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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 8, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Celtics43%93102
21Jazz57%9580
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 28.5
37.8
31.6
18
58%
4
9
1
1
0
3
1
3
5-6
83%
5-7
2-4
71%
41%
1-6
17%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 23.9
36.0
31.3
9
44%
4
3
2
1
0
1
2
2
3-5
60%
3-5
3-7
60%
40%
0-3
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.2
30.1
38.6
14
42%
4
2
2
2
0
3
0
4
4-4
100%
5-11
6-14
45%
45%
0-4
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 28.0
19.3
26.3
8
100%
3
1
1
1
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-4
2-5
100%
47%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 27.5
18.8
14.6
8
80%
6
1
0
0
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.8
28.7
13.4
6
51%
6
1
1
0
2
2
3
3
0-2
0%
3-5
2-3
60%
51%
0-0
-
Kedrick Brown
G-F · 6'7" 222 · 22.7
24.4
5.7
6
43%
4
1
2
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
44%
2-4
50%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.4
21.8
26.4
19
85%
6
3
0
1
0
0
1
5
5-5
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
44%
2-3
67%
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.8
16.8
10.8
9
90%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
3-4
75%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.8
6.4
2.6
5
83%
2
0
0
0
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
48%
1-2
50%
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.0
24.7
0
4-8
49%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 22.1
15.8
1
2-4
39%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.5
36.7
36.0
17
71%
7
1
1
1
0
3
1
6
7-9
78%
5-8
6-12
63%
50%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.8
34.0
31.6
11
33%
6
1
3
2
3
3
3
3
3-4
75%
4-12
4-8
33%
51%
0-3
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 22.7
32.5
22.2
10
33%
4
3
0
1
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
5-14
4-8
36%
44%
0-1
0%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 30.8
32.1
28.6
7
61%
7
1
0
0
2
0
0
7
3-4
75%
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Raul Lopez
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.6
24.8
26.6
6
60%
1
5
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
42%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 21.0
23.2
20.2
2
25%
4
1
0
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
40%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
14.8
25.4
16
75%
4
1
3
1
2
0
2
2
6-6
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
44%
2-3
67%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 25.0
14.1
17.2
7
67%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
3-5
60%
2-3
2-3
67%
45%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 20.1
12.0
17.0
3
30%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Curtis Borchardt
C · 7'0" 242 · 23.2
10.7
7.8
1
13%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-3
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Ben Handlogten
C · 6'10" 240 · 30.1
5.2
7.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.4
8.1
0
1-3
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.