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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 13, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Celtics
105
28Cavaliers
98
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.2
44
37
41
9
6
4
2
2
4
2
7
16-18
89%
11-20
7-15
55%
45%
1-5
20%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 28.5
42
35
13
2
9
1
1
0
2
1
1
4-4
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
42%
1-4
25%
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.1
27
21
16
6
1
0
0
0
0
2
4
2-3
67%
7-13
3-7
54%
49%
0-0
-
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 23.9
25
30
13
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
41%
1-2
50%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 28.0
20
22
4
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-4
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
0-0
-
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.4
27
24
12
5
0
1
1
0
2
3
2
4-6
67%
4-9
3-6
44%
44%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.8
26
23
4
5
0
0
1
1
0
0
5
2-2
100%
1-1
3-6
100%
51%
0-0
-
Kedrick Brown
G-F · 6'7" 222 · 22.7
18
16
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.8
6
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 22.1
4
7
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
39%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 19.1
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.9
7
0
0-1
49%
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 19.0
45
38
37
3
4
0
1
0
2
1
2
16-18
89%
9-15
6-14
60%
43%
1-5
20%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 22.1
42
37
17
15
4
3
1
3
3
3
12
3-4
75%
7-15
7-13
47%
52%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 28.9
33
29
6
4
0
1
1
1
2
4
0
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
0-1
0%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.2
31
35
3
6
8
0
1
0
7
2
4
1-3
33%
1-5
5-12
20%
44%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 28.5
20
29
9
9
1
1
1
1
1
7
2
3-4
75%
3-11
5-10
27%
47%
0-0
-
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.2
32
19
24
8
2
1
1
0
2
4
4
1-1
100%
10-15
3-7
67%
45%
1-3
33%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.0
18
12
2
2
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.4
8
17
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
44%
0-0
-
Michael Stewart
C · 6'10" 230 · 28.6
5
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
J.R. Bremer
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.2
3
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
36%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 22.9
2
8
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Bruno Sundov
C · 7'2" 260 · 23.8
2
0
0-1
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.