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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 3, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Lakers40%9690
3Spurs60%9986
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 25.3
46.0
32.2
21
44%
6
3
2
1
0
4
1
5
8-9
89%
5-16
5-11
31%
45%
1-4
25%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 31.7
38.9
21.0
15
48%
16
0
1
0
9
5
2
14
5-8
63%
5-12
5-9
42%
53%
0-0
-
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 40.4
37.9
28.5
16
67%
10
2
1
1
0
0
3
7
0-0
-
8-12
4-8
67%
43%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.3
36.8
26.4
18
65%
1
2
3
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
4-9
2-5
44%
44%
3-4
75%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.4
34.3
28.9
16
51%
2
6
2
1
1
2
1
1
4-6
67%
6-13
4-9
46%
46%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 29.3
15.7
20.7
1
17%
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-5
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.9
11.3
18.4
1
17%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
37%
0-0
-
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 24.7
10.2
18.2
2
25%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
46%
0-0
-
Horace Grant
C · 6'10" 245 · 38.4
9.1
22.4
0
0%
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
44%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.1
10.8
0
1-2
42%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.7
7.1
0
1-1
40%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.1
4.6
0
0-1
38%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.6
44.9
21.9
30
60%
15
3
0
0
1
3
3
12
8-11
73%
11-19
5-10
58%
51%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.5
38.1
34.2
18
51%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
5-8
63%
5-11
5-11
45%
47%
1-3
33%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.3
36.6
33.3
13
51%
5
4
1
2
2
6
1
4
3-4
75%
2-6
4-9
33%
43%
2-5
40%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 32.5
35.5
25.2
11
62%
5
1
0
1
1
2
0
5
0-2
0%
4-5
1-3
80%
42%
1-3
33%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.5
32.5
31.3
2
14%
8
1
0
1
1
2
3
5
0-0
-
1-7
4-9
14%
49%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 24.7
24.1
21.9
4
25%
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
42%
0-2
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 29.0
15.0
22.5
6
63%
4
1
0
1
1
3
1
3
4-4
100%
1-3
3-8
33%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.6
9.9
12.3
2
114%
3
2
2
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33.3
3.4
13.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Ron Mercer
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.5
12.1
0
2-5
40%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.9
6.4
0
1-2
41%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41.2
5.0
0
1-2
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.