
2-4
50%
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 35.3
12.0
12.8
3
23%
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1-1
100%
1-6
1-3
17%
42%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
8.3
16.3
9
60%
6
0
0
0
0
0
4
2
1-1
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
47%
0-0
-
Sean Rooks
C · 6'10" 260 · 34.2
4.0
6.2
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Bryce Drew
G · 6'3" 184 · 29.2
0.7
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 26.8
0.4
8.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 34.7
6.6
0
1-1
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.