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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 14, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Heat33%9090
20Raptors67%9589
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.1
40.1
40.9
17
45%
16
2
2
1
1
3
3
13
7-9
78%
5-14
6-12
36%
46%
0-1
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 21.9
39.5
34.3
23
56%
3
4
1
1
1
4
1
2
5-8
63%
9-16
5-12
56%
41%
0-1
0%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32.2
38.5
37.1
14
42%
4
4
0
1
0
0
1
3
4-4
100%
2-9
4-9
22%
43%
2-6
33%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 31.8
36.8
30.1
19
60%
13
4
1
1
0
2
6
7
1-2
50%
9-15
4-8
60%
46%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 23.8
32.5
19.8
5
43%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
41%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.4
26.1
30.5
6
33%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
40%
2-6
33%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.5
15.0
14.7
6
50%
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 27.8
11.2
16.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
John Wallace
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.8
0.3
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.6
12.1
0
1-3
38%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 25.5
7.5
0
1-1
43%
Bimbo Coles
G · 6'2" 182 · 35.6
1.8
0
0-0
36%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.6
40.8
35.9
25
73%
9
0
1
1
2
3
0
9
4-5
80%
9-12
4-8
75%
47%
1-3
33%
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 29.4
40.5
32.3
11
46%
2
9
2
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
45%
1-3
33%
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 30.9
35.5
37.9
11
56%
3
4
1
1
0
5
0
3
2-2
100%
3-7
4-10
43%
42%
1-2
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 19.7
32.2
35.1
4
19%
10
1
0
1
1
0
2
8
2-6
33%
1-7
5-10
14%
47%
0-1
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.9
22.6
36.9
12
41%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
6-6
100%
3-10
7-16
30%
46%
0-2
0%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.3
25.1
21.4
11
95%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
2-2
100%
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 24.9
22.6
17.3
7
60%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
0-0
-
Michael Curry
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 35.3
20.9
9.7
8
58%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.7
4.3
0
1-1
42%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.8
4.1
0
0-1
42%
Jerome Moiso
F · 6'10" 260 · 25.5
3.9
0
0-1
47%
Mengke Bateer
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.1
1.1
0
0-0
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.