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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 13, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Rockets27%8573
2Spurs73%9286
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.3
36.4
36.8
7
50%
6
1
1
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
44%
1-2
50%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 23.2
32.1
35.1
11
49%
9
2
0
0
3
3
4
5
5-5
100%
3-9
6-12
33%
47%
0-0
-
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 26.8
32.0
40.3
17
43%
5
5
1
1
0
2
2
3
6-6
100%
4-15
5-12
27%
43%
1-2
50%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.2
29.4
35.0
11
62%
4
0
0
1
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
3-6
2-6
50%
41%
1-2
50%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 29.3
22.4
27.0
0
0%
2
0
1
1
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 27.1
30.8
27.7
8
34%
8
1
1
0
1
2
4
4
2-4
50%
3-10
4-10
30%
42%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 33.2
21.9
17.0
8
42%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
1-5
20%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.4
21.3
9.0
2
15%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
1-5
1-1
20%
40%
0-1
0%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.6
8.4
3.9
9
87%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
4-5
80%
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
1-1
100%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 23.4
3.1
3.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
37%
0-0
-
Alton Ford
F · 6'9" 280 · 22.5
2.2
1.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
John Amaechi
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 33.0
1.8
0
0-0
33%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.6
33.4
37.6
10
46%
3
12
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
4-9
5-11
44%
47%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.4
33.0
33.7
16
60%
4
2
3
2
0
2
1
3
2-3
67%
1-5
3-7
20%
43%
4-7
57%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.6
31.8
37.3
8
34%
12
6
0
1
1
2
3
9
4-4
100%
2-10
8-16
20%
51%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 32.5
26.6
31.8
9
60%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
3-3
1-3
100%
42%
1-4
25%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.5
24.9
31.4
14
72%
7
0
0
1
1
0
1
6
2-4
50%
6-8
5-9
75%
49%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 24.7
28.6
15.1
13
55%
7
1
2
0
0
0
0
7
1-2
50%
6-9
1-3
67%
42%
0-2
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33.3
19.2
16.8
6
77%
6
1
0
1
1
0
4
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
41%
1-1
100%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.6
18.0
8.9
2
25%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
0-0
-
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41.3
11.6
4.9
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
0-0
-
Ron Mercer
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.6
8.4
7.2
4
40%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
41%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.0
4.4
7.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 29.1
6.2
0
1-2
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.