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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 5, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Clippers27%9467
18Jazz73%10286
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.1
35.8
35.4
15
50%
6
1
1
1
0
3
2
4
1-2
50%
7-12
5-10
58%
47%
0-2
0%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 23.6
35.2
34.2
7
18%
5
0
0
1
2
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-10
5-11
20%
43%
1-9
11%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.5
28.1
22.3
6
61%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
41%
0-0
-
Doug Overton
G · 6'3" 190 · 34.3
28.0
21.6
2
25%
4
3
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
41%
0-0
-
Predrag Drobnjak
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.1
21.6
23.9
9
51%
1
0
1
1
1
2
0
1
1-2
50%
4-8
3-8
50%
42%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 25.0
29.3
22.0
3
38%
3
3
0
1
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
42%
1-4
25%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.6
26.7
28.0
8
38%
7
2
0
1
2
3
4
3
4-6
67%
2-8
4-8
25%
46%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 24.7
18.2
9.9
13
72%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
5-7
71%
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.6
12.4
8.8
2
33%
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 25.6
4.7
21.3
2
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-4
50%
0-0
3-6
-
45%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.3
9.4
0
1-3
48%
Olden Polynice
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 39.0
3.9
0
0-1
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.5
37.6
39.1
20
71%
6
1
0
1
0
3
2
4
7-7
100%
5-9
7-14
56%
51%
1-2
50%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.8
35.5
38.7
10
48%
5
2
3
2
3
4
1
4
6-8
75%
2-5
5-10
40%
53%
0-2
0%
Raul Lopez
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.6
29.6
28.3
7
60%
5
9
1
1
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
45%
1-1
100%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 30.7
28.7
31.9
8
59%
8
4
1
0
4
0
4
4
2-4
50%
3-5
3-7
60%
48%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 22.7
21.1
16.0
12
60%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
6-10
3-6
60%
45%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
26.9
27.2
12
47%
8
0
1
1
0
1
2
6
3-6
50%
3-6
3-7
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 25.0
23.3
12.9
7
52%
5
1
1
0
0
3
2
3
3-4
75%
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 21.0
18.4
17.8
6
43%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
44%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 20.1
15.5
11.1
4
20%
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-8
2-4
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Ben Handlogten
C · 6'10" 240 · 30.1
3.4
2.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Curtis Borchardt
C · 7'0" 242 · 23.2
13.1
0
1-3
49%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.4
8.2
0
1-3
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.