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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 12, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Kings62%101100
19Jazz38%9793
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.6
42.3
36.0
25
70%
6
3
0
1
0
0
2
4
4-4
100%
9-13
4-9
69%
47%
1-3
33%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 26.5
41.3
36.8
24
55%
8
3
2
1
0
1
0
8
8-9
89%
8-14
5-10
57%
53%
0-4
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 27.7
37.9
35.2
6
28%
8
3
1
1
1
3
3
5
4-4
100%
1-8
5-10
13%
50%
0-1
0%
Vlade Divac
C · 7'1" 260 · 35.9
35.7
28.4
13
47%
3
6
2
1
2
0
3
0
1-2
50%
6-13
4-8
46%
48%
0-0
-
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 33.6
20.3
25.1
2
50%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.7
33.8
16.1
22
53%
5
2
0
1
0
0
2
3
5-6
83%
4-8
2-5
50%
48%
3-10
30%
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 36.4
15.3
17.9
4
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.8
6.7
10.7
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 21.4
6.7
9.0
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
0-0
-
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 34.0
22.9
1
2-4
43%
Jabari Smith
C · 6'11" 250 · 26.8
1.7
0
0-0
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 30.8
41.0
33.0
11
53%
12
1
0
0
3
2
3
9
1-1
100%
5-10
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.5
37.0
36.4
13
70%
8
4
0
1
0
2
4
4
1-3
33%
6-8
6-12
75%
50%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.8
28.9
33.5
12
41%
10
2
1
2
0
4
3
7
1-4
25%
4-11
4-9
36%
50%
1-2
50%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 22.7
24.0
26.0
13
62%
5
1
1
1
0
0
0
5
1-1
100%
6-10
4-10
60%
43%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.4
15.7
7.8
2
25%
0
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
0-0
-
Raul Lopez
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.7
28.9
27.9
7
41%
1
7
0
1
0
4
0
1
1-1
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
42%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
24.0
20.8
17
53%
1
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
7-13
2-6
54%
43%
1-3
33%
Ben Handlogten
C · 6'10" 240 · 30.1
12.9
5.4
13
89%
6
2
0
0
0
0
2
4
3-3
100%
5-6
1-1
83%
46%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 20.1
9.6
9.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 25.0
7.7
12.9
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Curtis Borchardt
C · 7'0" 242 · 23.2
7.0
11.9
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 21.0
3.4
18.8
2
53%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
3-6
0%
40%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.