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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 5, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Warriors33%9791
14Nuggets67%10398
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.0
40.5
23.3
15
51%
7
3
0
1
2
5
2
5
1-4
25%
4-7
2-6
57%
41%
2-6
33%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.0
39.1
30.0
15
47%
2
9
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
6-12
4-9
50%
43%
1-4
25%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.4
39.1
34.3
7
42%
11
1
0
1
1
0
1
10
1-3
33%
3-7
4-9
43%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 22.9
35.5
37.4
16
51%
7
4
1
1
0
2
1
6
3-4
75%
2-9
5-12
22%
44%
3-5
60%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 23.2
18.6
25.9
19
81%
6
1
0
1
0
1
4
2
2-4
50%
4-6
3-6
67%
44%
3-4
75%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 32.4
32.7
18.5
10
39%
4
4
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-2
0%
5-12
3-5
42%
47%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.6
16.4
22.4
2
25%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 25.6
12.2
30.2
7
61%
3
2
0
2
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
2-4
4-9
50%
43%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 21.8
4.1
0.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
38%
0-0
-
Sean Lampley
F · 6'6" 213 · 24.3
1.8
10.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Cherokee Parks
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 31.1
2.4
0
0-1
42%
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 38.7
2.2
0
0-1
41%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.7
1.1
0
0-0
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 19.5
40.0
33.7
28
74%
7
4
0
1
1
2
0
7
8-9
89%
4-9
5-12
44%
45%
4-6
67%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.7
37.6
32.3
14
48%
6
14
0
1
1
1
1
5
6-8
75%
4-10
5-10
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 21.2
37.6
33.0
12
50%
7
2
2
2
0
3
1
6
0-0
-
6-12
4-8
50%
53%
0-0
-
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.6
37.1
30.1
18
50%
2
3
1
1
1
2
0
2
7-7
100%
4-10
4-10
40%
43%
1-5
20%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.7
27.8
9.9
13
66%
13
2
1
0
1
1
6
7
1-2
50%
6-9
1-2
67%
40%
0-0
-
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.4
17.1
21.2
2
17%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
2-3
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 27.8
12.1
25.4
2
35%
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0-2
0%
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.4
10.9
14.9
5
87%
3
2
0
1
2
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-2
2-4
100%
43%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 27.5
10.4
22.0
2
20%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-8
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 20.6
6.0
3.0
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
39%
0-1
0%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 28.0
3.5
8.9
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Rodney White
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.4
6.2
0
1-2
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.