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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 3, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Nuggets39%96117
20Warriors61%100109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.6
38.7
25.7
38
82%
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
5-5
100%
9-15
3-8
60%
41%
5-6
83%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 21.2
38.4
30.4
18
77%
9
2
1
2
1
3
2
7
4-6
67%
7-9
4-8
78%
50%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.7
37.6
30.1
14
67%
2
8
0
1
1
4
0
2
6-8
75%
4-7
4-10
57%
44%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 19.5
34.3
34.4
26
69%
4
4
2
1
2
1
1
3
8-9
89%
6-12
5-12
50%
42%
2-3
67%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 27.8
24.4
26.6
3
80%
7
1
0
1
1
1
1
6
1-2
50%
1-1
3-7
100%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 27.5
24.4
21.1
12
68%
2
4
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
5-7
3-7
71%
42%
0-1
0%
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.4
21.5
21.6
6
63%
4
4
1
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.4
8.3
19.2
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
41%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 28.0
8.2
9.4
0
0%
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Rodney White
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.4
4.2
7.1
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.7
13.1
0
1-3
38%
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 20.6
3.5
0
0-1
37%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.4
37.7
31.4
16
65%
18
0
0
1
1
6
5
13
2-3
67%
7-11
4-9
64%
48%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 25.6
37.3
22.4
21
67%
2
3
3
1
0
0
1
1
6-6
100%
6-12
3-7
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 22.9
36.7
39.8
17
51%
5
1
0
1
0
2
4
1
3-6
50%
7-12
6-13
58%
46%
0-2
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 23.2
20.6
33.3
2
17%
5
2
1
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
46%
0-1
0%
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.0
16.3
32.8
4
33%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-8
33%
42%
0-0
-
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.0
34.1
25.3
19
60%
2
8
2
1
1
3
1
1
1-2
50%
6-8
3-8
75%
45%
2-7
29%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.6
22.7
23.1
11
56%
2
1
2
1
1
0
1
1
4-4
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Sean Lampley
F · 6'6" 213 · 24.2
17.6
1.0
14
71%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-2
0%
7-9
0-0
78%
44%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 32.4
16.9
21.0
5
36%
4
3
0
1
0
2
3
1
1-2
50%
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 21.8
0.1
0.4
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Cherokee Parks
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 31.1
4.5
0
1-1
45%
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 38.7
2.8
0
0-1
43%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.7
1.1
0
0-0
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.