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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 12, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bulls28%9695
17Bucks72%103109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 35.5
38.8
25.0
18
49%
3
3
2
1
1
4
1
2
6-8
75%
6-15
3-8
40%
41%
0-0
-
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.1
37.3
35.0
9
46%
7
4
0
1
1
3
0
7
1-2
50%
4-9
4-9
44%
40%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.7
33.6
37.3
9
38%
3
6
2
1
1
4
0
3
0-0
-
3-10
5-12
30%
44%
1-2
50%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 21.0
33.3
32.3
12
59%
9
0
0
0
2
1
3
6
4-5
80%
4-8
6-11
50%
52%
0-0
-
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.5
11.9
13.6
0
0%
2
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.9
30.9
30.7
17
102%
6
3
1
1
0
4
1
5
3-3
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
40%
4-5
80%
Marcus Fizer
F · 6'9" 262 · 25.3
30.1
4.8
19
51%
5
3
0
0
0
1
1
4
3-6
50%
8-16
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 30.6
21.5
22.4
11
74%
4
3
0
1
0
2
3
1
1-1
100%
5-7
2-4
71%
47%
0-0
-
Eddie Robinson
F · 6'9" 210 · 27.6
2.7
19.3
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Corie Blount
F-C · 6'10" 242 · 34.9
11.5
0
1-2
45%
Scottie Pippen
F-G · 6'8" 228 · 38.2
5.2
0
1-1
46%
Chris Jefferies
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.8
1.8
0
0-0
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.3
41.0
35.3
30
51%
3
4
1
1
0
0
1
2
4-8
50%
13-22
6-13
59%
49%
0-4
0%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 26.2
37.3
38.1
21
71%
11
7
3
1
1
1
2
9
3-4
75%
9-13
6-12
69%
47%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 28.4
35.0
35.4
6
28%
9
0
0
1
1
1
1
8
2-4
50%
2-9
5-11
22%
48%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 20.7
29.1
29.1
11
71%
3
9
4
1
1
4
1
2
4-4
100%
2-5
3-8
40%
41%
1-1
100%
Daniel Santiago
C · 7'0" 256 · 27.5
18.9
18.1
6
47%
3
1
0
1
2
0
0
3
0-1
0%
3-6
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.9
31.5
25.2
12
50%
6
2
1
1
4
3
3
3
0-0
-
6-12
3-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.3
29.5
22.6
22
80%
2
9
2
1
0
3
1
1
4-4
100%
6-10
1-3
60%
45%
2-2
100%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 24.2
9.4
3.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Erick Strickland
G · 6'3" 218 · 30.0
8.3
15.3
1
15%
0
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
0-2
2-3
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 26.8
9.1
0
1-3
49%
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.0
7.0
0
1-2
47%
Dan Langhi
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.0
6.3
0
1-2
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.