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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 15, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Timberwolves46%96116
15Celtics54%9795
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 27.6
41.7
39.4
27
66%
12
7
1
1
1
1
0
12
7-8
88%
10-17
9-19
59%
49%
0-0
-
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 34.1
36.0
37.2
27
76%
3
9
2
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
11-15
7-14
73%
48%
1-2
50%
Latrell Sprewell
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.3
32.0
38.1
14
44%
4
3
2
1
0
3
1
3
4-4
100%
5-13
5-13
38%
43%
0-1
0%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 24.8
28.4
31.7
8
67%
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
41%
0-1
0%
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 36.0
27.5
24.1
4
100%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
43%
0-0
-
Fred Hoiberg
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.2
29.4
21.7
12
76%
4
3
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
5-5
1-3
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Gary Trent
F · 6'8" 250 · 29.2
23.1
22.6
14
71%
9
0
0
0
1
2
3
6
0-2
0%
7-9
4-7
78%
49%
0-0
-
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.1
11.9
10.0
4
69%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
39%
0-1
0%
Quincy Lewis
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.5
6.7
1.6
2
50%
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
43%
0-0
-
Ndudi Ebi
F · 6'9" 195 · 19.5
1.8
1.0
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
45%
0-0
-
Oliver Miller
C · 6'9" 315 · 33.7
1.3
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 27.9
7.1
0
1-1
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.2
36.7
38.6
15
38%
9
11
3
2
1
1
3
6
2-4
50%
5-13
7-15
38%
45%
1-5
20%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 23.9
35.1
27.6
8
56%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
3-5
60%
1-2
3-6
50%
42%
1-3
33%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 28.5
33.4
36.6
13
40%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
6-11
3-6
55%
43%
0-5
0%
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.1
29.8
23.2
12
55%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 28.0
28.6
21.3
12
68%
2
0
1
1
1
6
1
1
2-2
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
49%
0-0
-
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.9
31.3
5.3
17
77%
2
2
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
48%
5-8
63%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 22.1
21.3
6.3
5
32%
1
2
3
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-4
1-2
0%
40%
1-3
33%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.8
18.4
4.1
6
60%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
2-3
67%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 19.1
5.3
0.5
7
66%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
3-3
100%
2-4
0-0
50%
45%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.2
32.5
1
4-10
42%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.4
12.9
0
2-4
42%
Michael Stewart
C · 6'10" 230 · 28.6
7.0
0
0-1
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.