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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 10, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Trail Blazers17%8877
3Spurs83%100102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.4
43.0
40.4
22
51%
9
1
1
1
0
3
5
4
4-4
100%
9-20
9-18
45%
47%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 30.3
35.3
39.9
8
40%
5
6
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
0-4
3-8
0%
39%
2-5
40%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 29.2
31.4
37.3
23
52%
6
1
0
1
5
1
3
3
4-5
80%
5-13
4-10
38%
46%
3-7
43%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.1
30.1
36.2
5
25%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-5
60%
1-7
5-11
14%
43%
0-1
0%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 34.7
29.9
27.6
2
13%
13
3
0
1
0
1
5
8
0-0
-
1-8
2-5
13%
48%
0-0
-
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32.7
25.6
17.8
2
17%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
42%
0-2
0%
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 28.4
14.8
22.0
6
50%
4
0
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Qyntel Woods
F-G · 6'8" 220 · 22.8
12.9
4.7
5
36%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-6
1-1
33%
38%
0-0
-
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.6
6.1
9.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
39%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 23.3
4.9
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
36%
0-0
-
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje
C · 7'0" 257 · 25.6
4.0
0.8
2
33%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
36%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 19.2
1.9
0.9
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
35%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.4
34.5
33.4
11
45%
5
6
6
2
0
0
0
5
3-3
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.5
34.1
34.0
17
54%
9
2
0
1
2
2
4
5
1-4
25%
8-14
5-9
57%
52%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 32.5
32.1
31.7
6
61%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.6
31.8
37.0
17
54%
3
6
0
1
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
7-13
5-10
54%
49%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.6
31.1
38.2
18
54%
14
3
0
1
2
1
2
12
6-6
100%
6-14
9-16
43%
54%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 24.7
22.6
16.3
12
72%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-3
67%
2-4
2-3
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33.3
19.8
15.3
9
67%
6
0
1
1
2
1
2
4
2-4
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.6
16.2
9.6
8
57%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-7
1-2
57%
48%
0-0
-
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41.3
7.7
1.9
2
50%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Ron Mercer
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.6
6.1
8.1
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.9
4.0
6.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 29.0
7.9
0
1-3
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.