Final Win Prob. pScore
371%99
105
2729%92
94
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo Spurs
108.29789.5
ORL logo Magic
97.996105.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

MagicSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL105
94
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)105
94
Q4 - 0:06.0SASMISS Duncan 26' 3PT Jump Shot105
94
Q4 - 0:27.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)105
94
Q4 - 0:28.0ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot105
94
Q4 - 0:34.0ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)105
94
Q4 - 0:35.0SASMISS Parker 9' Running Jump Shot105
94
Q4 - 0:51.0ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)105
94
Q4 - 0:51.0ORLGooden Tip Shot (23 PTS)105
94
Q4 - 0:51.0ORLMISS McGrady Layup105
92
Q4 - 1:01SASParker 9' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)105
92
Q4 - 1:15SASMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)103
92
Q4 - 1:18ORLMISS McGrady 20' Fadeaway Jumper103
92
Q4 - 1:32SASDuncan Layup (47 PTS) (Parker 11 AST)103
92
Q4 - 1:42ORLMcGrady Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T11)101
92
Q4 - 1:48SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (45 PTS)101
92
Q4 - 1:48SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (44 PTS)100
92
Q4 - 1:48ORLHoward S.FOUL (P5.PN)99
92
Q4 - 2:03SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)99
92
Q4 - 2:06ORLMISS McGrady Layup99
92
Q4 - 2:18ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)99
92
Q4 - 2:20SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot99
92
Q4 - 2:25SASSUB: Horry FOR Nesterovic99
92
Q4 - 2:25SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)99
92
Q4 - 2:28SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)99
92
Q4 - 2:30SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot99
92
Q4 - 2:51ORLGooden Layup (21 PTS)99
92
Q4 - 2:54ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)99
90
Q4 - 2:56ORLMISS Howard 8' Hook Shot99
90
Q4 - 3:16SASDuncan 15' Jump Bank Shot (43 PTS) (Parker 10 AST)99
90
Q4 - 3:33SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)97
90
Q4 - 3:35SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot97
90
Q4 - 3:55SASSpurs Rebound97
90
Q4 - 3:56ORLMISS Giricek Free Throw 1 of 197
90
Q4 - 3:56SASMercer S.FOUL (P3.PN)97
90
Q4 - 3:56ORLGiricek 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)97
90
Q4 - 4:10ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 2)97
88
Q4 - 4:11SASDuncan Layup (41 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)97
88
Q4 - 4:26SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)95
88
Q4 - 4:29ORLMISS Lue 6' Running Jump Shot95
88
Q4 - 4:34ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)95
88
Q4 - 4:35SASMISS Mercer 6' Jump Shot95
88
Q4 - 4:41ORLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)95
88
Q4 - 4:58SASParker Driving Layup (6 PTS)95
88
Q4 - 5:03SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
88
Q4 - 5:05ORLMISS Gooden 6' Jump Shot93
88
Q4 - 5:30SASDuncan Driving Layup (39 PTS)93
88
Q4 - 5:49SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
88
Q4 - 5:51ORLMISS McGrady 9' Running Jump Shot91
88
Q4 - 5:55SASSUB: Bowen FOR Ginobili91
88
Q4 - 5:5591
88
Q4 - 5:55SASGinobili P.FOUL (P3.T4)91
88
Q4 - 6:03ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)91
88
Q4 - 6:05ORLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot91
88
Q4 - 6:11SASNesterovic P.FOUL (P3.T3)91
88
Q4 - 6:18SASSUB: Duncan FOR Horry91
88
Q4 - 6:18ORLLue Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)91
88
Q4 - 6:18SASSpurs T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Horry )91
87
Q4 - 6:41SASParker Driving Layup (4 PTS)91
87
Q4 - 6:47SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)89
87
Q4 - 6:49ORLMISS Giricek 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
87
Q4 - 6:51ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)89
87
Q4 - 6:54ORLMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
87
Q4 - 7:18SASNesterovic 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)89
87
Q4 - 7:35ORLHoward 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)87
87
Q4 - 7:46SASMercer 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Horry 3 AST)87
85
Q4 - 7:53SASMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
85
Q4 - 7:56ORLMISS Lue Layup85
85
Q4 - 8:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
85
Q4 - 8:04SASMISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
85
Q4 - 8:16ORLMcGrady L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)85
85
Q4 - 8:16SASSpurs Rebound85
85
Q4 - 8:17ORLMISS Gooden 19' Jump Shot85
85
Q4 - 8:24ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
85
Q4 - 8:26SASMISS Mercer 22' Jump Shot85
85
Q4 - 8:44ORLHoward 6' Jump Shot (13 PTS)85
85
Q4 - 9:09SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)85
83
Q4 - 9:09SASSpurs Rebound84
83
Q4 - 9:09SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 284
83
Q4 - 9:09ORLGiricek S.FOUL (P4.T3)84
83
Q4 - 9:10SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
83
Q4 - 9:13ORLMISS McGrady 5' Jump Shot84
83
Q4 - 9:20ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)84
83
Q4 - 9:22SASMISS Mercer 15' Jump Shot84
83
Q4 - 9:37ORLGiricek Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)84
83
Q4 - 9:37ORLMAGIC Rebound84
82
Q4 - 9:37ORLMISS Giricek Free Throw 1 of 284
82
Q4 - 9:37SASSUB: Parker FOR Hart84
82
Q4 - 9:37SASSUB: Horry FOR Duncan84
82
Q4 - 9:37SASMercer S.FOUL (P2.T2)84
82
Q4 - 9:42ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)84
82
Q4 - 9:45ORLMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot84
82
Q4 - 10:00SASDuncan Layup (37 PTS)84
82
Q4 - 10:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)82
82
Q4 - 10:03SASGooden BLOCK (2 BLK)82
82
Q4 - 10:24ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)82
82
Q4 - 10:24ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)82
81
Q4 - 10:24SASNesterovic S.FOUL (P2.T1)82
80
Q4 - 10:36ORLSUB: Giricek FOR Williams82
80
Q4 - 10:36ORLSUB: Howard FOR Strickland82
80
Q4 - 10:36ORLSUB: Lue FOR DeClercq82
80
Q4 - 10:36ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 2)82
80
Q4 - 10:36SASMercer 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS)82
80
Q4 - 10:45ORLDeClercq Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)80
80
Q4 - 11:07SASMercer Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)80
80
Q4 - 11:07ORLSUB: McGrady FOR Harvey79
80
Q4 - 11:07ORLStrickland S.FOUL (P1.T2)79
80
Q4 - 11:07SASMercer Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Hart 1 AST)79
80
Q4 - 11:09SASHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
80
Q4 - 11:11ORLMISS DeClercq 16' Jump Shot77
80
Q4 - 11:36SASMercer 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)77
80
Q4 - 11:43ORLHarvey L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)75
80
Q4 - 11:43SASSpurs Rebound75
80
Q4 - 11:45SASMISS Mercer 18' Jump Shot75
80
Q4 - 12:0075
80
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS75
80
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound75
80
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot75
80
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)75
80
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLSUB: Williams FOR Giricek75
79
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLSUB: Bogans FOR McGrady75
79
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLMAGIC Rebound75
79
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 275
79
Q3 - 0:02.0SASHart P.FOUL (P2.PN)75
79
Q3 - 0:22.0SASHart Layup (2 PTS)75
79
Q3 - 0:26.0ORLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)73
79
Q3 - 0:42.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)73
79
Q3 - 0:42.0SASSpurs Rebound72
79
Q3 - 0:42.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 272
79
Q3 - 0:42.0ORLSUB: Strickland FOR Lue72
79
Q3 - 0:42.0ORLGooden P.FOUL (P3.PN)72
79
Q3 - 1:01ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)72
79
Q3 - 1:01SASSUB: Hart FOR Parker72
78
Q3 - 1:01SASTurkoglu S.FOUL (P2.PN)72
78
Q3 - 1:01ORLMcGrady Driving Layup (25 PTS)72
78
Q3 - 1:17ORLMAGIC Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 2)72
76
Q3 - 1:28SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (34 PTS)72
76
Q3 - 1:46SASSpurs Rebound70
76
Q3 - 1:47ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
76
Q3 - 2:11ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)70
76
Q3 - 2:13SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 170
76
Q3 - 2:13ORLGooden S.FOUL (P2.PN)70
76
Q3 - 2:13SASDuncan Dunk (32 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)70
76
Q3 - 2:24ORLGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)68
76
Q3 - 2:24ORLGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)68
75
Q3 - 2:24SASDuncan S.FOUL (P3.PN)68
74
Q3 - 2:24ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
74
Q3 - 2:25ORLMISS McGrady Layup68
74
Q3 - 2:31ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
74
Q3 - 2:33SASHarvey BLOCK (2 BLK)68
74
Q3 - 2:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)68
74
Q3 - 2:53ORLMISS Gooden Free Throw 2 of 268
74
Q3 - 2:53ORLGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)68
74
Q3 - 2:53ORLSUB: Harvey FOR Pachulia68
73
Q3 - 2:53SASDuncan L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)68
73
Q3 - 2:53ORLMAGIC Rebound68
73
Q3 - 2:54SASMISS Horry Free Throw 2 of 268
73
Q3 - 2:54SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)68
73
Q3 - 2:54ORLSUB: Pachulia FOR Howard67
73
Q3 - 2:54ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)67
73
Q3 - 2:54ORLHoward L.B.FOUL (P4.PN)67
73
Q3 - 2:54SASSpurs Rebound67
73
Q3 - 2:54ORLMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
73
Q3 - 3:00ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
73
Q3 - 3:02SASMISS Turkoglu Running Layup67
73
Q3 - 3:22ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)67
73
Q3 - 3:22ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)67
72
Q3 - 3:22SASMercer P.FOUL (P1.PN)67
71
Q3 - 3:40SASMercer 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)67
71
Q3 - 4:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)65
71
Q3 - 4:04ORLMISS McGrady 16' Jump Shot65
71
Q3 - 4:19SASDuncan Dunk (30 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)65
71
Q3 - 4:32ORLMcGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)63
71
Q3 - 4:38SASHorry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)63
68
Q3 - 4:54ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)63
68
Q3 - 4:54SASSUB: Mercer FOR Bowen63
67
Q3 - 4:54ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)63
67
Q3 - 4:54SASHorry S.FOUL (P3.PN)63
66
Q3 - 5:03ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
66
Q3 - 5:04SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Shot63
66
Q3 - 5:24ORLHoward 11' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)63
66
Q3 - 5:32SASBowen P.FOUL (P4.T4)63
64
Q3 - 5:44ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
64
Q3 - 5:45SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 163
64
Q3 - 5:45SASSUB: Turkoglu FOR Ginobili63
64
Q3 - 5:45ORLSUB: Gooden FOR DeClercq63
64
Q3 - 5:45ORLDeClercq S.FOUL (P4.T4)63
64
Q3 - 5:45SASDuncan Layup (28 PTS)63
64
Q3 - 6:06ORLHoward 7' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)61
64
Q3 - 6:22ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
62
Q3 - 6:23SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot61
62
Q3 - 6:32ORLGiricek P.FOUL (P3.T3)61
62
Q3 - 6:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
62
Q3 - 6:41ORLMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot61
62
Q3 - 6:48ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
62
Q3 - 6:49SASMISS Duncan Layup61
62
Q3 - 6:58SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
62
Q3 - 7:00ORLMISS Giricek 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
62
Q3 - 7:18ORLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
62
Q3 - 7:20SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot61
62
Q3 - 7:46ORLDeClercq Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)61
62
Q3 - 7:59SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)61
60
Q3 - 7:59SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)60
60
Q3 - 7:59ORLDeClercq S.FOUL (P3.T2)59
60
Q3 - 8:15ORLMcGrady Free Throw 3 of 3 (16 PTS)59
60
Q3 - 8:15ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 3 (15 PTS)59
59
Q3 - 8:15ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 3 (14 PTS)59
58
Q3 - 8:15SASBowen S.FOUL (P3.T3)59
57
Q3 - 8:17ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
57
Q3 - 8:19SASMISS Horry 14' Jump Shot59
57
Q3 - 8:34ORLLue Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)59
57
Q3 - 8:34SASSUB: Horry FOR Nesterovic59
56
Q3 - 8:34SASParker S.FOUL (P2.T2)59
56
Q3 - 8:34ORLLue Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Giricek 4 AST)59
56
Q3 - 8:37SASGiricek STEAL (2 STL)59
54
Q3 - 8:49SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)59
54
Q3 - 8:52ORLLue 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)59
54
Q3 - 9:00SASMcGrady STEAL (3 STL)59
51
Q3 - 9:16ORLDeClercq Dunk (4 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)59
51
Q3 - 9:26ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
49
Q3 - 9:28SASMISS Nesterovic 13' Jump Shot59
49
Q3 - 9:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
49
Q3 - 9:45ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot59
49
Q3 - 10:07SASBowen Foul Turnover (P2.T11)59
49
Q3 - 10:07SASBowen OFF.Foul (P2)59
49
Q3 - 10:11ORLMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)59
49
Q3 - 10:19SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)59
49
Q3 - 10:19SASNesterovic Tip Shot (10 PTS)59
49
Q3 - 10:21SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Shot57
49
Q3 - 10:31ORLHoward P.FOUL (P3.T1)57
49
Q3 - 10:47ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)57
49
Q3 - 10:47SASNesterovic S.FOUL (P1.T1)57
48
Q3 - 10:47ORLMcGrady Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)57
48
Q3 - 10:57SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)57
46
Q3 - 11:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
46
Q3 - 11:09ORLMISS DeClercq 8' Jump Shot57
46
Q3 - 11:28SASDuncan Layup (24 PTS)57
46
Q3 - 11:47ORLLue 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)55
46
Q3 - 12:0055
44
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS55
44
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound55
44
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Duncan 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
44
Q2 - 0:08.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)55
44
Q2 - 0:08.0ORLSUB: Bogans FOR Giricek55
43
Q2 - 0:08.0ORLMAGIC Rebound55
43
Q2 - 0:08.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 255
43
Q2 - 0:08.0SASGinobili S.FOUL (P2.PN)55
43
Q2 - 0:13.0SASGooden STEAL (2 STL)55
43
Q2 - 0:27.0ORLGooden 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)55
43
Q2 - 0:50.0SASDuncan 10' Jump Shot (22 PTS)55
41
Q2 - 1:06ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)53
41
Q2 - 1:19SASMcGrady STEAL (2 STL)53
41
Q2 - 1:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
41
Q2 - 1:27SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
41
Q2 - 1:40ORLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)53
41
Q2 - 1:40ORLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)53
40
Q2 - 1:40SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)53
39
Q2 - 1:40SASParker S.FOUL (P1.T3)53
39
Q2 - 1:48SASNesterovic 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)53
39
Q2 - 2:09ORLHoward Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Giricek 3 AST)51
39
Q2 - 2:14SASGooden STEAL (1 STL)51
37
Q2 - 2:36ORLGooden 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Giricek 2 AST)51
37
Q2 - 2:41ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
35
Q2 - 2:43SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot51
35
Q2 - 3:02ORLHoward 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)51
35
Q2 - 3:20SASParker Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)51
33
Q2 - 3:39ORLLue 17' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)49
33
Q2 - 3:57ORLMAGIC Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)49
31
Q2 - 3:58SASNesterovic 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)49
31
Q2 - 4:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
31
Q2 - 4:07ORLMISS Gooden 6' Jump Shot47
31
Q2 - 4:08ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
31
Q2 - 4:11ORLMISS McGrady Layup47
31
Q2 - 4:22SASDuncan 6' Jump Bank Shot (20 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)47
31
Q2 - 4:34SASSUB: Bowen FOR Turkoglu45
31
Q2 - 4:34ORLGiricek Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)45
31
Q2 - 4:53SASDuncan 10' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS)45
31
Q2 - 5:07SASSUB: Duncan FOR Horry43
31
Q2 - 5:07SASSpurs Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)43
31
Q2 - 5:13ORLGooden Driving Layup (11 PTS)43
31
Q2 - 5:19SASGiricek STEAL (1 STL)43
29
Q2 - 5:40ORLGooden 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)43
29
Q2 - 5:57SASSpurs Rebound43
27
Q2 - 5:57ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)43
27
Q2 - 5:57SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)43
27
Q2 - 5:58SASMISS Horry 18' Jump Shot43
27
Q2 - 5:59SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
27
Q2 - 6:01SASLue BLOCK (1 BLK)43
27
Q2 - 6:20SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
27
Q2 - 6:23ORLMISS Giricek Layup43
27
Q2 - 6:47SASTurkoglu Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)43
27
Q2 - 7:02ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)41
27
Q2 - 7:02ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)41
26
Q2 - 7:02SASHorry S.FOUL (P2.T2)41
25
Q2 - 7:21SASHorry 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)41
25
Q2 - 7:33ORLHoward L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)39
25
Q2 - 7:33SASSpurs Rebound39
25
Q2 - 7:34SASMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
25
Q2 - 7:44ORLMcGrady L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)39
25
Q2 - 7:49ORLMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)39
25
Q2 - 8:01SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)39
25
Q2 - 8:01SASSUB: Parker FOR Hart38
25
Q2 - 8:01SASSpurs Rebound38
25
Q2 - 8:01SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 238
25
Q2 - 8:01ORLGiricek S.FOUL (P2.T2)38
25
Q2 - 8:12SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
25
Q2 - 8:14ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
25
Q2 - 8:27SASTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)38
25
Q2 - 8:40SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
25
Q2 - 8:41SASMISS Ginobili 5' Fadeaway Jumper38
25
Q2 - 8:45ORLSUB: Lue FOR Williams38
25
Q2 - 8:45ORLSUB: Howard FOR Harvey38
25
Q2 - 8:45ORLSUB: Giricek FOR DeClercq38
25
Q2 - 8:4538
25
Q2 - 8:54SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
25
Q2 - 8:55ORLMISS DeClercq 7' Hook Shot38
25
Q2 - 9:13SASTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)38
25
Q2 - 9:22SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
25
Q2 - 9:25ORLMISS Harvey 8' Hook Shot35
25
Q2 - 9:36SASHart P.FOUL (P1.T1)35
25
Q2 - 9:40SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)35
25
Q2 - 9:40SASSUB: Nesterovic FOR Duncan34
25
Q2 - 9:40SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)34
25
Q2 - 9:40ORLGooden S.FOUL (P1.T1)33
25
Q2 - 9:52ORLGooden 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS)33
25
Q2 - 10:01ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
23
Q2 - 10:03SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot33
23
Q2 - 10:07SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
23
Q2 - 10:08SASMISS Turkoglu 15' Jump Shot33
23
Q2 - 10:22ORLGooden 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS)33
23
Q2 - 10:35SASDuncan Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Horry 2 AST)33
21
Q2 - 10:48ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)31
21
Q2 - 10:54ORLSUB: DeClercq FOR Hunter31
21
Q2 - 10:54ORLSUB: McGrady FOR Strickland31
21
Q2 - 11:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
21
Q2 - 11:10SASDuncan Layup (14 PTS)31
21
Q2 - 11:14SASMISS Hart Layup29
21
Q2 - 11:19ORLStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)29
21
Q2 - 11:23ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
21
Q2 - 11:25SASHarvey BLOCK (1 BLK)29
21
Q2 - 11:27SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
21
Q2 - 11:29SASGooden BLOCK (1 BLK)29
21
Q2 - 11:41SASSpurs Rebound29
21
Q2 - 11:42ORLMISS Gooden 19' Jump Shot29
21
Q2 - 12:0029
21
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS29
21
Q1 - 0:01.0SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
21
Q1 - 0:03.0ORLMISS Gooden 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
21
Q1 - 0:25.0SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)29
21
Q1 - 0:25.0ORLSUB: Williams FOR Giricek28
21
Q1 - 0:25.0ORLGiricek S.FOUL (P1.PN)28
21
Q1 - 0:25.0SASHorry 10' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)28
21
Q1 - 0:35.0ORLGiricek Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
21
Q1 - 0:35.0ORLGiricek Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
20
Q1 - 0:35.0ORLSUB: Harvey FOR McGrady26
19
Q1 - 0:35.0SASTurkoglu S.FOUL (P1.PN)26
19
Q1 - 0:48.0SASTurkoglu 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)26
19
Q1 - 1:02ORLGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)24
19
Q1 - 1:02ORLMAGIC Rebound24
18
Q1 - 1:02ORLMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 224
18
Q1 - 1:02SASSUB: Hart FOR Parker24
18
Q1 - 1:02SASDuncan S.FOUL (P1.PN)24
18
Q1 - 1:20SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)24
18
Q1 - 1:35ORLGooden 10' Hook Shot (2 PTS)21
18
Q1 - 1:45ORLSUB: Strickland FOR Lue21
16
Q1 - 1:45SASBowen P.FOUL (P1.T3)21
16
Q1 - 2:06SASHorry Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)21
16
Q1 - 2:18SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
16
Q1 - 2:20SASMISS Horry 20' Jump Shot19
16
Q1 - 2:28SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
16
Q1 - 2:31ORLMISS Hunter 5' Jump Shot19
16
Q1 - 2:39SASBowen Violation:Kicked Ball19
16
Q1 - 3:01SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)19
16
Q1 - 3:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
16
Q1 - 3:13ORLMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot16
16
Q1 - 3:26SASHorry L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)16
16
Q1 - 3:26ORLMAGIC Rebound16
16
Q1 - 3:26SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot16
16
Q1 - 3:41SASSUB: Horry FOR Nesterovic16
16
Q1 - 3:41ORLSUB: Hunter FOR Howard16
16
Q1 - 3:41SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)16
16
Q1 - 3:44ORLMcGrady Driving Layup (8 PTS)16
16
Q1 - 3:50SASMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)16
14
Q1 - 4:01SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
14
Q1 - 4:03ORLMISS Howard 11' Jump Shot16
14
Q1 - 4:17SASNesterovic Dunk (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)16
14
Q1 - 4:34SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)14
14
Q1 - 4:36SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)14
14
Q1 - 4:36SASMISS Nesterovic Tip Shot14
14
Q1 - 4:37SASMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot14
14
Q1 - 4:52SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
14
Q1 - 4:55ORLMISS Gooden 9' Hook Shot14
14
Q1 - 5:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
14
Q1 - 5:06SASMcGrady BLOCK (1 BLK)14
14
Q1 - 5:28ORLMcGrady Driving Dunk (6 PTS)14
14
Q1 - 5:40SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)14
12
Q1 - 5:40SASSUB: Turkoglu FOR Ginobili13
12
Q1 - 5:40ORLSUB: Gooden FOR Pachulia13
12
Q1 - 5:40ORLPachulia S.FOUL (P1.T4)13
12
Q1 - 5:40SASDuncan 8' Hook Shot (11 PTS)13
12
Q1 - 5:48SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
12
Q1 - 5:53ORLMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot11
12
Q1 - 6:00SASMISS Nesterovic Tip Shot11
12
Q1 - 6:00ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
12
Q1 - 6:01SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
12
Q1 - 6:02SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot11
12
Q1 - 6:23ORLMcGrady 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
12
Q1 - 6:32SASHoward STEAL (1 STL)11
10
Q1 - 6:48ORLMcGrady Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)11
10
Q1 - 6:50ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
8
Q1 - 6:52ORLMISS Giricek 19' Jump Shot11
8
Q1 - 7:00ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)11
8
Q1 - 7:13ORLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
8
Q1 - 7:15SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot11
8
Q1 - 7:33ORLHoward 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Giricek 1 AST)11
8
Q1 - 7:44SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)11
6
Q1 - 7:44SASSpurs Rebound10
6
Q1 - 7:44SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 210
6
Q1 - 7:44ORLHoward S.FOUL (P1.T3)10
6
Q1 - 7:54SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
6
Q1 - 7:56ORLMISS McGrady 9' Jump Shot10
6
Q1 - 8:12ORLMAGIC Rebound10
6
Q1 - 8:12SASMISS Bowen 19' Jump Shot10
6
Q1 - 8:25SASSpurs Rebound10
6
Q1 - 8:25ORLMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
6
Q1 - 8:39SASDuncan 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS)10
6
Q1 - 8:51SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
6
Q1 - 8:53ORLMISS Howard 11' Jump Shot8
6
Q1 - 9:04SASDuncan 14' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)8
6
Q1 - 9:09SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
6
Q1 - 9:09SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 26
6
Q1 - 9:09ORLSUB: Pachulia FOR DeClercq6
6
Q1 - 9:09SASSpurs Rebound6
6
Q1 - 9:09SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 26
6
Q1 - 9:09ORLDeClercq S.FOUL (P2.T2)6
6
Q1 - 9:19ORLDeClercq 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
6
Q1 - 9:21ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
4
Q1 - 9:23ORLMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot6
4
Q1 - 9:34SASDeClercq STEAL (1 STL)6
4
Q1 - 9:41SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
4
Q1 - 9:43ORLMISS DeClercq Layup6
4
Q1 - 9:50SASGinobili P.FOUL (P1.T1)6
4
Q1 - 9:59SASNesterovic 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
4
Q1 - 10:23ORLGiricek 12' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)4
4
Q1 - 10:36SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
2
Q1 - 10:36SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
2
Q1 - 10:36ORLDeClercq S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 10:52ORLLue Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:15SASDuncan 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 11:27ORLMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:39ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:41SASMISS Nesterovic 12' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball DeClercq vs. Duncan: Tip to Parker0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventSASORL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.00 50.0%
ORL
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
19
28
68%
ORL
14
23
61%
Midrange
SAS
21
49
43%
ORL
17
42
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
ORL
2
3.0
11
18%
27%
Free Throws
SAS
16
25
64%
ORL
26
32
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan4756%23.5 / 42
R. Nesterovic1255%6.0 / 11
R. Mercer1155%5.5 / 10
R. Horry1045%5.0 / 11
T. Parker840%4.0 / 10
H. Turkoglu758%3.5 / 6
B. Bowen6100%3.0 / 3
M. Ginobili217%1.0 / 6
J. Hart250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady2841%14.0 / 34
D. Gooden2361%11.5 / 19
T. Lue1583%7.5 / 9
J. Howard1558%7.5 / 13
G. Giricek744%3.5 / 8
A. DeClercq643%3.0 / 7
D. Harvey0-0.0 / 1
S. Hunter0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
84
+20
-13
104
ORL
86
+9
-10
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.00 50.0%
ORL
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
14
100.0
12
100.3
SAS 108.2 +10.3
ORL 97.9
Pace
20
91.3
12
93.1
SAS 89.5
ORL 105.5 +16.0
Avg. Poss. Time
8
16.0
21
15.2
SAS 16.1
ORL 13.6 −2.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
14
47.3%
21
46.1%
SAS 51.7% +7.0%
ORL 44.7%
TO %
17
15.4%
4
13.8%
SAS 12.6%
ORL 10.9% −1.7%
ORB %
11
29.5%
18
28.1%
SAS 38.5% +15.4%
ORL 23.1%
FTrt
9
32.2
18
29.6
SAS 29.1
ORL 42.1 +13.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
20
59.0%
28
54.5%
SAS 53.5% +8.0%
ORL 45.5%
STL %
11
8.8%
29
7.1%
SAS 8.2%
ORL 9.4% +1.2%
BLK %
4
9.9%
29
5.6%
SAS 9.2% +1.4%
ORL 7.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
18
48.6%
23
48.1%
SAS 50.0% +0.5%
ORL 49.5%
Rim FG%
7
57.6%
28
52.9%
SAS 67.9% +7.0%
ORL 60.9%
Mid FG%
24
37.0%
5
40.2%
SAS 42.9% +2.4%
ORL 40.5%
3P %
6
35.8%
16
34.4%
SAS 33.3% +15.1%
ORL 18.2%
FT %
29
68.1%
22
73.7%
SAS 64.0%
ORL 81.3% +17.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
11
35.9%
27
29.7%
SAS 32.6% +2.3%
ORL 30.3%
Mid Att. %
14
46.4%
27
51.8%
SAS 57.0%
ORL 55.3% −1.7%
3P Att. %
17
17.7%
15
18.4%
SAS 10.5%
ORL 14.5% +4.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.53 and 2.53.
Game TotalsSASORL
Possessions9796
Possession Minutes26.021.8
Points10594
Rebounds4533
Assists2315
Steals89
Blocks66
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (5)9 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (6)24 (3)
Field Goals43-8633-76
At-the-Rim FG19-2814-23
Midrange FG21-4917-42
2-Point FG40-7731-65
3-Point FG3-92-11
Free Throws16-2526-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 28
40.1
47
56%
12
2
0
1
2
3
3
9
9-13
69%
19-32
59%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 22
39.6
8
40%
4
11
0
0
4
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 28
31.0
12
55%
8
1
2
2
1
3
6
2
0-0
-
6-11
55%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 26
30.7
2
17%
2
3
3
0
2
3
1
1
2-6
33%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 32
29.6
6
100%
4
0
2
0
2
4
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-2
100%
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33
24.9
10
45%
6
3
0
3
1
3
2
4
4-5
80%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 220 · 25
18.9
7
58%
6
2
0
0
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28
16.9
11
55%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 180 · 26
8.4
2
50%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 255 · 29
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
50%
45
23
8
6
13
0
15
30
16-25
64%
40-77
52%
3-9
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.