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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 6, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Magic17%10097
7Mavericks83%112110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.8
40.5
31.4
24
73%
10
2
1
1
0
2
1
9
10-10
100%
7-12
5-12
58%
43%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 24.5
38.6
41.6
27
51%
5
6
0
1
0
3
3
2
5-6
83%
5-16
8-17
31%
46%
4-8
50%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.6
33.9
35.4
16
67%
1
1
3
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
5-10
3-8
50%
43%
2-2
100%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.5
33.5
37.5
8
44%
5
3
0
1
1
3
2
3
0-0
-
1-7
4-8
14%
44%
2-2
100%
Andrew DeClercq
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.8
13.6
13.7
4
69%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 22.2
34.4
30.9
6
24%
5
5
3
1
0
3
3
2
2-4
50%
2-11
5-11
18%
44%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 23.6
15.5
3.1
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
39%
0-0
-
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.4
14.1
9.8
10
56%
1
0
2
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
5-9
1-3
56%
41%
0-0
-
Donnell Harvey
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.3
11.8
12.9
0
0%
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 19.8
4.0
8.3
2
100%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.1
9.4
0
1-2
47%
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 28.7
7.1
0
0-1
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 30.8
42.9
38.9
22
88%
4
3
0
1
0
4
1
3
1-1
100%
6-8
5-11
75%
48%
3-4
75%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.3
38.5
36.3
24
61%
16
3
2
1
1
4
3
13
1-4
25%
10-13
5-11
77%
46%
1-5
20%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 29.8
33.6
32.2
9
48%
3
9
1
1
0
4
0
3
1-1
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
49%
0-2
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 23.6
30.2
24.2
13
47%
8
1
3
1
3
2
3
5
4-4
100%
3-10
4-9
30%
47%
1-2
50%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 27.7
8.9
5.1
5
87%
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
2-2
1-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.5
30.7
34.0
18
51%
7
1
0
1
2
1
4
3
2-4
50%
8-16
7-13
50%
51%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.4
16.2
18.1
9
58%
8
0
1
1
0
2
5
3
3-4
75%
3-6
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 31.4
14.4
13.2
6
77%
0
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-0
-
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 29.9
12.2
14.4
0
0%
3
2
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.9
7.6
6.1
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 31.7
4.9
11.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.5
9.2
0
2-3
52%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.