Final Win Prob. pScore
1230%86
73
270%92
86
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo Rockets
89.08278.5
SAS logo Spurs
106.28184.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS73
86
Q4 - 0:04.0SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)73
86
Q4 - 0:05.0HOUMISS Norris 20' Jump Shot73
86
Q4 - 0:18.0SASMercer 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)73
86
Q4 - 0:35.0SASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
84
Q4 - 0:38.0SASMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot73
84
Q4 - 0:56.0SASTurkoglu S.FOUL (P4.PN)73
84
Q4 - 0:56.0HOUPadgett Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)73
84
Q4 - 0:56.0SASTurkoglu Violation:Defensive Goaltending72
84
Q4 - 0:56.0HOUPadgett 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)72
84
Q4 - 0:59.0HOUFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
84
Q4 - 1:01HOUMISS Norris 17' Jump Shot70
84
Q4 - 1:08HOUNachbar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
84
Q4 - 1:10SASMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
84
Q4 - 1:33SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)70
84
Q4 - 1:34HOUMISS Piatkowski 13' Jump Bank Shot70
84
Q4 - 1:41SASMercer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)70
84
Q4 - 1:52HOUPadgett Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)70
84
Q4 - 1:52SASSUB: Brown FOR Parker69
84
Q4 - 1:52HOURockets Rebound69
84
Q4 - 1:52HOUMISS Padgett Free Throw 1 of 269
84
Q4 - 1:52SASMercer S.FOUL (P1.PN)69
84
Q4 - 1:58HOUPiatkowski REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
84
Q4 - 2:00SASMISS Mercer 21' Jump Shot69
84
Q4 - 2:14HOUSUB: Ford FOR Taylor69
84
Q4 - 2:14HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 1)69
84
Q4 - 2:14SASSPURS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1)69
84
Q4 - 2:16HOUPadgett 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nachbar 1 AST)69
84
Q4 - 2:21HOUPiatkowski REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
84
Q4 - 2:23HOUMISS Taylor 7' Jump Hook Shot66
84
Q4 - 2:48SASMercer 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 12 AST)66
84
Q4 - 3:04HOUTaylor Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)66
82
Q4 - 3:04HOUSUB: Nachbar FOR Mobley65
82
Q4 - 3:04HOUSUB: Piatkowski FOR Francis65
82
Q4 - 3:04HOURockets Rebound65
82
Q4 - 3:04HOUMISS Taylor Free Throw 1 of 265
82
Q4 - 3:04SASWillis P.FOUL (P2.PN)65
82
Q4 - 3:21SASWillis 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 11 AST)65
82
Q4 - 3:43HOUTaylor 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)65
80
Q4 - 3:50HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
80
Q4 - 3:53SASMISS Willis 12' Jump Shot63
80
Q4 - 4:15HOUNorris 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Padgett 1 AST)63
80
Q4 - 4:21HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
80
Q4 - 4:23HOUMISS Francis 12' Jump Shot61
80
Q4 - 4:35HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
80
Q4 - 4:37SASMISS Mercer 11' Running Jump Shot61
80
Q4 - 4:53SASHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
80
Q4 - 4:54HOUMISS Padgett 13' Jump Shot61
80
Q4 - 5:04HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
80
Q4 - 5:07SASMISS Mercer 18' Jump Shot61
80
Q4 - 5:17HOUPadgett Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)61
80
Q4 - 5:17SASSUB: Parker FOR Ginobili60
80
Q4 - 5:17HOUPadgett Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)60
80
Q4 - 5:17SASGinobili P.FOUL (P1.PN)59
80
Q4 - 5:18HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
80
Q4 - 5:20SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
80
Q4 - 5:30HOUFrancis P.FOUL (P4.T2)59
80
Q4 - 5:43SASSUB: Willis FOR Horry59
80
Q4 - 5:43SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)59
80
Q4 - 5:47HOUFrancis 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Norris 2 AST)59
80
Q4 - 6:09SASTurkoglu 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)56
80
Q4 - 6:30HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)56
78
Q4 - 6:57SASHart 2' Running Layup (2 PTS)56
78
Q4 - 7:11HOUFrancis 7' Jump Shot (14 PTS)56
76
Q4 - 7:24HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)54
76
Q4 - 7:26SASHorry REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)54
76
Q4 - 7:26SASMISS Horry 4' Layup54
76
Q4 - 7:28SASMISS Hart 20' Jump Shot54
76
Q4 - 7:45HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)54
76
Q4 - 7:45HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)53
76
Q4 - 7:45SASHorry S.FOUL (P5.T4)52
76
Q4 - 8:05HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)52
76
Q4 - 8:06SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 252
76
Q4 - 8:06SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)52
76
Q4 - 8:06HOUTaylor S.FOUL (P3.T1)52
75
Q4 - 8:23SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
75
Q4 - 8:24HOUMISS Norris Free Throw 2 of 252
75
Q4 - 8:24HOURockets Rebound52
75
Q4 - 8:24HOUMISS Norris Free Throw 1 of 252
75
Q4 - 8:24SASSUB: Mercer FOR Nesterovic52
75
Q4 - 8:24HOUSUB: Francis FOR Piatkowski52
75
Q4 - 8:24HOUSUB: Padgett FOR Yao52
75
Q4 - 8:2452
75
Q4 - 8:24SASNesterovic S.FOUL (P3.T3)52
75
Q4 - 8:45SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Hart 2 AST)52
75
Q4 - 8:56SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)52
72
Q4 - 8:58HOUMISS Piatkowski 11' Running Jump Shot52
72
Q4 - 9:25SASTurkoglu 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)52
72
Q4 - 9:50HOUYao 5' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Norris 1 AST)52
70
Q4 - 9:54HOURockets Rebound50
70
Q4 - 9:54HOUNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)50
70
Q4 - 10:19SASGinobili 16' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)50
70
Q4 - 10:33SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
68
Q4 - 10:35HOUMISS Taylor Free Throw 2 of 250
68
Q4 - 10:35HOUTaylor Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)50
68
Q4 - 10:35SASHorry S.FOUL (P4.T2)49
68
Q4 - 10:52SASTurkoglu L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)49
68
Q4 - 10:52HOURockets Rebound49
68
Q4 - 10:53SASMISS Hart 16' Jump Shot49
68
Q4 - 11:11HOUTurkoglu STEAL (2 STL)49
68
Q4 - 11:11SASJump Ball Turkoglu vs. Yao: Tip to Hart49
68
Q4 - 11:13HOUYao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)49
68
Q4 - 11:14HOUMISS Norris 6' Running Jump Shot49
68
Q4 - 11:39SASHorry 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)49
68
Q4 - 12:0049
65
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS49
65
Q3 - 0:02.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)49
65
Q3 - 0:04.0HOUMISS Taylor 7' Jump Shot49
65
Q3 - 0:06.0HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)49
65
Q3 - 0:07.0HOUMISS Yao 7' Turnaround Jump Shot49
65
Q3 - 0:29.0HOURockets Rebound49
65
Q3 - 0:32.0HOUMISS Taylor 4' Driving Layup49
65
Q3 - 0:51.0SASWillis 9' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)49
65
Q3 - 1:12HOUMobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Taylor 1 AST)49
63
Q3 - 1:24HOUPiatkowski Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)46
63
Q3 - 1:24SASSPURS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Willis )45
63
Q3 - 1:33SASSUB: Willis FOR Duncan45
63
Q3 - 1:33HOUSUB: Mobley FOR Jackson45
63
Q3 - 1:33HOUSUB: Yao FOR Cato45
63
Q3 - 1:33HOUSUB: Norris FOR Francis45
63
Q3 - 1:33HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)45
63
Q3 - 1:40SASHorry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)45
63
Q3 - 1:40SASHorry 7' Jump Shot (3 PTS)45
63
Q3 - 1:43SASMISS Turkoglu 5' Dunk45
61
Q3 - 1:54SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
61
Q3 - 1:55HOUMISS Francis 15' Jump Shot45
61
Q3 - 2:02SASHorry P.FOUL (P3.T3)45
61
Q3 - 2:09SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bowen45
61
Q3 - 2:09SASSUB: Hart FOR Parker45
61
Q3 - 2:22SASTurkoglu 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 6 AST)45
61
Q3 - 2:37SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
59
Q3 - 2:39SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot45
59
Q3 - 2:58HOUFrancis 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)45
59
Q3 - 3:08SASSUB: Horry FOR Nesterovic43
59
Q3 - 3:08HOUSUB: Taylor FOR Yao43
59
Q3 - 3:08HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)43
59
Q3 - 3:15SASParker 1' Running Layup (10 PTS)43
59
Q3 - 3:25SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
57
Q3 - 3:27HOUMISS Yao 7' Jump Shot43
57
Q3 - 3:44HOURockets Rebound43
57
Q3 - 3:45SASMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 243
57
Q3 - 3:45SASTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)43
57
Q3 - 3:45HOUJackson P.FOUL (P4.PN)43
56
Q3 - 4:04SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
56
Q3 - 4:06HOUMISS Piatkowski 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
56
Q3 - 4:09HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
56
Q3 - 4:11HOUMISS Francis 16' Jump Shot43
56
Q3 - 4:28SASBowen P.FOUL (P1.T2)43
56
Q3 - 4:30HOURockets Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 1)43
56
Q3 - 4:37SASTurkoglu 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 10 AST)43
56
Q3 - 4:51HOUJackson 11' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)43
54
Q3 - 5:09SASBowen 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)41
54
Q3 - 5:22SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
52
Q3 - 5:24HOUMISS Francis 3' Driving Layup41
52
Q3 - 5:36SASSUB: Turkoglu FOR Ginobili41
52
Q3 - 5:36HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)41
52
Q3 - 5:39SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)41
52
Q3 - 5:57HOUPiatkowski 15' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)41
49
Q3 - 6:18SASNesterovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)39
49
Q3 - 6:18SASNesterovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)39
48
Q3 - 6:18HOUCato P.FOUL (P2.PN)39
47
Q3 - 6:18SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
47
Q3 - 6:20HOUMISS Francis 19' Jump Shot39
47
Q3 - 6:39SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P2.T8)39
47
Q3 - 6:39SASDuncan OFF.Foul (P3)39
47
Q3 - 6:42HOUSUB: Piatkowski FOR Mobley39
47
Q3 - 6:42HOUMobley P.FOUL (P4.T4)39
47
Q3 - 6:56HOUFrancis 1' Reverse Layup (8 PTS)39
47
Q3 - 7:07SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)37
47
Q3 - 7:07SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
46
Q3 - 7:07HOUMobley S.FOUL (P3.T3)37
45
Q3 - 7:18HOUJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)37
45
Q3 - 7:32HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)37
45
Q3 - 7:33SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot37
45
Q3 - 7:45SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
45
Q3 - 7:47HOUMISS Francis 13' Jump Shot37
45
Q3 - 8:08HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)37
45
Q3 - 8:10SASMISS Duncan 10' Turnaround Jump Shot37
45
Q3 - 8:26SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)37
45
Q3 - 8:26HOUFrancis T.FOUL (P3.T2)37
44
Q3 - 8:29HOUFrancis 4' Driving Finger Roll (6 PTS)37
44
Q3 - 8:48HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
44
Q3 - 8:50SASMISS Ginobili 3' Layup35
44
Q3 - 8:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)35
44
Q3 - 8:56HOUMISS Francis 3' Driving Layup35
44
Q3 - 9:16SASDuncan 6' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)35
44
Q3 - 9:26HOUJackson P.FOUL (P3.T2)35
42
Q3 - 9:33HOUCato P.FOUL (P1.T1)35
42
Q3 - 9:42SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
42
Q3 - 9:44HOUMISS Francis 2' Reverse Layup35
42
Q3 - 9:54HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
42
Q3 - 9:57SASMISS Parker 3' Driving Layup35
42
Q3 - 10:09HOUJackson 9' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)35
42
Q3 - 10:33SASParker 2' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)33
42
Q3 - 10:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)33
40
Q3 - 10:47HOUDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)33
40
Q3 - 10:57HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
40
Q3 - 10:59SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
40
Q3 - 11:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)33
40
Q3 - 11:11HOUMISS Mobley 6' Running Jump Shot33
40
Q3 - 11:22SASDuncan L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)33
40
Q3 - 11:22HOURockets Rebound33
40
Q3 - 11:22SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
40
Q3 - 11:34SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
40
Q3 - 11:36HOUMISS Mobley 11' Jump Shot33
40
Q3 - 12:0033
40
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU33
40
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS33
40
Q2 - 0:00.0SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)33
40
Q2 - 0:13.0HOUJackson Foul Turnover (P2.T11)33
38
Q2 - 0:13.0HOUJackson OFF.Foul (P2)33
38
Q2 - 0:30.0HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)33
38
Q2 - 0:31.0SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 133
38
Q2 - 0:31.0HOUSUB: Norris FOR Francis33
38
Q2 - 0:31.0HOUYao S.FOUL (P1.PN)33
38
Q2 - 0:31.0SASBowen 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)33
38
Q2 - 0:40.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
36
Q2 - 0:43.0HOUMISS Francis 5' Running Jump Shot33
36
Q2 - 0:54.0HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
36
Q2 - 0:56.0SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot33
36
Q2 - 1:11HOUYao 2' Dunk (9 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)33
36
Q2 - 1:31SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)31
36
Q2 - 1:31SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
35
Q2 - 1:31SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Brown31
34
Q2 - 1:31SASSUB: Willis FOR Nesterovic31
34
Q2 - 1:31HOUTaylor P.FOUL (P2.PN)31
34
Q2 - 1:39SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
34
Q2 - 1:41HOUMISS Yao 5' Hook Shot31
34
Q2 - 1:51SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)31
34
Q2 - 2:09HOUJackson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Yao 2 AST)31
34
Q2 - 2:18HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
34
Q2 - 2:20SASMISS Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot28
34
Q2 - 2:39HOUJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
34
Q2 - 2:39HOUJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
34
Q2 - 2:39SASBrown P.FOUL (P1.PN)26
34
Q2 - 2:46HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)26
34
Q2 - 2:53SASNesterovic 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)26
34
Q2 - 3:09HOUMobley 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)26
32
Q2 - 3:29HOUSUB: Jackson FOR Piatkowski24
32
Q2 - 3:29SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)24
32
Q2 - 3:33SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
32
Q2 - 3:34HOUMISS Francis 4' Jump Shot24
32
Q2 - 3:42HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)24
32
Q2 - 3:44SASMISS Brown 17' Jump Shot24
32
Q2 - 4:03SASSUB: Brown FOR Ginobili24
32
Q2 - 4:03HOUYao 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T10)24
32
Q2 - 4:17SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
32
Q2 - 4:17SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
31
Q2 - 4:17HOUTaylor S.FOUL (P1.T4)24
30
Q2 - 4:29SASSUB: Nesterovic FOR Willis24
30
Q2 - 4:29HOUTaylor Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)24
30
Q2 - 4:45SASSUB: Bowen FOR Turkoglu24
30
Q2 - 4:4524
30
Q2 - 4:45HOURockets Rebound24
30
Q2 - 4:46SASMISS Ginobili 19' Jump Shot24
30
Q2 - 4:58HOUPiatkowski 6' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST)24
30
Q2 - 5:20SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)22
30
Q2 - 5:36SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
27
Q2 - 5:38HOUMISS Taylor 14' Jump Shot22
27
Q2 - 5:51SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)22
27
Q2 - 6:04HOUTaylor Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)22
27
Q2 - 6:05HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)22
27
Q2 - 6:08HOUMISS Francis 28' 3PT Jump Shot22
27
Q2 - 6:20HOURockets Rebound22
27
Q2 - 6:21SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
27
Q2 - 6:24SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
27
Q2 - 6:27SASMISS Duncan 6' Turnaround Jump Shot22
27
Q2 - 6:47HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)22
27
Q2 - 6:47HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)21
27
Q2 - 6:47SASWillis P.FOUL (P1.PN)20
27
Q2 - 6:55HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)20
27
Q2 - 6:57SASMISS Ginobili 1' Slam Dunk20
27
Q2 - 7:07HOUMobley P.FOUL (P2.T3)20
27
Q2 - 7:18HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
27
Q2 - 7:18HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
27
Q2 - 7:18SASSUB: Willis FOR Horry18
27
Q2 - 7:18SASSUB: Duncan FOR Nesterovic18
27
Q2 - 7:18SASHorry S.FOUL (P2.PN)18
27
Q2 - 7:34HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)18
27
Q2 - 7:36SASMISS Turkoglu 3PT Jump Shot18
27
Q2 - 7:51SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
27
Q2 - 7:53HOUMISS Francis 7' Jump Shot18
27
Q2 - 8:03SASNesterovic 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)18
27
Q2 - 8:17HOUTaylor 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)18
25
Q2 - 8:34HOUSUB: Mobley FOR Jackson16
25
Q2 - 8:34SASTurkoglu L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)16
25
Q2 - 8:34HOURockets Rebound16
25
Q2 - 8:34SASMISS Nesterovic 17' Jump Shot16
25
Q2 - 8:51HOUPiatkowski 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)16
25
Q2 - 8:54HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)13
25
Q2 - 8:56HOUMISS Jackson 3' Layup13
25
Q2 - 9:15SASNesterovic P.FOUL (P2.T3)13
25
Q2 - 9:15HOURockets Rebound13
25
Q2 - 9:15HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
25
Q2 - 9:15HOUMISS Taylor 1' Tip Shot13
25
Q2 - 9:17HOUMISS Piatkowski 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
25
Q2 - 9:29SASSUB: Parker FOR Hart13
25
Q2 - 9:29SASHorry P.FOUL (P1.T2)13
25
Q2 - 9:29HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
25
Q2 - 9:31HOUMISS Piatkowski 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
25
Q2 - 9:43HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
25
Q2 - 9:44SASMISS Horry Free Throw 2 of 213
25
Q2 - 9:44SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
25
Q2 - 9:44HOUFrancis S.FOUL (P3.T2)13
24
Q2 - 9:55HOUSUB: Francis FOR Norris13
24
Q2 - 9:55SASSUB: Nesterovic FOR Duncan13
24
Q2 - 9:55SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)13
24
Q2 - 10:01HOUJackson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
24
Q2 - 10:07HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
24
Q2 - 10:09SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
24
Q2 - 10:18SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
24
Q2 - 10:20HOUMISS Piatkowski 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
24
Q2 - 10:36HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
24
Q2 - 10:38SASMISS Turkoglu 13' Jump Shot11
24
Q2 - 10:53HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)11
24
Q2 - 10:53SASDuncan S.FOUL (P1.T1)10
24
Q2 - 10:53HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
24
Q2 - 10:53HOUYao 1' Layup (4 PTS)10
24
Q2 - 10:54HOUMISS Jackson 3' Layup8
24
Q2 - 11:13SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hart 1 AST)8
24
Q2 - 11:26HOUPiatkowski P.FOUL (P1.T1)8
21
Q2 - 11:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)8
21
Q2 - 11:35HOUMISS Taylor 12' Turnaround Jump Shot8
21
Q2 - 12:008
21
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU8
21
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)8
21
Q1 - 0:00.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
21
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot8
21
Q1 - 0:24.0HOUMobley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)8
21
Q1 - 0:43.0SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)8
21
Q1 - 1:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)8
21
Q1 - 1:07SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Mobley: Tip to Hart8
21
Q1 - 1:11SASMISS Hart 10' Jump Shot8
21
Q1 - 1:17HOUTurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)8
21
Q1 - 1:19SASSUB: Hart FOR Parker8
21
Q1 - 1:34SASTurkoglu 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)8
21
Q1 - 1:47HOUJackson P.FOUL (P1.T4)8
19
Q1 - 2:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)8
19
Q1 - 2:05HOUHorry BLOCK (1 BLK)8
19
Q1 - 2:21SASTurkoglu 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)8
19
Q1 - 2:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)8
17
Q1 - 2:38HOUMISS Cato 14' Jump Shot8
17
Q1 - 2:52SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)8
17
Q1 - 2:52SASBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
17
Q1 - 3:11HOUTaylor 2' Layup (2 PTS)8
17
Q1 - 3:12HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
17
Q1 - 3:14HOUMISS Norris 16' Jump Shot6
17
Q1 - 3:25SASTurkoglu P.FOUL (P1.T3)6
17
Q1 - 3:38HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
17
Q1 - 3:40SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot6
17
Q1 - 3:46SASSUB: Turkoglu FOR Ginobili6
17
Q1 - 4:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)6
17
Q1 - 4:03HOUMISS Mobley 10' Jump Shot6
17
Q1 - 4:26SASBowen 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)6
17
Q1 - 4:43HOUMobley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)6
15
Q1 - 4:49HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
15
Q1 - 4:51SASMISS Ginobili 12' Fadeaway Jumper6
15
Q1 - 4:58HOUMobley P.FOUL (P1.T3)6
15
Q1 - 5:07HOUSUB: Norris FOR Francis6
15
Q1 - 5:07SASSUB: Horry FOR Nesterovic6
15
Q1 - 5:07HOUFrancis L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)6
15
Q1 - 5:07SASSPURS Rebound6
15
Q1 - 5:08HOUMISS Taylor 15' Jump Shot6
15
Q1 - 5:14HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
15
Q1 - 5:18HOUMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
15
Q1 - 5:38HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
15
Q1 - 5:40SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot6
15
Q1 - 5:54HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
15
Q1 - 5:54HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
15
Q1 - 5:54HOUSUB: Taylor FOR Yao4
15
Q1 - 5:54SASNesterovic S.FOUL (P1.T2)4
15
Q1 - 6:11SASNesterovic 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)4
15
Q1 - 6:23SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
13
Q1 - 6:25SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot4
13
Q1 - 6:46HOUGinobili STEAL (3 STL)4
13
Q1 - 7:05SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)4
13
Q1 - 7:11SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
10
Q1 - 7:13HOUMISS Mobley 3PT Jump Shot4
10
Q1 - 7:35SASParker 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
10
Q1 - 7:43HOUGinobili STEAL (2 STL)4
8
Q1 - 7:55HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
8
Q1 - 7:57SASMISS Duncan 9' Fadeaway Jumper4
8
Q1 - 8:07SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
8
Q1 - 8:09HOUMISS Yao 10' Jump Hook Shot4
8
Q1 - 8:20HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)4
8
Q1 - 8:26HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
8
Q1 - 8:28SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot4
8
Q1 - 8:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)4
8
Q1 - 8:40HOUMISS Yao 10' Jump Shot4
8
Q1 - 8:56SASParker 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
8
Q1 - 9:08HOUMobley 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
6
Q1 - 9:21SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
6
Q1 - 9:29HOUGinobili STEAL (1 STL)2
6
Q1 - 9:48SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
6
Q1 - 9:48SASNesterovic 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS)2
6
Q1 - 9:50SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup2
4
Q1 - 10:03HOUFrancis Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
4
Q1 - 10:15HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
4
Q1 - 10:17HOUMISS Yao 4' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 10:34SASNesterovic 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)2
4
Q1 - 10:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:51SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 11:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 11:08HOUMISS Jackson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 11:19HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 11:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
2
Q1 - 11:21SASMISS Duncan 1' Tip Shot2
2
Q1 - 11:22SASMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 2 of 22
2
Q1 - 11:22SASSPURS Rebound2
2
Q1 - 11:22SASMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 1 of 22
2
Q1 - 11:22HOUFrancis S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 11:32HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:32HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
2
Q1 - 11:32SASParker S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 11:47SASNesterovic 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Cato: Tip to Parker0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventHOUSAS
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.83 41.5%
SAS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
8
21
38%
SAS
8
15
53%
Midrange
HOU
11
38
29%
SAS
20
44
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
SAS
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
Free Throws
HOU
20
25
80%
SAS
12
18
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Francis1743%8.5 / 20
Yao1146%5.5 / 12
J. Jackson1161%5.5 / 9
S. Padgett975%4.5 / 6
M. Taylor833%4.0 / 12
E. Piatkowski844%4.0 / 9
C. Mobley750%3.5 / 7
M. Norris214%1.0 / 7
K. Cato0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili1662%8.0 / 13
R. Nesterovic1470%7.0 / 10
H. Turkoglu1354%6.5 / 12
T. Parker1045%5.0 / 11
B. Bowen956%4.5 / 8
T. Duncan833%4.0 / 12
R. Horry675%3.0 / 4
K. Willis467%2.0 / 3
R. Mercer440%2.0 / 5
J. Hart225%1.0 / 4
D. Brown0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
69
+17
-13
86
SAS
73
+11
-8
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.83 41.5%
SAS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
98.5
100.0
HOU 89.0
SAS 106.2 +17.1
Pace
90.1
91.3
HOU 78.5
SAS 84.8 +6.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
16.0
HOU 18.3
SAS 17.0 −1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.4%
47.3%
HOU 36.8%
SAS 50.0% +13.2%
TO %
17.3%
15.4%
HOU 14.4%
SAS 9.9% −4.5%
ORB %
26.4%
29.5%
HOU 30.4% +2.2%
SAS 28.2%
FTrt
28.6
32.2
HOU 34.7 +10.4
SAS 24.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.7%
59.0%
HOU 58.3%
SAS 70.6% +12.3%
STL %
7.5%
8.8%
HOU 6.1%
SAS 6.2% +0.1%
BLK %
8.6%
9.9%
HOU 10.2% +5.1%
SAS 5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.0%
48.6%
HOU 41.5%
SAS 50.0% +8.5%
Rim FG%
57.1%
57.6%
HOU 38.1%
SAS 53.3% +15.2%
Mid FG%
39.5%
37.0%
HOU 28.9%
SAS 45.5% +16.6%
3P %
36.6%
35.8%
HOU 38.5%
SAS 40.0% +1.5%
FT %
77.3%
68.1%
HOU 80.0% +13.3%
SAS 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.5%
35.9%
HOU 29.2% +8.9%
SAS 20.3%
Mid Att. %
46.8%
46.4%
HOU 52.8% −6.7%
SAS 59.5%
3P Att. %
22.7%
17.7%
HOU 18.1%
SAS 20.3% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.53 and 2.53.
Game TotalsHOUSAS
Possessions8281
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points7386
Rebounds4243
Assists1424
Steals55
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)8 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (3)11 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (6)32 (1)
Field Goals24-7234-74
At-the-Rim FG8-218-15
Midrange FG11-3820-44
2-Point FG19-5928-59
3-Point FG5-136-15
Free Throws20-2512-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 215 · 28
36.4
7
50%
6
1
1
0
2
4
0
6
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
C · 7'6" 310 · 23
32.1
11
46%
9
2
0
3
3
1
4
5
5-5
100%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 210 · 27
32.0
17
43%
5
5
1
0
2
4
2
3
6-6
100%
4-15
27%
1-2
50%
F · 6'6" 220 · 33
29.4
11
61%
4
0
0
0
3
4
0
4
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
1-2
50%
F · 6'11" 275 · 29
22.4
0
0%
2
0
1
2
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 27
30.8
8
33%
8
1
1
1
2
3
4
4
2-4
50%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 33
21.9
8
44%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
1-5
20%
G · 6'1" 185 · 30
21.3
2
14%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 240 · 28
8.4
9
75%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
4-5
80%
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 221 · 23
3.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 280 · 23
2.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 33
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
73
42%
42
14
5
6
13
0
14
28
20-25
80%
19-59
32%
5-13
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.